The Democratic Convention

Rasmussen notes it's employment index has fallen to a ten-month low:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/business/indexes/rasmussen_employment_index/rasmussen_employment_index

and the reasons for that are not difficult to discern. Bork Obunga has basically declared war on America's small business community (which produces most new jobs under normal circumstances), and businesses of all sizes are holding back on hiring and investment in the US because they no longer can predict any sort of a future here or have any idea what they're dealing with wrt taxes and regulations coming from rogue agencies and agencies which have gone rogue or been induced to go rogue under Obunga.

Add the Obunga anti-energy policies into the picture and what you see is the beginning of systemic collapse. Somewhere around $3.50/gal, gas prices start to shut the American economy down and they've now been at or over that mark for the past three years. People start driving to work, to church, and to the grocery store, and that's every bit of it. Even Northern Virginia which is usually immune is seeing shopping malls closing down and store fronts boarded up like in the old part of Baltimore.

Another four years of this **** and we'll be rubbing sticks together to make fire.

People might start driving to work, to church, and to the grocery store, and that's every bit of it. That might be the idea. To calm us down a bit. It's a long way from rubbing two sticks together to make a fire. It's more taking it a bit easier. Like I do.

It doesn't bear thinking about where the DOW would be if everybody behaved like I do. Shop till you drop is my motto as long as I'm not doing any dropping. Whenever I go to the shop it's a boring trudge to the beer shelves and back. I would probably keep chickens if there wasn't always eggs in the fridge.

And it wouldn't be "that's it" either. There are a lot of other things to do besides racing up and down feverishly trying to get one up on the neighbours and assorted other brain points in the general field of extension. I'm watching a butterfly flit from flower to flower right now. That's more interesting than a flying visit to Tibet. Tibet being the "in" place because nobody has been there. Which, from what I've seen on TV, is not surprising. And if it's the "in" place for any length of time everybody has been there and it's "out", common, "been there, done that, got the T-shirt and the video, the snaps and the slides and the lumps on my head from people trying to shut me up rabbiting about the dump". It's like hem lines. Which is another story but the "in" and "out" hemlines, a metaphor of course, explain the yards and yards of ladies garments which special cupboards have to be fitted to accomodate.

No wonder Bush was mentioned more during the DNC than the RNC,! right Ganja?

Rap

While the model might be good in normal times this isn't really normal times. We have a major economic blowup and a GOP congress that has blocked as much as they could of any government response to help the economy. The model may not see clearly how voters will view the obstruction of the party not holding the WH.

So where the heck did you pull that number from?

NYT analyst Nate Silver posted several comments via Twitter on the CU model around the end of August (he had problems with it). I think he may have even written an article on same.

On 8/22, he tweeted:

"If you want a "fundamentals" model that shows Romney winning, the Hibbs model is a lot more sensible."

Link to the Hibbs model

Thanks for the link.

Interesting.

I wouldn't have expected anything more from you Cyclo

There's a duty to let guys like you know from time to time; we occasionally draw straws to see whose turn it is.

Cycloptichorn

A rather nasty jibe has just been made by an important employee of Sky News about Mr Romney. The same one that Mr Obama had made more politely.

But Sky News is owned by Rupert Murdoch. In the item there was no need to add the snappy one-liner.

To maintain that it is not a straw in the wind requires that the newsreader who made it was off on one of his own. Which I think a bit unlikely.

Without a link or any further context, your last post was little more than inane blather.

The important context was there and was the entire point. Jibes are ten-a-penny. It is who makes them that is important.

I'm sorry you didn't understand snood but you not doing is no reason to come to such a silly conclusion.

Being understood by everybody is not my objective.

Oopsie!

American...Russian...those big old ships all look the same, right???

Yeah, to laymen they do.

If a graphics guy goes and finds a stock photo of a naval vessel, it's likely that the description doesn't even include accurate info of what the ships are.

But Navy guys can spot the differences immediately (old Soviet and US ships look very different) and it was a shout-out to vets. Definitely something that someone should own up to but maybe they won't hoping to keep the faux pas quiet.

Definitely a faux pas, but hardly a "slap in the face" as some on that site were suggesting.

No slap in the face, and no big deal unless someone tries to deny or coverup a simple mistake. It's a picture, not a policy statement.

It was kinda cute, though.

Yeah I know, your left-wing circle jerk.

They don't even look close to the same.
The only similiarities is that they are the same color as US Navy warships.