As we head into the final two weeks, there are three sites I watch to see how the winds are blowing. The first is fivethirtyeight.com
where statistician extrodinary Nate Silver attempts to roll every bit of election probability into one big pool and run a monte carlo simulation on the country. He is calling the electoral college as 288-250 Obama with a 68% chance of the President being re-elected and a one to two seat pickup in the Senate. If you favor a conservative voice, you can try Election Projection
. That site is calling for Obama to win 281 to 257 and the Democrats to pick up one Senate and one House seat but lose three governors. If you prefer a liberal take, try Electoral-Vote.com
. He's calling for Obama 281 - 244 with 13 toss-ups, a pick up of one Senate seat for the Democrats and one other toss-up. Despite the differences in political outlook, all three are in about the same place right now. It looks like Romney needs an Ohio surprise to pull this off. The rest of use should probably get popcorn and rent some movies on election night.