Re: If Roe v. Wade is overturned.
(Jumping in late, not having read anything except the initial post)
My understanding is that legally is that this would mean each state would legislate whether abortion is banned or how it is limited. I am quite sure that my state (Massachussets) would stay exactly how it is.
I believe this is true. The most convincing legal argument I have heard against Roe vs. Wade
is that the constitution does not protect a right to abort, that it does not confer the power to regulate abortions to the federal government, and that the power to regulate is therefore reserved to the states under the tenth amendment.
What states would outlaw or severely outlaw abortion? Would it be the "red" states?
I would guess that red states are much more likely to outlaw than blue states, and that Southern red states are much more likely to outlaw than Western red states. But I have no data to back up that guess.
What effects would this have on these states? I know that many people have very deep emotions about this issue, how many people would relocate? Would this have real social and economic effects on regions of our country?
In my own country, the federal constitution outlaws abortion from the day of conception and abortion is nevertheless legal in practice unil the 12th week of pregnancy. Based on this experience, I expect that overriding Roe v. Wade
would change things in a much more gradual way than pundids on both sides of the fence currently think it will. The significance of Roe vs. Wade
is mostly as a shibboleth for both camps. Its impact on actual legislation is important too, but much less important.
I suspect if this happens, it would divide us even further.
You may well be right, but I don't think that's a valid reason not to overrule it.