@Sentience,
Sentience wrote:
Thousands of alternative realities could exist. What if water was a hallucinogen, and you're really pink elephant, and any evidence to the contrary was caused by the water? It's in more than eighty percent of your body, how could you sober yourself without dying? What if space, energy, and matter is an illusion and your conscious is a spaceless existent thing that has simply conjured this reality?
There are so many things that MIGHT be true it only makes sense to believe the reality we observe.
Essentially, nothing but thought and existence is certain and anything might be true, but it doesn't matter.
But that something
might be true is not only no reason to think that it is true, must no reason to think that its truth has any
plausibility. That it might be true that there is a Spaghetti Monster flying about does not make it, in the least,
plausible (let alone probable or true) that there is a Spaghetti Monster. So, that something might be true is no reason to take the suggestion that it is true, even seriously.
Why should our only criterion for belief be that what we believe is certain in the sense that we could not be mistaken? It seems to me that we ought to believe what we are not mistaken about, not only what we cannot be mistaken about. After all, scientific beliefs are not certain, since they are testable, and that implies that they might not be true. But are you suggesting that on that account we should not believe that Mars is the fourth planet, or that when the temperature of water is lowered to it freezing point it turns to ice?
it only makes sense to believe the reality we observe. That seems to me an empty truism since we have yet to cite a criterion for deciding that what we observe is reality. But what makes sense is that we should believe only that which our evidence makes plausible.