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Global Warming...New Report...and it ain't happy news

 
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Reply Mon 13 Oct, 2025 02:12 am
Several regions that are crucial for the climate could soon be destroyed forever, warns a new report. But it also shows that momentum in the right direction can tip the world towards a better future.

The authors are particularly concerned about tropical coral reefs. The oceans have already warmed so much that humanity will probably only be able to save them with enormous effort – if at all. Even if warming can be stabilised at 1.5 degrees above pre-industrial levels, it is very likely that the reefs will die because their comfortable temperature ends at an additional 1.5 degrees Celsius. This would have catastrophic consequences for marine biodiversity, the food security of hundreds of millions of people and coastal protection, as healthy reefs act as natural breakwaters.


Among other things, the report also shows that

• even with the current warming of 1.4 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, the large ice sheets at the poles could melt to such an extent that sea levels would rise significantly.

• Permafrost – permanently frozen ground – is also increasingly disappearing, releasing climate-damaging gases in the process.

• The Amazon rainforest could be severely damaged even with less warming than previously thought. New estimates show that large parts of the forest could die off with a temperature rise of just 1.5 degrees. More than a hundred million people depend on it for their livelihoods.

• The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), which includes the Gulf Stream, is already at risk of collapsing even with global warming below 2 degrees. This would disrupt the monsoons that characterise the rainy seasons in West Africa and South Asia. Harvests would shrink, with consequences for food security worldwide.

• Researchers still see no acute tipping point risk for the jet stream, large-scale tropical atmospheric currents and ENSO. ENSO stands for El Niño-Southern Oscillation, a natural climate and ocean phenomenon in the tropical Pacific. It influences the weather in large parts of the world.



Global Tipping Points Report 2025
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Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Reply Wed 15 Oct, 2025 02:25 am
Climate change is facilitating shipping traffic through the Arctic. Now, for the first time, a container ship has sailed along the Russian coast to the United Kingdom.

First ship on China-Europe Arctic route docks in Britain

(The container ship's next stop is the port of Hamburg today. The ship is expected to unload the cargo[mainly lithium-ion batteries and photovoltaic products] in Poland and the Netherlands, too.)
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Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Reply Wed 15 Oct, 2025 08:46 am
The Guardian article (below) reports that ahead of a crucial vote on shipping emissions at the International Maritime Organization (IMO), Trump threatened vulnerable countries with trade repercussions if they supported stricter climate regulations. The vote concerns measures to curb greenhouse gas emissions from the global shipping industry.
Trump's stance undermines international climate efforts and pressures economically weaker nations to prioritize trade over environmental protection.

Trump threatens vulnerable countries before key shipping emissions vote
Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Reply Wed 15 Oct, 2025 10:04 am
Global CO2 levels continued to rise in 2024, along with other greenhouse gases like nitrous oxide, according to the latest WMO report.
According to the WMO, last year was also the warmest since records began, surpassing the previous record set in 2023.

The WMO released its annual greenhouse gas bulletin a month before Cop30, the UN climate change summit in Belém, Brazil.

WMO Greenhouse Gas Bulletin
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Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Reply Wed 15 Oct, 2025 11:47 am
@Walter Hinteler,
Btw:
Like the US, representatives from small Pacific islands also boycotted the vote on the content of the net-zero strategy in April. However, their reason was different: they consider the planned rules to be too lax. For example, a fund into which the CO₂ levy flows is not to be set up until 2029. In addition, the CO₂ pricing for ships currently being considered is expected to generate around ten billion dollars per year – probably too little to enable poorer countries to switch to climate-neutral ships. And far too little to make a decisive contribution to compensating for the damage caused by climate change in developing countries.

Simon Kofe, Minister of Transport from Vanuatu, speaking on behalf of neighbouring countries Fiji, Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Palau, Solomon Islands, Tonga and Tuvalu, said: ‘The land we call home is disappearing beneath our feet.’ We will not accept weak results. London is about more than just shipping. ‘It's about survival.’
(Source: various media)
Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Reply Sun 19 Oct, 2025 05:35 am
@Walter Hinteler,
Climate-neutral shipping? Everyone was actually in agreement – then along came environmental saboteur Donald Trump.

Even during his first term in office, Donald Trump didn't think much of climate protection, but he largely let the rest of the world do what it wanted. Not anymore. Anyone who wants to reduce greenhouse gases today will have to deal with his aggressive boys from Washington.
The oceans already emit far more CO₂ than the whole of Germany. But Trump's anti-climate protection team threatened all those who voted in favour with retaliation and intimidation. It warned of tariffs, visa restrictions and additional fees for US ports. There are even reports that individual officials and neutral negotiators at the IMO headquarters in London were coerced and pressured by the US. This was an unprecedented move.

