Cycloptichorn wrote:Scenario: Saddam smuggled all his weapons out of Iraq before we got there, including some chemical and biological agents.
Now we don't know WHO has them. And this is a prefferable scenario to KNOWING who has the weapons? How?
Cycloptichorn
p.s. It sounds as if you believe sanctions and blockades can never work again; after all, we can never fully contain a country with 100% accuracy. Do you propose with getting rid of sanctions altogether?
I want to note first of all, that neither of you has disputed my claim that containment is now impossible.
As you state correctly, previously we thought that possibly Hussein was still amassing WMD and developing more, and now we really don't know what became of them. You ask me if this is preferable. My response is this. We simply could not allow someone on a par with Hitler to stockpile an arsenal of superweapons and then use them to dominate the region and kill who knows how many people, perpaps some in America. Someone of his sort simply could not be allowed to continue doing this. We had attempted negotiations for a dozen years and he had mostly demonstrated duplicity and an unwillingness to give them up. He might eventually have progressed to the point where he could simply have announced, "Yes, I have the weapons, and I will use them against anyone who gets in my way. I will now invade Kuwait again, and if you try to stop me, I will destroy Kuwait." We had to end the situation. You are correct, though, in that the proliferation of WMD is a very complex problem with no very good solutions readily available.
You ask: "It sounds as if you believe sanctions and blockades can never work again; after all, we can never fully contain a country with 100% accuracy. Do you propose with getting rid of sanctions altogether?"
I am pointing out that containment cannot work anymore against someone with a possible capacity to build WMD. This is the truth. We can never again contain a country with real assurance that it cannot send agents to kill a million of our citizens. I am not making a specific proposal, I am merely pointing out that this is the new reality.