Here Are 5 Ways You Know Trump Knows Trump Is Losing
Trump can still win, but his prospects are bleak if you believe the latest polls.
By National Memo / The National Memo
September 5, 2016
This is the video that should never stop terrifying America.
Just a little over a year ago, the idea of Donald Trump becoming the Republican nominee for president was a joke to many of the people who get paid to inform the public about politics. The press largely saw his candidacy as a harmless ratings boost and fed off his nativist bleating for the sweet sugar of high ratings and access to a famous-for-being-famous guy who wore more makeup than they did.
Democrats nervously watched as Trump stampeded the GOP, surfing on waves of agony and ecstasy.
Liberals couldn't help but be a bit giddy at watching a party on the verge of nearly unprecedented political domination seemingly stick a fork into its own prospects. But they had to be horrified knowing that the press is eager to keep interest in the election high by boosting the prospects of a man who makes mockery of their questions, the truth and the most basic requirements to be president.
Maybe Republicans and the press refused to take Trump seriously. Maybe it wouldn't have mattered. But Democrats don't seem to be making that mistake.
President Obama is set to take his 50-plus percent approval rating on the road for a dozen appearances on behalf of Hillary Clinton. Bernie Sanders will begin stumping for Clinton and Senate Democrats on Labor Day in New Hampshire. You can expect to see Vice President Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren and Michelle Obama on the campaign trail and aspiring First Dude Bill Clinton will likely outdo his 2012 marathon that saw dozens of appearances on behalf of President Obama. Meanwhile, the Clinton campaign will exploit its significant cash and field advantage, which already seems to be delivering with polls showing Democrats performing nearly as well with likely voters as with registered voters, a rare phenomenon in modern polling.
And while the national numbers are tightening as they almost certainly will continue to do before Election Day, all signs are pointing to a Republican Party in actual disarray.
"The plan to get to 270 electoral votes remains unclear," Politico reported last week. "The battleground state deployment plan is a work in progress. Money from big donors is slowing to a trickle. And aides are confused about who's calling the shots."
Trump can still win, of course. But his prospects are especially bleak if you believe, as the latest YouGov/CBS News poll tells us, that Clinton is leading in both Pennsylvania and North Carolina. Romney won North Carolina and Trump is so far outperforming the GOP nominee only in Iowa.
Trade the Tar Heel State for the Buckeye State and Clinton outperforms Obama's 2012 electoral college landslide by 9 electoral votes.
But the best sign that Democrats are successfully taking the threat of a Trump presidency seriously is that Trump finally seems to get that he's losing. Here's how we know.
1. Affirmations replacing confirmation. Trump's tweets increasingly sound like a man who is trying to convince himself of something. "People will be very surprised by our ground game on Nov. 8," he tweeted last week. "We have an army of volunteers and people with GREAT SPIRIT! They want to #MAGA!" He's right that people will be surprised if he has any decent ground game. The problem is Clinton probably will have the best ground game in American history. Trump's will almost undoubtedly be worse than Mitt Romney's operation, but Donald needs to outperform Mitt with either minority voters or white voters. He's doing worse with both. That's because Trump's gains with working-class white voters are being drowned out by his losses with college-educated white voters, especially women. No wonder you don't see him tweeting or ranting about many polls that show him winning anymore.
2. "Hardening" and "softening." With all this talk of softening and hardening, you'd think Trump's campaign was being managed by Cialis. A few weeks ago, Trump suggested that he was "softening" on immigration and then a few days later, he suggested that some people were calling it a "hardening." This has become a constant pattern in his general election campaign. He makes a desperate attempt to seem calm and presidential, by say visiting with the president of Mexico, and then immediately negates it by giving a fiery anti-immigrant speech that turns off the exact voters he just aimed to win over.
3. Still working on securing his base. Trump obviously feels more comfortable appealing to the Republicans who gave him the nomination and can't help appealing to them at the cost of a strategy that could win over the more educated Republicans he needs. His immigration speech promised millions of deportations at worst and the self-deportation scheme that cost Mitt the Latino vote on psychedelic steroids at best. But the tone was right out of the alt-right/white nationalist playbook, speaking to voters who fear the future: voters already voting Trump. Even if this is his path to victory, it's a recipe for destroying the Republican Party.
4. Blame game has begun. Without polls to beat his chest about, Trump has begun casting blame for his loss on the chimera of voter fraud. This attempt to delegitimize any Clinton victory is dangerous and probably unprecedented, and it speaks to a narcissist preparing himself for the shaming of a lifetime. Trump's de facto campaign manager and son-in-law Jared Kushner has already suggested that "the national committee might not be giving Mr. Trump all the support he was due." And with prominent Republicans like senators Jeff Flake and Ben Sasse not supporting the nominee, Trump will likely sic his supporters on a party that never focused all of its power and resources on electing him.
5. Focusing on an exit strategy. It's difficult to believe Trump would turn his millions of backers on the GOP and the conservative complex that has seen so many reject his candidacy, unless you believe he's following the exact business model conservatives have indulged in for years to move the party in its direction: painting the establishment as the source of all evil. Speculation about Trump using his candidacy to launch his own media empire suggests a profit motive for fracturing the audience of the GOP and its main press outlet, Fox News. And Trump's unwillingness to engage in any minority outreach that doesn't stink of a blatant swindle to win over anxious white voters suggests he's more interested in keeping his base loyal than winning an election. This is probably because he realizes that actually softening his image to win over new voters at this point would be far too little, way too late. His best hope is to stick to his "brand" and hope for the press that financed his primary campaign to find some way to put him in the White House.