The US government is solely concerned with the profits of its oil and gas industry. And it wants to continue selling its goods undisturbed. Climate change? It's all a hoax! Says Trump, even though researchers around the globe prove the opposite almost daily. And the effects of global warming are already being felt everywhere.

Trump won the US election with the slogan ‘Drill, baby, drill’. But what he probably meant was ‘Burn, baby, burn’.
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Walter Hinteler
 
  3  
Reply Mon 20 Oct, 2025 04:01 am
With the help of coral reefs and mangroves, researchers have reconstructed sea levels since the end of the last ice age. According to their findings, sea levels are currently rising particularly rapidly. This is not only due to melting glaciers.

Global sea levels rose significantly faster between 1900 and 2020 than at any other time in the past 4,000 years. This is according to a study published in the journal Nature, which looked at changes in global sea levels over the past 12,000 years.

The current rise in global sea levels is mainly due to two effects, as the group led by Yucheng Lin from Rutgers University in Piscataway (New Jersey) writes: On the one hand, the water in the oceans is getting warmer and expanding as a result. On the other hand, more water is flowing into the oceans because mountain glaciers and the ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica are melting.

Modern sea-level rise breaks 4,000-year stability in southeastern China
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hightor
 
  2  
Reply Mon 20 Oct, 2025 04:58 am
CO2 levels in Earth's atmosphere jumped by a record amount in 2024

The global average concentration of CO2 surged by 3.5 parts per million to reach 423.9 ppm last year, fuelling worries that the planet’s ability to soak up excess carbon is weakening

Quote:
https://images.newscientist.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/15152001/SEI_270346600.jpg?width=837
Wildfires, such as this one in Greece, released vast amounts of carbon dioxide in 2024


Atmospheric carbon dioxide levels jumped by a record amount in 2024 to push concentrations to their highest point since measurements began, the UN’s World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has reported.

Between 2023 and 2024, the global average concentration of CO2 surged by 3.5 parts per million (ppm) to reach 423.9 ppm, the WMO has said. This is the largest increase since modern measurements started in 1957 and is well in excess of the 2022 to 2023 increase of 2.3 ppm.

It marks the latest in a trend of accelerating annual increases, with growth rates tripling since the 1960s. The last time Earth experienced a comparable concentration of CO2 was 3 million to 5 million years ago.

Excess CO2 in the atmosphere will have a warming effect on the planet for centuries to come, the WMO warns. “The heat trapped by CO2 and other greenhouse gases is turbocharging our climate and leading to more extreme weather,” Ko Barrett at the WMO said in a statement.

Ongoing emissions from fossil fuels, alongside a surge in emissions from wildfires and a slump in the carbon uptake by the world’s lands and oceans, were the key drivers of last year’s record surge, according to the WMO.

Researchers expected a slump in the uptake of carbon by oceans, forests and other ecosystems in 2024 due to the recent El Niño weather pattern, which pushed up global temperatures and dulled carbon absorption by driving heat, fires and drought in key regions like the Amazon. The amount of tropical forest lost in 2024 was double that of 2023, scientists noted earlier this year. “It is normal for some tropical lands to be drier and store less carbon during warm El Niño years such as 2024,” says Richard Allan at the University of Reading, UK.

But there is concern that this dip in carbon uptake by the planet – particularly by the land – is part of a longer-term trend that could mean climate change is weakening the planet’s ability to soak up excess carbon.

“There has been some suggestions that the land sink was particularly low in 2023 and 2024, even for El Niño years, and that there has been a worrying reduction over time, particularly in the northern hemisphere outside the tropics,” says Zeke Hausfather, a climate scientist at the Breakthrough Institute. “In short, there are worrying signs that the land sink in particular is declining, but it’s too early to know with confidence without another few years of data.”

In the meantime, it is more urgent than ever for humanity to curb ongoing fossil fuel emissions, says Piers Forster at the University of Leeds, UK. “The biggest reason for the ongoing increase [in CO2 concentrations] is fossil fuel emissions being at a persistent all-time high and not yet coming down.”

newscientist
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Tue 21 Oct, 2025 04:51 am
@hightor,
The ecological footprint of meat depends not only on consumption, but also on cattle feed and transport routes. Researchers have calculated the supply chains for the USA:
CO₂ emissions from meat production in the USA exceed Italy's total emissions.

