blatham wrote:
Can we agree first of all that the more nukes floating around, the more dangerous the situation for everyone?
Nope. It depends upon who is holding the nukes. Certainly, evil flaky nations like Iraq and North Korea should never hold nukes. Generally, it is good for responsible nations like America, Britain, maybe even France, to hold a substantial arsenal of nukes. There is a point of diminishing returns where you have more nukes than targets. However, the smaller your arsenal of nukes, the greater the threat of nuclear war becomes because a nuclear opponent has a greater chance of wiping out your arsenal in a first strike. It also reduces the reliability of a successful counter attack. If you have ten thousand nukes, your counterattack can be counted on to be successful. If you have only a hundred nukes, your counterattack may meet with limited success.
The worst and most dangerous situation of all is to ban nukes. If all the civilized countries rigorously upheld their agreement to reject nukes it would give too much advantage to the evil nations to acquire them. Of course, the bad guys would develop nukes. They always will. That's why we need a substantial nuclear arsenal to suppress their evil ways.
blatham wrote:
Diane suggests that the UN ought to be the world police force.
False. I don't see where the UN has been particularly effective in projecting military force, largely because it's military deployments are run by committee. You need unity of command to effectively wage war. In the UN, you have dozens of hands on the wheel, steering it in crazy and self-defeating directions.
blatham wrote:
Diane also concludes that the UN doesn't seem up to the task. But that is surely because certain states, including the US, don't want it to be because that entails placing themselves in a position junior to another administrative body. Until that mindset changes, it's tough to see how the UN won't continue to be purposefully hobbled.
Yes, you have it quite right that we don't want the UN to run our military. We don't want Third World majorities to spill our boys blood pursuing bad or stupid agendas. We want our military to remain ours and responsible only to the people of the US. We certainly do not want the UN disciplining or court-martialing our troops if they are part of a military campaign of which the European bureaucrats reject. That mindset, that a democracy should not give up its defense to others, should never change.
blatham wrote:
Steissd's argument that the US's possession of nukes will deter rogue states and terrorists from getting uppity seems particularly uncompelling. Usama wasn't much intimidated, nor are his agents presently dining in a MacDonalds in Detroit, so nukes are irrelevant to terroism.
True. Nukes don't deter terrorism. Nukes deter coarser threats, not fine threats like terrorism, just as nukes don't deter commando raids. However, our nuclear arsenal and conventional military superiority is what drives armed opposition of our evil adversaries to terrorism. They can never win a conventional war against us. Terrorism is all they have left. It is a strategy of weakness.
However, nukes are not irrelevant to terrorism. Bin Laden desperately wants a nuke. He had his minions working hard on the problem of buying or developing one. The radical fundamentalist Islamic strategy includes taking over Pakistan in order to acquire its nuclear weapons so as to use them on the infidels. That means us.
Tantor