So watch that video of Keith Ellison being laughed at for suggesting Trump could win, and remember that unless you depend on ratings for your salary, you don't want to go into November 8 with any regrets.
We already know tRump has financial ties to China and Russia. who needs his tax returns for that. But what is the crook trying to hide. Dont you want to know that. Of course you dont. Your a tRumpster. Put out anything that makes Hillary look bad and hide tRumps crooked business deals.
For a quarter century now the right wing has been callling the Clintons corrupt and they sSTILL haven't found any proof. Just insinuation and innuendo. Now it turns out the Hillary was RIGHT about Colin Powell using a private server and telling her how to do it and why he did, and telling her the day after she was sworn in, not a year later. There goes the whole email nothingness. Bullshit, just like Benghazi.
What is fact is that Trump wants to weaken or get withdraw the US from NATO, and Russia's Number One Foreign Policy Goal is to get rid of NATO or weaken it as much as possible. NATO prevented Russia from taking over Western Europe as well as Eastern Europe after WWII. Then, when Russia economically collapsed in 1991 and could no longer hold on to Hungary, Poland, the Czechs and the rest of Eastern Europe, those countries broke away from Russia and joined NATO-so now NATO prevents Russia from going in and taking those countries back. Putin and Russia HATES this. And now Donald Trump has come up with threats to no longer defend NATO allies if they don't meet financial obligations. This is something that NO president ever said before, since they knew the strategic advantage of keeping NATO unified far outweighed any financial considerations.
Trump also says that he wants to scrap the traditional policy of preventing Russian expansionism in favor of a new policy with Russia, "based on mutual interests". In other words, before Trump the USA pledged support to free nations to prevent them from being taken over. After Trump takes office, everything will be on the table, and whatever our foreign policy is will be determined by ours and Russia's "mutual interests", in other words, when dealing with Russia, everything is negotiable.
So Woiyo, what price should President Trump put on Poland, Hungary and the Czechs so Russia can roll the tanks on? Because with Trump's threatening to disband NATO and his shift toward the "mutual interests" of us and Russia to replace it, you know that subject will come up between Trump and Putin.
Here's the video in which Trump publicly says these things:
Vote for Trump if you don't mind seeing Russian tanks on the streets of Paris in three years.
As explained before, all the other postwar presidents put the security of the US and Europe first and financial arrangements second. So far a distant second that they never mentioned them publicly, any issues like that were discussed behind the scenes so as to present a united front for Russia and the world to see.
Trump has said that he will downgrade the security of the US and Europe to second and the financial arrangements of NATO first, to the point where we will not defend invaded countries if the finances are not paid up.
Since WWII, NATO has been like a top notch fire department whose firefighters are ready to hit the truck and GO at the first call of a fire. Under Trump, NATO will be changed to a fire department who get a fire call, first checks to see that the local property taxes are paid, then the water and sewer bill account are up to date, then tells the guys to go fight the fire. And who also tells the likely arsonist, (Russia), that things can go their way if you offer the fire department the right deal.
Mon 12 Sep, 2016 11:13 am
You voting for a corrupt politician like Clinton is not surprising.
Like you care, even a little, about corruption in politics. When it was the Republicans running the show, you defended them constantly.
Never before or at least since Nixon has there been one as corrupt as Hillary. The WHOLE system including the Congress is infected with the disease is corruption that the middle class way of life will continue to erode.
The people need to send a message of change. If changes has to come from electing Trump, Johnson or Stein, fine. Anyone but Clinton.
Tue 13 Sep, 2016 08:42 am
Are you claiming tRump lies on his returns, that he wouldn't declare payments from Putin as income? I believe he could shoot someone in broad daylight in Times Square and you'd compliment his marksmanship.
Public Policy Polling polls Trump supporters and discovers:
60% Support banning Muslims from entering the United States
50% Support the Confederate flag hanging on the capital grounds
30% Support shutting down all mosques in the United States
30% Wish the South won the civil war
25% Islam should be illegal in the United States
25% Support the policy of Japanese Internment
20% Support banning homosexuals from entering the United States
30% [of Trump supporters] Wish the South won the civil war
First week in office Hillary should propose setting up checkpoints with one way free flights to anywhere outside the country for anyone who wants to give up their American citizenship and leave the country.
Wed 14 Sep, 2016 07:10 pm
That's a basket load.
Thu 15 Sep, 2016 04:28 am
Trump can't "disband" NATO. It's a treaty organization, and only the Senate can ratify or rescind a treaty, and then it takes a two thirds vote. The Senate is not that far down the road to lunacy at this point.
So much of what Trump says, and so much of what the teabaggers blab about shows a complete ignorance of the constitution. It's not that difficult a document to read, even teabaggers should be able to read it in an hour. Of course, understanding it, that could take them much, much longer. Trump is just a popularity whore, he will say whatever he thinks the lunatic fringe of the right wants to hear. He is probably the least qualified, the least informed candidate for this office in our history.