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2004 Elections: Democratic Party Contenders

 
 
Brand X
 
  1  
Reply Mon 13 Oct, 2003 07:18 pm
Just what position is Dennis campaigning for? Shocked


http://www.cyranosplace.com/famous/DenKuc.jpg
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timberlandko
 
  1  
Reply Mon 13 Oct, 2003 09:16 pm
PDiddie, your source offers a well thought, and to my mind, quite reasonable assessmrent of the state of The Candidate Circus ... though I have a niggling suspicion Lieberman may prove tougher than currently perceived. Maybe not. At this point, I see Dean, Kerry, Gephardt and Lieberman going to the quarter-finals, so to speak, with Kerry and Lieberman as underdogs by the current rankings. I do expect the field to narrow precipitously, the winnowing likely beginning well before the actual primary and caucaus series begin.

I'm curious, though, what amuses you about my partial recitation of Clark's established credentials and related comparison with some of his most recent compatriots? In what way is what I presented there unreal?

nimh, while case can be made against running deficits in time of crisis, and certainly case can be made for overall fiscal responsibility, I will say the Dutch have, particularly recently, exhibited far more financial restraint and fortitude than have a number of larger EU parners. I surmise much of the Dutch economic stance is due to need arising from commitment to the EU, both in spirit and letter. I would however, submit, that as tax cuts are stimulative, deficit spending during time of recession is a means of increasing liquidity in a cash-poor economy. In concert, the two foster general economic expansion. I do not deny that both are needful of dilligent attention. I believe the current US deficit, as a percentage of the overall US economy, to be eminently supportable,; it is as yet comapratively low by such consideration, as deficits go. The combined effect of deficit spending and tax cuts, by their stimulative impact, will occasion increased revenue through expanding taxable cashflow, thereby mitigating and eventually eliminating the current deficit long before it becomes particularly burdensome.

The Afghanis minus the Taliban Regime are overall in positive prospect, as are the Iraqis minus the Ba'athist Regime, though admittedly confronted by significant challenge in the prevalence of religio-tribal partisanship and general brigandry. I excuse nor condone neither, but recognize them as natural consequence of the inevitable power vacuum which follows the violent overthrow of one authority without the immediate and draconian imposition af a successor authority. No such draconian successor authority has been imposed, either in Iraq, or in Afghanistan. I would submit that on whole the peoples of both nations see their situations improved, and their prospects enhanced, even while some in each nation will harbor resentments and enmity.

I disagree than 9/11 was a standalone event; I see it as a point in a progression which began with embassy bombings, the initial attack on the WTC, and escalating attacks in the Persian Gulf region. Following proactive American response, the efficacy, and audacity, of international terrorist action has declined, hardly indicators of maintenance of cohesion, strengthening position or substantive acheivement of gain, real or perceived. I believe the captures and demises of major terrorist-oranization infrastructure individuals, siezures of assetts, and exposure and thwarting of plans have been of significant, if not crippling, inconvenience to stateless terrorism. I do not submit that the beast is beaten, but I notion the notion it is winning. I contend it has been actively engaged, and is disadvantaged by contest with superior force.

I submit that in real terms, employment, though lagging other indicators, as is customary, is entering recovery, and I submit further that as employment increases within an expanding economy, poverty will accordingly decrease. There simply is no counterargument, unless one is to deny demonstrated economic trends.

As to the Patriot Act and appropriateness in wartime, I probably should have said "much legislation" was "wholly appropriate". I concede there is bipartisan opposition to various of the Act's components and provisions, but I contend that established checks and balances, not least of which including the electoral process, preclude substantive reduction of American Liberty.

Finally, I did not mean to imply you, or all The Left, campaigned against religion, I more meant to compare that perception to the opposite, and equally questionable, perception that The Right was driven by religion.

BrandX, as to what position Kucinich is trying out for, I would submit that he is more likely believeable as a performer in a regional RenFair than as a leader of international stature. Laughing
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 13 Oct, 2003 09:53 pm
Gotta read before I open my small mouth. :*
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Scrat
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Oct, 2003 11:26 am
hobitbob wrote:
Scrat wrote:
Sofia wrote:
The Dems are on the arc of a learning curve.
Lesson #1-- The uniform doesn't make the man.

Your statement assumes facts not in evidence; namely that Dems can learn from facts. The Dems we're dealing with don't care a tinker's cuss for facts. The only pertinent data to them are how they feel about the issue and what they want reality to be. Facts? We don't need no steenkeeng facts!

Have you looked at the face of the Republican party lately? Huge tax cuts in a recession. Two wars going on with negligible positive results, and bellicose language flying about in support of others. Poverty and joblessness increasing. Efforts underway to undermine civil liberties. Serious efforts being made to eliminate the seperation of churh and state, etc.... I don't think the Republicans have that strong a grip on reality.

