Get yer polls, bets, numbers & pretty graphs! Elections 2008

On This page NPR has an interactive map with a rollover to results for each state.

http://www.npr.org/templates/topics/topic.php?topicId=1102#/primaries/

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No breakthrough for Obama among whites like he has in Georgia down in Alabama though:

Obama has 22% of white votes, and 82% of black votes.
Clinton has 72% of white votes, and 16% of black votes.

7% of whites could not bring themselves to vote for either; Edwards, although withdrawn from the race, got 5% (including 7% of white Indies).

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Pollster.com is putting their most up-to-date exit poll projections on their blog.

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/super_tuesday_exit_polls.php

Cycloptichorn

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Oooh, this is interesting.

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Massachusetts called for Hillary.

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Massachusetts is being projected for Clinton. She'll get a lot of ink over that win in the "Kennedy" state.

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Mass. for Clinton.

Take THAT Teddy!

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The Republican race's various preliminary results seem pretty much in line with polling..

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MSNBC calls DE for Obama!

Cycloptichorn

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Delaware called for Obama!

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I've been watching that too, Nimh. I may get to relax and not pay so much nervous attention to the actual results tonight.

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Alabama for Huckabee!

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Obama takes Delaware according to CNN. They haven't called Alabama for him or Mass for Clinton, though others have.

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New York called for Hillary by NPR.

http://blog.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2008/02/05/talking_points_from_clinton_fo.html

Quote:

Talking Points From Clinton for Everyone
Updated 8:35 p.m.
By Anne E. Kornblut
No need to wait for Clinton surrogates to start talking on television after the polls close. The Hillary Clinton campaign is helpfully e-mailing out its talking points. This arrived just before 7:30 p.m.:

1. "We're excited by what we're seeing."
2. "We have 21 states that are still outstanding where we expect to pick up a significant number of new delegates."
3. "To be sure, both campaigns have a long night ahead of them -- but we feel very good about the numbers that we're seeing."
4. "It's very important that people in the states where the polls are still open get out and vote."

And for anyone seeking to spin the Georgia defeat:

1."Unlike the Obama campaign, the Clinton campaign never dedicated significant resources to Georgia."
2. "Sen. Obama spent over $500,000 dollars on ads on television and radio; we never went up on TV."
3. "The Obama campaign has 9 offices in Georgia. The Clinton campaign only has 2."
4. "Sen. Obama has had staff and significant campaign operation across the state for 8 months. Sen. Clinton only deployed staff to the state in the last couple of weeks."
5. "Polls have consistently showed Sen. Obama with wide lead over Sen Clinton. That lead has only widened over time."

And the hits keep coming: The Clinton campaign next sent out its talking points on the races in Tennessee and Oklahoma -- just in case anyone happens to stumble in front of a live mic:

"We're very excited by our strong victories in Oklahoma and Tennessee.

"These are the first two states where both candidates competed fiercely.

"For months, the Obama campaign has been spinning that they have a monopoly on red states; tonight we showed that they don't.

"With these first two victories, Hillary Clinton has demonstrated that she can compete and win in red states.

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Wow! (Alabama for Huckabee. Arkansas I expected, Alabama's a surprise.)

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Some wicked weather at the end of the day in Arkansas, Tennessee.

I thought I saw a shift in Obama's support amongst voters according to age. Obama, of course, had the young (18-30), but he seems in some places to be gaining amongst 30-50 year olds. We will have to dissect the exit polls tomorrow.

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Huckabee ruined the game for Romney. He's also way above him in Mo., Ok. and Tn.

It can be safely be said now that John McCain will be the Republican candidate for President of the USA.

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In the South, McCain underperforms, Huckabee overperforms

Going on the preliminary exit polls as they are online now, and comparing them with the average numbers for the polling done in the past five days, we see Huckabee clearly outdoing expectations, and McCain not quite living up to them:

Code:



GEORGIA



                        MCCAIN   ROMNEY   HUCKABEE



POLLING LAST FEW DAYS     31       30        28



EXIT POLLS NOW            30       31        33



DIFFERENCE                -1       +1        +5









MISSOURI



                        MCCAIN   ROMNEY   HUCKABEE



POLLING LAST FEW DAYS     34       25        28



EXIT POLLS NOW            33       29        27



DIFFERENCE                -1       +4        -1









TENNESSEE



                        MCCAIN   ROMNEY   HUCKABEE



POLLING LAST FEW DAYS     33       22        29



EXIT POLLS NOW            29       24        34



DIFFERENCE                -4       +2        +5







ALABAMA



                        MCCAIN   ROMNEY   HUCKABEE



POLLING LAST FEW DAYS     36       19        34



EXIT POLLS NOW            32       18        43



DIFFERENCE                -4       -1        +9

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That doesn't surprise me at all.

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I was banking on Huckabee outperforming expectations in South Carolina, predicted here that he would win - and, zilch. Now I didnt make any predictions, and bang, there he goes! Smile

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Get yer polls, bets, numbers & pretty graphs! Elections 2008

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