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Get yer polls, bets, numbers & pretty graphs! Elections 2008

 
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 06:55 pm
nimh wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Okay.

Don't get your hopes up. This isn't definitive by any means.


From Drudge, exit polling results:

Duuuuuuuude....


This is matched over at OpenLeft. So it's not just drudge making them up.

Dude

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 06:57 pm
nimh wrote:
Males - 38% of voters - 69% Obama, 28% Clinton

And that includes, it looks like now, 46% of white males for Obama!
0 Replies
 
Butrflynet
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 06:59 pm
According to the CNN exit poll, Obama got 69 % of the male vote and 64% of the female vote and 39% of the white vote. By region, Atlanta 77%, Atlanta Suburbs 74%, Central Georgia 67%, Southern Georgia 64%.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:01 pm
oh my goodness...

waiting for confirmation of this stuff before I allow myself to get het up though...

if this all does come to pass, I wonder if the old cell phone theory is finally coming true? I remember that from 2004... the idea that a certain kind of voter uses a landline, and that polls are conducted on landlines.

anyway

sooooooo getting ahead of myself.

What's going on with Illinois??

Romney gets Mass not a surprise
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:01 pm
Illinois - Obama projected to win.

Oklahoma - Clinon projected to win.

NO others called when the polls closed. Good news for Obama.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:03 pm
That's what it was. I saw "Illinois" and "split" and didn't know what they meant. They were talking about Illinois for Obama, OK for Hillary, so they split those two.
0 Replies
 
FreeDuck
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:04 pm
They'll adjust those GA polls to the actual results. The exit polls in SC had Obama at 70%.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:04 pm
Connecticut fo McCain
Illinois for McCain

Massachusetts for Romney

Illinois for Obama

Oklahoma for Hillary


No surprises there..
0 Replies
 
Butrflynet
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:06 pm
I'm having a hard time believing that for the first time in almost 30 years of voting, the candidate I voted for might actually win the nomination.

Somebody pinch me so I'll know I'm not dreaming....



NPR just projected Clinton will win Oklahoma.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:07 pm
nimh, do you remember what polls were predicting for OK? I'm blank on that one, and it'd take me hours to try to find it back on this thread. :-)

MSNBC is saying that Massachusetts for Romney has some meaning because McCain made a bold play there and that was slapped down.
0 Replies
 
Butrflynet
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:09 pm
Quote:
From their talking points for surrogates, which they've circulated to the press:
Unlike the Obama campaign, the Clinton campaign never dedicated significant resources to Georgia.

Sen. Obama spent over $500,000 dollars on ads on television and radio; we never went up on TV

The Obama campaign has 9 offices in Georgia. The Clinton campaign only has 2.

Sen. Obama has had staff and significant campaign operation across the state for 8 months. Sen. Clinton only deployed staff to the state in the last couple of weeks.

Polls have consistently showed Sen. Obama with wide lead over Sen Clinton. That lead has only widened over time.
Clinton's operation got started later than Obama's in many states, but it's worth noting that that was a campaign choice.
http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:09 pm
Huckabee now has the lead in Georgia.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:10 pm
NJ called for McCain.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:11 pm
FreeDuck wrote:
They'll adjust those GA polls to the actual results. The exit polls in SC had Obama at 70%.


Not really. I jotted down the data from the South Carolina exit polls here just half an hour after the polls closed, and he had 55%. I dont think it was ever anywhere near 70%.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:12 pm
MSNBC sez the national hispanic split in exit polls is 60-40 Clinton over Obama.

That's not great for Obama but it's a long way from being doubled up on as we saw in many earlier polls.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Butrflynet
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:13 pm
None of the other east coast states have their vote counts live on the SOS sites except for Conneticut and they haven't started showing results yet. Latest actual results from Georgia:

Last Updated Tuesday, February 05, 2008 8:09:11 PM


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

President of the United States
Republican
5% of precincts reporting Votes Percentage

Rudy Giuliani 256 0.8%
Mike Huckabee 11,663 36.3%
Duncan Hunter 149 0.5%
Alan Keyes 207 0.6%
John McCain 10,398 32.3%
Ron Paul 1,097 3.4%
Mitt Romney 7,593 23.6%
Tom Tancredo 314 1.0%
Fred Thompson 491 1.5%

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

President of the United States
Democratic
5% of precincts reporting Votes Percentage

Joe Biden 148 0.5%
Hillary Clinton 10,934 40.0%
Chris Dodd 157 0.6%
John Edwards 982 3.6%
Mike Gravel 236 0.9%
Dennis J. Kucinich 305 1.1%
Barack Obama 14,177 51.8%
Bill Richardson 408 1.5%
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:14 pm
Massachusetts is very, very close apparently, in the Dem race:

Exit poll preliminary data: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21225986

Have Clinton leading among women 56% to 41%, and Obama leading among men 58% to 37% -- but men only made up 43% of the voters, women 57%.
0 Replies
 
Butrflynet
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:15 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
MSNBC sez the national hispanic split in exit polls is 60-40 Clinton over Obama.

That's not great for Obama but it's a long way from being doubled up on as we saw in many earlier polls.

Cycloptichorn


Amazing how they can predict that via exit polls when half the polls haven't even closed in the South/West and voters are just now getting off work to go vote.
0 Replies
 
FreeDuck
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:16 pm
nimh wrote:
FreeDuck wrote:
They'll adjust those GA polls to the actual results. The exit polls in SC had Obama at 70%.


Not really. I jotted down the data from the South Carolina exit polls here just half an hour after the polls closed, and he had 55%. I dont think it was ever anywhere near 70%.


I don't know if it's the same poll, but what they were showing on CNN when they called it (before the votes were even actually counted) was 70% for Obama. That number came down as the votes rolled in. I think something similar will happen with GA, and in fact has already. They're at 56-40 now.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 5 Feb, 2008 07:16 pm
Called TN for Hillary.
0 Replies
 
 

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