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Sat 20 Aug, 2011 08:05 pm
Again, the bubble can be attributed to a short-circuit between the value of assets and the act of valuation. This short-circuit is called the wealth effect.
WHAT does "SHORT-CIRCUIT " mean in the above sentence?
The following is the paragraph where the sentence is from.
"I believe we are currently in the midst of a gigantic real estate bubble. It was caused by the determination of the Federal Reserve Bank not to allow a stock market decline in 2001 to turn into a self-reinforcing rout. The federal funds rate was lowered to 1 percent. Mortgage institutions encouraged mortgage holders to refinance their mortgages and withdraw the excess equity. They lowered their lending standards and introduced new products such as adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs), “interest only” mortgages, and promotional “teaser rates.” All this encouraged speculation in residential housing units. House prices started to rise at double-digit rates. This served to reinforce speculation, and the rise in house prices made the owners feel rich; the result was a consumption boom that has sustained the economy in recent years. Again, the bubble can be attributed to a short-circuit between the value of assets and the act of valuation. This short-circuit is called the wealth effect."-----------《The Age of Fallibility》
Literally, a short circuit is an electical fault in which some conductor bridges the electrical circuit before the electricity reaches its intended target. So, for example, if you were foolishly working on your electrical wiring, and you accidentally laid a screwdriver across two bare wires leading to an electric light, the electrical curent would flow through the screwdiver (and probably through you), rather than to the electic light. It is a common cause of electrical fires.
In figurative language, a short circuit means something which bypasses rules or procedures, or something which hinders or frustrates an effort. In this specific case, short circuit means that the normal process by which one's financial evalution (the evaluation of one's financial position) has been bypassed by the illusion of wealth. Because the property is over-valued, because of this "short circuit" between the real value of one's assets and the perceived value of one's assets (the act of valuation), the individual feels wealthy, and spends money accordingly. The author is saying that this "short circuit" can sustain an economy for a long period of time because people spend their money as though they were wealthier than a fair evaluation of their assets would indicate.
That may not be all that clear, so please ask any question you need to to ask ot try to understand this figurative usage.
@Setanta,
Quote:and you accidentally laid a screwdriver across two bare wires leading to an electric light, the electrical curent would flow through the screwdiver (and probably through you)
That depends, of course, on whether you were bright enough [no pun intended] to hold onto the correct end of the screwdriver. The correct end being the insulated end.