1) We are not in a RECESSION. Check your economic textbooks for a definition.

2) An economic downturn is exactly the time to give people tax relief.

3) I won't bother listing the positive results of our war on terror... you wouldn't acknowledge the facts if I did.

4) I share your concern about civil liberties, but you need to take a look at Dems there too.

5) I know of no efforts to eliminate the church/state boundary. I do know of efforts to roll back anti-religious governmental rules and regulations. (There is a difference, but I'm confident you lack the ability to see it.)

6) Grip on reality? Look in the mirror.
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timberlandko
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Oct, 2003 02:01 pm
Whether or not The Dems have a grip on reality, they sure seem to have a knack for pouring lots of energy into issues only they see.
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Brand X
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Oct, 2003 02:56 pm
More infighting.

Oct 14, 11:01 AM EDT

Dean, Kerry Exchange Insults Over Iraq

By HOLLY RAMER
Associated Press Writer

CONCORD, N.H. (AP) -- Democrat Howard Dean and John Kerry are trading insults over the war in Iraq, with Kerry faulting his presidential rival for a lack of policy and Dean complaining that "we wouldn't be there if it weren't for Democrats like Senator Kerry."

The latest scrap between the two candidates started Saturday, the first anniversary of House passage of the congressional resolution authorizing the use of military force in Iraq. To bolster its argument that Kerry had switched sides since voting for the measure, the Dean campaign issued a list of quotes from the Massachusetts senator that it said highlighted his inconsistencies.

Kerry responded Monday, telling Vermont Public Radio that Dean has never laid out a clear plan for how Iraq should be handled.

Full story
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dyslexia
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Oct, 2003 03:04 pm
does anyone remember the mud wrestling that went on between McCain and Bush?
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Sofia
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Oct, 2003 03:57 pm
Responding to dys' Bush/McCain question--

I don't think anyone suggests it doesn't happen.
It does.
McCain's barbs at Bush didn't keep Bush from getting elected.
Many times, the bombs thrown by your own party pre-primary and in the run up to the general election can be the most scathing, and the ones that come back to roost in the general election.

Bush survived his.
Now, we are focusing on the damage the Dems are doing to one another.
We'll see who limps to the nomination. :wink:
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BillW
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Oct, 2003 03:59 pm
Seems to mean more to Republicans than it does to Dems - so be it!!!!
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hobitbob
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Oct, 2003 04:17 pm
Sofia wrote:

Many times, the bombs thrown by your own party pre-primary and in the run up to the general election can be the most scathing, and the ones that come back to roost in the general election.


WHich is one reason I get so very disgusted with all of the candidates very early. I liked McCain in 2000, but figured with Bushy-Poo II's greater money and connections he would get elected. That is just what happened. imagine that. Rolling Eyes I like Dean now, but despite his successful fundraising, I think Clark will get the nomination beacuse he has the support of the party apparatus. Sad
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Lightwizard
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Oct, 2003 04:37 pm
apparatus = machinery (sometimes actually meaning machinations).

I love political euphemisms, but let's not be too nice. One could also be kind and use "arrange" for "orchestrate," the later being more Machiavalian
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Dartagnan
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Oct, 2003 04:46 pm
Whatever works. Bush won the nomination because the Republican powers-that-be decided he would win. And he did. Right now I could happily support Clark or Dean. Despite the latter's populist support, I don't really see him as that much more liberal* than most of the others.



*I know this word is a real red flag to some of our True Believers, but the rest of us know what the word means.
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Oct, 2003 05:41 pm
timberlandko wrote:
I will say the Dutch have, particularly recently, exhibited far more financial restraint and fortitude than have a number of larger EU parners. I surmise much of the Dutch economic stance is due to need arising from commitment to the EU, both in spirit and letter.


You're right. The Dutch government is trying to stay well below the formal limits the EU has set to its member states in forming the EMU. The Labour opposition wants to run up the budget deficit to just under those limits, in order to stimulate the economy, but the conservative government wants to stay on the safe side. (Interesting dis-synchronicity with the positions on the matter of the US left and right, isn't it?). Meanwhile, Germany and especially France, which of course impact the EU economy much stronger, are already transgressing the limits.

timberlandko wrote:
The Afghanis minus the Taliban Regime are overall in positive prospect, as are the Iraqis minus the Ba'athist Regime, though admittedly confronted by significant challenge in the prevalence of religio-tribal partisanship and general brigandry. I excuse nor condone neither, but recognize them as natural consequence of the inevitable power vacuum which follows the violent overthrow of one authority without the immediate and draconian imposition af a successor authority.


Agreed - I am among those who, even confronted with those two extremes, prefer anarchy over dictatorship. But that doesnt change the fact that any conclusion on the costs/benefits of the wars must go beyond "the liberation of over 50 million people from repressive, totalitarian, belligerant regimes" in admitting what has replaced it - because the benefit of going from living under a totalitarian Taliban regime to living under a local warlord's random violence is very relative, indeed ...

In Iraq, perhaps it is indeed the transitionary phase you suggest, but in Afghanistan, it is merely a return to the cruel chaos the Afghans lived in for about a full decade before the Taliban, as well .. that's how it became the hideout for bin Laden's like, in the first place.

timberlandko wrote:
I disagree than 9/11 was a standalone event; I see it as a point in a progression which began with embassy bombings, the initial attack on the WTC, and escalating attacks in the Persian Gulf region. Following proactive American response, the efficacy, and audacity, of international terrorist action has declined, hardly indicators of maintenance of cohesion, strengthening position or substantive acheivement of gain, real or perceived.


How are the post-9/11 terrorist attacks a sign of declined terrorist prowess compared to the pre-9/11 attacks? There's more of them, in a wider range of countries ...

timberlandko wrote:
I submit that in real terms, employment, though lagging other indicators, as is customary, is entering recovery, and I submit further that as employment increases within an expanding economy, poverty will accordingly decrease. There simply is no counterargument, unless one is to deny demonstrated economic trends.


Well, thats basically a prediction, right? Cause at the moment, US unemployment is at a standstill: 6.1-6.2% all through the third quarter of this year - and on average 6.2% in the previous three months as well ... source

Meanwhile, a MSNBC item points out, its the election-deciding Reagan Democrats who've been hit hardest these past three years of Bush government:

MSNBC wrote:
manufacturing has suffered grievously during the last three years, with fully 10 percent of all manufacturing jobs now gone. Since this decade began, U.S. corporations have eliminated nearly 2 million manufacturing jobs, a number that accounts for the lion’s share of the increase in U.S. unemployment.


Even more than a 0,1% decrease in unemployment the next few months isnt going to do anything like compensating that 10% loss for those working in manufacturing ... that may be the natural course of things in the globalising economy, but that wont make those newly unemployed any happier. Even if an economic recovery is in the make, will it be in time for Bush? Unemployment stats may be lagging other indicators, but voters' preferences tend to lag them again. If I remember right Bush Senior was also voted out because of an economic downturn that had actually reversed just a few months before the elections. (Ah well - reading tea leaves ...)
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Oct, 2003 05:47 pm
Following up on the poll results I already dipped into in a post above, this MSNBC articlenotes that:

Quote:
There are signs, however, that Americans are increasingly dissatisfied with the current political establishment. Seventy percent of those polled say the country’s political system is so controlled by special interests and partisanship that it cannot respond to the country’s real needs; 25 percent disagree. And more than half of respondents (54 percent) say they are dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States now, while 40 percent say they are satisfied—almost a complete reversal from six months ago when half of Americans said they were satisfied and 41 percent were not. [..]

Forty-four percent of registered voters say the economy and jobs will be more important in determining their vote in the presidential election next year, though [53% say that] terrorism and homeland security are equally important [..] or more important. More Americans now disapprove than approve of the way Bush is handling the economy (56 percent vs. 38 percent); the situation in Iraq (49 percent vs. 44 percent); taxes (47 percent vs. 43 percent); and, by the widest margin yet, healthcare (51 percent vs. 34 percent).
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Oct, 2003 05:54 pm
The actual unemployment rate in the US is over nine million. There's also been an increase in the poverty numbers during the past several years. With many of the factory and high tech jobs going overseas, the only area of expansion would be in the service industry. I'm not sure how many more service people this country needs when we're not producing any products to sell at home and abroad. Decrease in the labor force means less consumers to buy the goods and services available in the market place. I'm not sure how gross sales will continue to increase when the labor force continues to shrink. Maybe there's something in macro economics that I'm missing.
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nimh
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Oct, 2003 08:20 pm
My father, a while ago, quoted a stat at me (that I haven't had the chance to check), that held that the poorest people in America actually are worse off, in terms of spending power, now than even in 1980. Through the 80s and 90s, they suffered from all the cut-backs, and didnt benefit from the yuppie and dotcom-fueled economic booms ...

I wonder whether his figures were right. It doesnt sound unfeasible - both the US and my own country have, as a whole, become much, much richer these last two decades, but with extremely varying results for rich, middle-class and poor. In the 80s, for example, in Holland the economy as a whole grew impressively - but those on benefits lost 15% in buying power, which just shows that economic growth and poverty reduction are really two very different beasts. Even the rich 1990s didnt wholly make up for that, though the slashed unemployment rates compensated for a lot, of course.
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Oct, 2003 10:02 am
nimh,

I generraly agree with your interpretation of the matter. Consumer interest rates in 1980 were several times their values today. Unemployment, both absolutely and relatively is less now than in 1980,and like Holland, the country as a whole ismuch richer. This canard is ofter rolled out in opposition to the welfare reform that was enacted in a bipartisan effort during the Clinton Administrations. In fact we fouind that though the number of welfare recipients dropped dramatically, unemployment did not rise, suggesting a good deal of chiseling was going on.
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au1929
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Oct, 2003 12:18 pm
Quote:
Just what position is Dennis campaigning for?


Dopey in Snow White and the seven dwarfs.
He can't seem to understand this simple truth about the present situation in Iraq. Embarrassed


Holding Our Noses

By NICHOLAS D. KRISTOF

Published: October 15, 2003
I haven't written about Iraq lately because, frankly, it felt like shooting fish in a barrel.It was sporting to write columns opposing the war back in January, when the White House was conjuring enough Iraqi anthrax "to kill several million people," as well as hordes of cheering Iraqis casting flowers on our soldiers. These days, with that anthrax as elusive as Saddam himself, with the people we've liberated busy killing us, with the bill for Iraq coming in at $90,000 a minute — well, criticizing the war just seems too easy, like aiming a bomb at Bambi. So I won't do it.In any case, the real question that confronts us now is not whether invading Iraq was the height of hubris, but this: Given that we are there, how do we make the best of it? I'm afraid that too many in my dovish camp think that just because we shouldn't have invaded, we also shouldn't stay — or at least we shouldn't help Mr. Bush pay the bill. Mr. Bush's $87 billion budget request for Iraq and Afghanistan is getting pummeled on Capitol Hill this week, partly because people are angry at being misled and patronized by this administration.Granted, some elements of the budget (like much of our Iraq operation) seem too rooted in our own expectations. In northern Iraq, U.S. engineers reported that it would take $50 million to bring a cement factory in the area to Western standards. The U.S. general there, lacking that kind of money, found some Iraqis who got it going again for $80,000.And people like those in my hometown of Yamhill, Ore., have trouble understanding why the administration wants to buy Iraqis new $50,000 garbage trucks. On my last visit, I was struck how Oregonians, seeing their local school programs slashed, resent having to subsidize Iraq. That resentment runs deep: the latest USA Today/CNN/Gallup poll shows Americans opposing the Iraq budget request, 57 to 41 percent.So my fear is that we will now compound our mistake of invading Iraq by refusing to pay for our occupation and then pulling out our troops prematurely. If Iraq continues to go badly, if Democrats continue to hammer Mr. Bush for his folly, if Karl Rove has nightmares of an election campaign fought against a backdrop of suicide bombings in Baghdad, then I'm afraid the White House may just declare victory and retreat. In that case, Iraq would last about 10 minutes before disintegrating into a coup d'etat or a civil war.Couldn't happen, you say? We let Afghanistan fall apart after the victory over the Soviet-backed government in 1992. We let Somalia disintegrate after our pullout in 1993-94. And right now, incredibly, the administration is letting Afghanistan fall apart all over again.If that happens in Iraq, American credibility will be devastated, Al Qaeda will have a new base for operations, and Iraqis will be even worse off than they were in the days of Saddam Hussein.Hmm. Who knows? In that event, Saddam might return as the warlord of Tikrit.How do we reduce the chance that Iraq will collapse? First, by holding our noses and passing the president's budget request for Iraq and Afghanistan. Iraqis I've interviewed are often suspicious of U.S. intentions ("You're planning to steal our oil!"), but they're willing to give us a chance if we can stop rapes and get factories open. Slashing that budget — or turning it into a loan to be repaid with oil revenues — would destroy the Iraqi economy and convince many wavering Iraqis that we are conquerors who are best dealt with by blowing us up.We can also shore up Iraq by arranging an early transfer of sovereignty back to Iraqis, as Kofi Annan and others have suggested — a move the administration initially sputtered about but now seems to accept. Sure, it may be only a symbolic gesture, but anyone who says symbols don't matter doesn't understand nationalism.The greatest foreign policy mistake the U.S. has made over the last half-century has been its obliviousness to nationalism. Today as well, plenty of ordinary Iraqis would prefer to be misruled by Iraqis than ruled by Americans. Above all, to stave off catastrophe in Iraq, we must keep our troops there and provide security, for that is the glue that keeps Iraq together. I believe that President Bush was wrong to go into Iraq, but he's right about staying there.
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Tartarin
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Oct, 2003 01:27 pm
Re: poverty. A statistic I came across while researching another matter: the US has at present the highest child poverty rate among industrialized nations. This may have been cited already, haven't read posts before this page!
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au1929
 
  1  
Reply Wed 15 Oct, 2003 01:36 pm
Tartarin
Sad to say this nation is heading in a two tier direction. Haves and have nots.
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