It's amazing how insulated people seem to be from differing political opinions. Somehow they seem to think they can find a conservative candidate that will draw more from Hillary than from Trump. I suppose they believe their own propaganda about Hillary. She's so unlikable that no one wants to vote for her.
As one person pointed out, even if they pull 10% of the overall vote from Hillary (20% of Democratic support) which would bring her down to 40%, if the other 2 candidates go 25% and 35%, Hillary wins. I have a feeling even with another conservative candidate in the race that Trump's support is going to be in the 20-25% range minimum. I can't see any blue states abandoning Clinton to the point that she gets only 35% of the vote.