I do not agree. This is a rush to judgment. There are still too many unanswered questions in this case. It is based on circumstantial evidence which I do not find overwhelmingly convincing. If I were on a jury, and this was the evidence presented to me, I would not find him guilty. I think much of this "evidence" would be discredited under cross-examination at trial.
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The explanation of motive is very weak. Of course the man thought the development of an anthrax vaccine was essential--he had been working on such a vaccine long before 2001, that was his work. As a government employee, he would not have gained substantial financial benefit from developing such a vaccine, and he really had no strong motive to send anthrax laced letters in order to generate interest or financial grants to promote the development of such a vaccine since the government (including Dr Ivins) was already working to develop a safe, effective vaccine.
Dr Ivins was not the only person with access to that particular strain of Anthrax. I think at least 10 other people, in Ivins' lab alone, had access to that particular anthrax. Absolutely no traces of anthrax were ever found in Ivins home or in his car. They had no evidence actually placing him in the locations from which any of the anthrax letters were mailed. There is no explanation for how Ivins would have the knowledge or ability to covert the liquid anthrax he worked with to its powdered form.
The explanation for why the anthrax-laced letters were sent to particular recipients is so weak I think it borders on the far-fetched. It seems a ridiculous stretch and simply designed to find some way to tie the recipients to Ivins.
Ivins obviously had serious psychiatric and alcohol problems in the last year of his life--when the F.B.I. was relentlessly hounding him--but this is neither an indication of guilt, nor an indication that he had serious psychiatric problems in 2001. He may have had his quirks, but no one of his colleagues describes him as being overtly paranoid, psychotic, homicidal, etc. for all those years he worked with them in a government laboratory. I think the government is seizing on an alleged "long history of mental problems" in an attempt to provide some other explanation of his motives.
One must keep in mind that the government also wrongly targeted another scientist before they latched onto Ivins. It is also possible that someone set Ivins up to deflect suspicion onto him.
The government has also offered no strong evidence for their belief that the anthrax attacks were the work of one lone individual. Unfortunately, the government has also done this sort of thing before, in other investigations. How have they eliminated any possibility that anyone else was involved?
There is not one shred of direct evidence that incontrovertably ties Dr Ivins to the anthrax attacks.
The F.B.I. may feel this case is closed, the public should not be so ready to agree with them.
Those who are really interested in this case should read some of the very serious issues being raised by people who are questioning the F.B.I.'s conclusions.
In that regard, Glen Greenwald's comments are particularly thought provoking. Read all of his updates as well.
http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/2008/08/01/anthrax/index.html#postid-updateF2
and
http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/2008/08/05/anthrax/index.html
Greenwald is now examining the documents the government released today, so his continuing comments should be interesting.
http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/2008/08/06/fbi_documents/index.html
And, these comments, by an expert in anthrax and bio-terrorism, are also worth reading.
http://anthraxvaccine.blogspot.com/2008/08/beyond-reasonable-doubt.html
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Thank you for the nice compliment, Stray Cat. I listen to cable news and read the NY Times, and a variety of other news sources on the internet. If I'm interested in a topic, I try to track down as much info as possible. When I mull something over in my mind I try to look at it from all sides before I form an opinion. I do that with pretty much everything. It's my form of mental exercise.