The carbon hoofprint of cities is shaped by geography and production in the livestock supply chain
Quote:
Abstract

Meat consumed in cities is largely produced in rural regions. Supply chain opacity and complexity hinder understanding of (and the ability to address) the distributed impacts of urban meat consumption on rural communities and environments. Here we combine supply chain models with spatial carbon accounting to quantify and map the GHG emissions from beef, chicken and pork consumption—the carbon hoofprint—for all 3,531 cities in the contiguous USA. This carbon hoofprint totals 329 MtCO2e, equivalent to emissions from US at-home fossil fuel combustion. Surprising differences in the carbon intensity of meat-producing regions explain variation in per capita hoofprints between cities (500–1,731 kgCO2e). Demand-side measures such as reducing food waste and dietary shifts (for example, more chicken, less beef) could halve emissions. Our modelling highlights reduction strategies across the supply chain and provides a basis to address the transboundary impacts of cities.
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Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Reply Tue 21 Oct, 2025 06:26 am
Mosquitoes found in Iceland for first time as climate crisis warms country
Quote:
Mosquitoes have been found in Iceland for the first time as global heating makes the country more hospitable for insects.

The country was until this month one of the only places in the world that did not have a mosquito population. The other is Antarctica.

Scientists have predicted for some time that mosquitoes could establish themselves in Iceland as there are plentiful breeding habitats such as marshes and ponds. Many species will be unable to survive the harsh climate, however.

But Iceland is warming, at four times the rate of the rest of the northern hemisphere. Glaciers have been collapsing and fish from warmer, southern climes such as mackerel have been found in the country’s waters.

As the planet warms, more species of mosquito have been found across the globe. In the UK, eggs of the Egyptian mosquito (Aedes aegypti) were found this year, and the Asian tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus) has been discovered in Kent. These are invasive species that can spread tropical diseases such as dengue, chikungunya and Zika virus.
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Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Reply Tue 21 Oct, 2025 08:05 am
In the debate on the EU's climate target for 2040, more than 2,000 European scientists are making their voices heard.
‘The political discussion is moving away from scientific findings,’ they say in an open letter to European heads of state and government.

Open letter by Scientists: Climate Neutrality is Europe's Greatest Economic Opportunity
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Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Reply Wed 22 Oct, 2025 07:47 am
The international community is too slow to act on climate change, according to a recent report. It shows that global coal consumption reached a record high in 2024 – despite all efforts to switch to clean energy sources.

Global use of coal hit record high in 2024

The Guardian article linked above refers to the annual
State of Climate Action 2025
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Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Reply Wed 22 Oct, 2025 08:19 am
Climate disasters in first half of 2025 costliest ever on record, research shows

LA wildfires and storms this year cost $101bn, new study by non-profit resurrecting work axed by Trump says
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Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Reply Thu 23 Oct, 2025 12:04 am
The US has demanded that the European Union roll back its climate and human rights rules in order to allow greater imports of liquefied natural gas (LNG), as the Trump administration approved a controversial gas export hub along the Gulf of Mexico coast.

US demands EU reverse new climate rules to allow surge in gas imports
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Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sat 25 Oct, 2025 03:00 am
Climate policy in the USA: Trump lifts environmental regulations for copper smelters.
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Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Mon 27 Oct, 2025 10:56 am
Two crucial Florida coral species left ‘functionally extinct’ by ocean heatwave

Climate crisis drives near-total collapse of staghorn and elkhorn corals that formed backbone to state’s reefs.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Tue 28 Oct, 2025 06:29 am
Because Norway is pushing ahead with oil and gas production in the Arctic, activists took their case to the European Court of Human Rights. The court has now ruled in favour of the government in Oslo. The Strasbourg-based court unanimously ruled that there had been no violation of human rights.
(The ECHR found that Norway had postponed the climate impact assessment in 2016, but that there was no evidence that the state had violated the right to private and family life.)

Judgment concerning Norway
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Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Tue 28 Oct, 2025 09:34 am
Bill Gates has called on heads of state and government to measure the success of climate policy less in terms of temperature targets and more in terms of improvements for people ahead of the COP30 climate conference in Brazil. Climate change is serious, but ‘not the end of the world,’ he wrote in his personal blog ‘Gates Notes’. The key, he said, is to strengthen resilience through better health, prosperity and infrastructure.

GateNotes: A new way to look at the problem
Three tough truths about climate
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Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Fri 31 Oct, 2025 12:23 pm
As the long arm of the fossil fuel lobby enters the classroom, some US science teachers are finding their job requires more than simply imparting knowledge and wisdom.

What US school kids are learning about climate
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