Aytzym.org has developed a long term monitor and prediction information network.Its specific to Global Warming effects in the Mid East. It includes the backup data for these predictions.
Israeli Climate-Change Forecasts for the Year 2050
Mean temperature increase of between 1.4° and 1.6° C.(temp rises are close to 1.3C)
Reduction in precipitation between 4 and6 percent; increased rain intensity; and changes in rainfall patterns. (This is now happening)
Increase in evapotranspiration by nearly 10 percent.(Israel has a great ag network for PE)
Greater seasonal temperature variability.(winters are actually more severe)
More severe weather events, such as droughts and floods.(happening now)
Mediterranean biomes expected to shift 300 to 500 km northward; if a 1.5º C warming were to occur, which could mean that Mediterranean ecosystems in Israel, the Palestinian Authority and Jordan would become more desert-like.( certain birds are alrady shifting their ranges, target species like hummingbirds and storks are shifting ranges others are being noted, also specific insects are appering)
Some models predict as much as a 50 percent reduction in mean annual precipitation in the Jordan River Basin.(So far its been around 20%)
Environmental Effects of Climate Change on the Middle East
Severe water shortages.
Mid ocean fresh water Springs have been used for water supplementing. Many springs are becoming saline as sea levels rise)
More severe weather events, such as droughts and floods.
Desertification, loss of arable land.(This can be seen in Africa and its without precedent here desertification is occuring--even during the PEM)
Shifting of ecosystems, species loss.
(again, Africa is a living lab of this)
Coral reef bleaching. evidence is growing from the MNes to the S Pacific)
Increase in jellyfish population.(Not familiar with this one so Ill just listen to the rabbis)
Many of these effects are without precedent and, like ecosystem changes, correspond with a 50 to 75 year pattern )