@MontereyJack,
Quote:Yeah. Ghought so. Your "stats" are the same lame stuff as all the other deniers, like gungasnake cuts and pastes repeatedly. Probabilities are onlymitiplicative if they don't change. The problem is, with biological organismas, they CHANGE.. If you toss a die (that's one of a pair of dice), the .probability of any one number coming up is 1/6, if and only if the die is balanced and wunweighted. If every time the die comes up with a 6, for example, you put a little bit of weight on the opposite side, and increase that weight every time you get a 6, pretty soon all you will get is 6s.They rarely make that caveat clear in stat 101, aned you deniers ignokre it. Evolution is somewhat analogous to that. Omce a beneficial change in the genome happens and is passed on to the descendants who are more successgul than others and out reproduce them, it's probability rises and increases further in each generatkon, so multiplying the probabilities is no longer relevant because they increase with every generation (which can be as little as 20 minutes with single cenll organismas). And that happens with every successful change in the genome. So p1p2p3p4p5...pn allbeneficial mutations, approaches 1, not zero. Yes, some mutations and changes are harmful, those don't get reinforced. Most are neutral, thay seem to have no apparent affect on the carrier organism. Some are beneficial. Those are the ones that get reinforced and drive evolution. You're a victim of lousy statistics, grump.
Nope, the one who doesn't get the statistics is you. You see, make the highest probablity for an 'event' the highest you can get, like "0.9999999999..."
It is still between 0 and 1. And because you have to multiply numbers between o and 1, the more you have (like billions of years, which is nonsense), the LOWER the change,
BUT I do understand you want to talk you way out of this, because you are defending your belief system. Certainly no truth or something.
There was NO macro-evolution, there IS no macro-evolution and there will never BE any macro-evil-lotion,
You seem I once was fooled and believed all this crap and yunk.
I am only asking you to look closer and free your mind, of this extremely stupid and ugly and very wrong theory.