15
   

Countdown to the fall of Assad

 
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Thu 13 Dec, 2012 03:50 pm
@Robert Gentel,
Which would transform it from a democracy, and since it is extremely unlikely, for a number of reasons, that Islamist nations will not even approach the Turkish model, it's almost cry fair to say that Islamist and democratic are mutally exclusive.
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Thu 13 Dec, 2012 04:02 pm
It's hard to imagine the Assad regime enduring, but as the cliche goes, anything is possible. It's even more difficult to imagine that the violence will not continue if and when the Assad regime falls.

Hard core Islamists are among the rebels and they are not going to country to moderate Moslems or liberal secularists once the regime falls.

Iran, obviously,wants to keep the regime in place as long as it can but it's interests lie first and foremost with Syria the piece of real estate rather than Assad. Before or after the regime falls, Iran will be buying influence with factions among the rebels. If they can make establish a meaningful influence in the Iraqi government, how much easier will it be for them to do so with rebel factions, and even whatever government rises from the ashes.

There's nothing inherent in Arabs or even Islam which serves as an inoculation against democracy, but the the deck is so stacked against democratic reform that it's just not possible to imagine it taking root anywhere in the region.
0 Replies
 
 

Related Topics

T'Pring is Dead - Discussion by Brandon9000
Another Calif. shooting spree: 4 dead - Discussion by Lustig Andrei
Before you criticize the media - Discussion by Robert Gentel
Fatal Baloon Accident - Discussion by 33export
The Day Ferguson Cops Were Caught in a Bloody Lie - Discussion by bobsal u1553115
Robin Williams is dead - Discussion by Butrflynet
Amanda Knox - Discussion by JTT
 
Copyright © 2024 MadLab, LLC :: Terms of Service :: Privacy Policy :: Page generated in 0.03 seconds on 04/26/2024 at 02:30:29