Historically a black candidate has had to be ahead in polls by ten or twelve points in order to win. The latest Zogby poll shows Obama actually trailing by a couple of points and the pubbies haven't even held their convention yet.
Anybody other than me see the problem for the dems here?
The zogby polling shows Obama winning the electoral college vote.
(That is with Zogby calling state races Obama leads in the polls by 9 points too close to call.)