georgeob1 wrote:We were [..] cowed by an arms race started interestingly by the Soviets themselves.
I was (predictably) going to contradict you on that one for a minute, there ...
but then I remembered that I recently looked up the figures on it for some other A2K thread. And the basic numbers I came up with back then easily prove you right (see second graph
here).
Still (but thats waaaay off-topic) - call me ignorant (and I'm not much of an expert on military matters) - but even now I am as unable as I was back then to see the logic of the spending race, when it came to the development of ever more and better rockets etc.
The Star Wars program, however ill-conceived, at least had the logic of an inversed paradigm going for it - once both of you can easily destroy the world several times over, it becomes time to look at smarter
defence systems, rather than keep on escalating the prowess of your offensive weapons. But what was the deal with the latter?
To put it as simply as possible: once you have the weapons to (theoretically) destroy the other's entire country with, what added benefit in developing yet more sophisticated varieties of the same? Is the other really less likely to start a war because you're now able to destroy the other's country
twice over, or more systematically, or quicker?
The only argument I can see myself buying is, indeed, that it was (at least partly) a strategic ploy, focused on weakening the other's socio-economic system rather than achieving any specific military goal. But that notion - of it all being a strategic ploy - presupposes that Reagan c.s. did indeed not themselves believe in the arms race for its own sake, or in the Soviets' imminent military threat to the West's security - and I did not have that impression.
There's even a parallel to Iraq here, it seems ...
Should the Iraq war / occupation end up turning the country into a free, prosperous and allied place after all, one can defend the war retroactively with the long-term strategic end it served. But:
a) if it wasnt a ploy at the time, and Rumsfeld c.s. really believed there was an imminent threat of Saddam's Iraq to America's security, the retroactive rehabilitation will not apply to their judgements at the time. Whereas,
b) if it was, and the 'imminent threat' argument was merely an excuse to sell us the necessary means to achieve the strategic end of a free and allied Iraq with, the retroactive rehabilitation wouldn't change the implication that they lied to us, when they sent our soldiers into war (I can say "us", nowadays, cause there's Dutchmen there too, now

.
Same with Reagan's arms race, I think - if I'm not just rambling here: either the Reaganists really believed in the imminent Soviet threat, in which case the end of the story, however happy, actually sheds an unflattering light on their judgement; or they didnt, and intended the arms race as a means to get the Soviets to their knees with in the first place. But in the latter case the very real, penetrating fear of nuclear doomsday that I remember from the 80s would trace back to their lies.
Of course, it might just be black-and-white thinking that's victimising me here :wink: