Dyslexia writes
Quote:so foxfyre as I understand your post if Bush gets re-elected it's because the voters rationally looked at the issues and found Bush compelling but when Clinton got re-elected it was because the voters "don't have a clue about substance or issues"
very interesting.
Well, rereading my post, I can see how you might interpret it that way, but I didn't quite mean it that way.
Looking back at the 1996 election, the way I saw it, the polls indicated that Dole's 'likability' negatives were much higher than Clinton's despite questions about Clinton's character and dealings and despite the fact that Dole was perceived as the more honest of the two. Dole did well in impromptu and unscripted settings such as speaking on the Senate floor or cracking jokes during a committee meeting. Unfortunately these were seen mostly on Cspan and were rarely shown on national TV. So people saw Dole as old, dull, boring, unattractive. In a campaign that didn't have much in the way of compelling issues at all, he was beaten by a younger, more energetic looking, more photogenic Bill Clinton. There was also the Perot factor in 1996. I am reasonably certain that Perot handed Clinton the 1992 election. I think in 1996 Clinton would have won if Perot had not run even though he still did not get 50% of the popular vote. Of course there are always going to be some who will vote GOP or Dem no matter who is running. But I would venture you would be hard put to find many people who could tell you what the 1996 issues were without looking.
This year Kerry is struggling with an 'unlikeability' factor coupled with a credibility factor, and there are compelling issues. I think in the end the election will be decided on two: the economy and Iraq/war on terrorism. The economy is booming along and looks to get stronger which is good for Bush. Come November if the American people are convinced that the war on terrorism is still a valid issue, I think they may well decide that GWB is the most committed and trustworthy to deal with it.
This is all strictly my opinion of course.