@Robert Gentel,
Quote:This is a silly claim. Measure it without the list, measure it with the list and measure the difference.
But you can't measure what DOESN'T happen- you can only measure what does happen.
Think of it like this. A kid is stealing prescription drugs from his parent's medicine cabinet. His parents have no idea initially - and he's taking like four of their pain killers a day. Then his parents wise up and remove the pain killers from the medicine cabinet and his reach- making it harder to get at THEIR specific pain killers.
He's caught with some pain killers later.
How can his parents know how many pain killers he actually did use in the interim - after they removed their supply of pain killers from him?
He might have used more from another source. He might have used less, because they were harder to get, or he might have used the same amount.
He may have gotten caught the first time he took them from another source. He may have gotten caught after taking 50.
Only HE can say.
Quote:The obvious motivation for this to go unreported will exist in both scenarios. If there is no measurable difference the only way this can explain it away is if in one of the scenarios there is a different rate of undiscovered crime. You've established no reason this would be the case, and have only thrown doubt on the studies on the basis of not all crimes being discovered. This is a factor with or without such lists.
I just disagree with this. I think it's easier to catch people doing something wrong when you are watching them. I think in all likelihood - there was a far greater liklihood of more offenses going undiscovered BEFORE someone was being monitored than after.
So if the stats remain the same, that indicates something to me- maybe not to you and that's fine.
I'm sorry this list has gotten turned into such a joke apparently, because I do think it could be useful. Sort of like cones around a pothole or a sign that says, 'Live wire down ahead - slow down.'