@farmerman,
farmerman wrote: I have to tell you that I was totally clueless about Paul.
This is obvious - you don't recognize the operation of the intelligence (at least our own), and the processes that are happening as a result of its operation (intelligent design), ontology, etc.
I was wondering only why you use past tense.
farmerman wrote: I assume that Paul can pick a bunch of winners by some octopussian ESP.
FM, you are great – everything is so easy to explain at your level of understanding of the world ... and explaining the things superficially.
In any case I doubt that it is extrasensory perception. The boxes have been full of food ... and it had nothing to do with the football matches. No correlation at all.
IMV the octopus had simply chosen 'the better flag' (the one that is more beautifully designed, has 'better' colors that would suggest coral reef food habitat with good food in it ... in other words the one with the 'better food chances' in the box chosen on the grounds of the external design).
Actually there is super-weak correlation there – that a nation that is more ambitious, has has more dignity, persists on its world reputation, etc. would have a better (designed) flag – and would fight for more prestige, to win the football matches for example.
So, what happens next? We have a prediction (P), which is almost stochastic, or at least with no direct correlation to the events it is predicting (E) (for billion of people - the spectators at the stadium, on the TV, etc. - it is not only for the 22 football players + the 5 football referees) and somehow P(E, B) comes true. I was asking exactly about that P(E,B).
The only plausible explanation that I have come across so far is that P manipulates somehow B in terms of E. There is psychic pressure and mental attitude (A) created as a result of P, and if the A(B) is enough, E comes true. It is not the Octopus Paul that is manipulating the games - it is the superstitions of the mob that execute the prediction. Everything depends on that how far would you trust the next 'extrasensory' octopus.
... and the next question is: if we don't have the Christian religion for example (which is a relatively harmless form of superstitions) can you guarantee that its place in our mind will not be taken by the next 'extrasensory' octopus ... that might have the ambition to predict not only the football games ... but to explain also the 'creation' of the universe through evolution (of any kind) and to pretend to be the best 'explanation'?
In other words can you warrant that this place there will stay for long in vacuum and zero-gravity ... and what would be the eventual effect of this?