Kerry flatline, looks bad for the dems

All true, but rather irrelevant by now, since the Newsweek poll has been followed by a bunch of other polls (CNN/Gallup, ARG, CBS, ABC/WaPo and the Rasmussen tracking one). And of all of them, only the ABC/WaPo poll showed more of a bounce than the Newsweek one had; CBS, ARG and Rasmussen all showed an even smaller bounce and in the CNN/Gallup one, Kerry actually lost ground against Bush compared to before the Convention. See this overview here.

Nah, see above. Out of six post-Convention polls (including Newsweek's), only the ABC/WaPo one had something like 5%. On average, we're talking 2% here. I was speculating here that perhaps Bush had a bounce of his own the two weeks or so before the Convention, which cancelled out any that the Convention itself might have yielded for the Dems.

Quote:

All true, but rather irrelevant by now, since the Newsweek poll has been followed by a bunch of other polls (CNN/Gallup, ARG, CBS, ABC/WaPo and the Rasmussen tracking one). And of all of them, only the ABC/WaPo poll showed more of a bounce than the Newsweek one had; CBS, ARG and Rasmussen all showed an even smaller bounce and in the CNN/Gallup one, Kerry actually lost ground against Bush compared to before the Convention. See this overview here.

Not sure what polls you are looking at.

Like I said the "bounce" would have been very small given the pool of undecided voters is very small. There is little chance Bush will receive a bump either, there just aren't that many voters left out there to give the bounce it bump.

Besides Kerry DID in all the poll GAIN electoral votes which we all know are the only ones that count. As of today he is up by almost 100.

So there was a bounce, it just wasnt the show stopping one the Republicans tried to make out would exist.

Not sure Nimh what your point was except to just sum up the points I had all ready made.

2%, that to me looks like an incorrect presentation of facts. And I'll note so, cause thats what I do.

Same with the quote you posted about the Newsweek poll. It went on and on about how you cant trust the Newsweek poll cause half of it was actually polled before Kerry's speech, so it was all wrong of the media to base any headlines on there being no bounce on it ... posted when you did so, that whole quote was irrelevant, cause there'd been a spate of polls since showing pretty much the same thing (or worse).

Those were my two points. <shrugs>

Following is a summary of the various polls:

ABC News/Washington Post

Registered voters: 50 percent for Kerry v. 44 percent for Bush (6 point Kerry bounce)

Likely voters: 49 percent for Kerry v. 47 percent for Bush (8 point Kerry bounce)

Newsweek

Registered voters: 49 percent for Kerry v. 42 percent for Bush (4 point Kerry bounce)

CBS News

Registered voters: 48 percent for Kerry v. 43 percent for Bush (2 point Kerry bounce)

USA Today/CNN/Gallup

Registered voters: 50 percent for Kerry v. 47 percent for Bush (1 point Bush bounce)

Likely voters: 47 percent for Kerry v. 50 percent for Bush (5 point Bush bounce)