@cicerone imposter,
There are a number of reasons why one shouldn't assume Obama will win...despite the polls:
We all know people who voted for Obama in 2008 who will not do so in 2012. Does anyone know a McCain voter who will now vote for Obama?
He can't possibly generate the turn-out he benefited from in 2008. He can't capture lightning in a bottle. 2008 was a once in a lifetime election. He will win the Black, Hispanic, Youth and Unmarried Mother vote, but their numbers will not come close to what they were in 2008.
Current polling over counts Democrats and relies on the voter turnout percentages of 2008.
Undecided voters always, in the main, break for the challenger.
There are huge numbers of voters who don't want to admit that they have given up on the first black president. They, unfortunately, buy into the nonsense that to do so is racist and they are so insecure as to worry whether or not a nameless voice on the telephone who is polling them thinks they may be racist.
Past history on polling indicates it is unreliable in terms of what it suggests.
Polling in Wisconsin (including exit polling) suggested that Walker would defeat the recall by a slim margin. He ended up getting more votes than he did when he originally ran for office.
Polling missed the 2010 Tea Party sweep.
When Kerry challenged Bush, Republicans watched the early returns with dread and nausea as pundits all across TV (including FOX) exulted or lamented that the exit polls indicated that Kerry of Vietnam would win.
If the race remains tight until Nov 6th, Romney will win, even if Obama is 2 or 3 points ahead on Nov 5th.
The MSM encourages Liberals and maddens Conservatives, but Independents don't buy any of the **** they are selling. They have ruined what little reputation they have with their leg-humping of Obama.
And most importantly of all, God loves America and won't let the anti-Christ win.
He'll have to work his evil intent as General Secretary of the United Nations.
It won't be a Romney landslide, as some wishful thinkers on the Right contend, but it will be a win and that will do Babe, that will do.