Get yer polls, bets, numbers & pretty graphs! Elections 2008

(MSNBC captions are back -- temporarily anyway -- re-appeared as mysteriously as they disappeared. Whew.)

Wow, Bill.

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bfn wrote-

Quote:

I imagine just about every person who voted, and has access, is competing for the internet pipeline with all the news outlets and blogger organizations.

That's right bfn. Generating traffic is the only game left.

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Heh! Must we have a mandate that all election result observers subscribe to a policy before showing interest in said results? Laughing

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Virtually no votes counted so far in GA; less than a 1000 perhaps, but the primary has been called for Obama with a 12-5 delegate split.
The popular vote will of course be important to many observers.

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The current data on the Georgia exit polls page has:

Males - 38% of voters - 69% Obama, 28% Clinton
Female - 62% of voters - 65% Obama, 33% Clinton

So basically, 67% Obama, 31% Clinton

Shocked

MIND YOU, these numbers will be adjusted and adapted over time as more and more actual results from the state come in, until at the end they fit 1:1 with the actual results.

But still! I mean, 67:31.

Oh wait, they're now saying 64% vs 30%. Damn! Compare that with the average the polls that were conducted in the last three days: Obama 50%, Clinton 33%, Undecided 17% Exclamation

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Quote:

The popular vote will of course be important to many observers.

How many is "many" rjb?

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Not just that: according to the exit poll data at this moment,

Obama got 39% of the white vote ( Exclamation

)
Clinton got 11% of the black vote

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First Blood to Obama!

But it's Heart's blood that counts. Nice to see that he doubled her up in GA, though, according to exit polling.

No poll had that happening in GA. None of them were above 20.

Please Jeebus help me now!

Cycloptichorn

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nimh wrote:

The current data on the Georgia exit polls page has:

Males - 38% of voters - 69% Obama, 28% Clinton
Female - 62% of voters - 65% Obama, 33% Clinton

So basically, 67% Obama, 31% Clinton

MIND YOU, these numbers will be adjusted and adapted over time as more and more actual results from the state come in, until at the end they fit 1:1 with the actual results.

But still! I mean, 67:31.

Oh wait, they're now saying 64% vs 30%. Damn! Compare that with the average the polls that were conducted in the last three days: Obama 50%, Clinton 33%, Undecided 17%

Is it true that undecideds break towards the challenger????

Cycloptichorn

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Hell yeah! The last 8 poll out had Obama leading by 15-22 points. Now it looks like he'll lead by over 30!

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nimh wrote-

Quote:

Oh wait, they're now saying 64% vs 30%. Damn! Compare that with the average the polls that were conducted in the last three days: Obama 50%, Clinton 33%, Undecided 17%

You compare it. And knock off telling us what to do.

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Don't forget Devon Loch.

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Cycloptichorn wrote:

Is it true that undecideds break towards the challenger????

Often -- but hardly always. Eg, John Major snatched a Tory victory in the 1992 elections as the incumbent when everyone had long expected that Labour would get in. And Chancellor Schroeder snatched a late-breaking reelection victory in 2002 after polls had had the opposition leading for many months. So yes, often, but nothing to count on.

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Georgia's results are starting to post on the Secty of State site:

http://sos.georgia.gov/elections/election_results/2008_0205/swall.htm

Last Updated Tuesday, February 05, 2008 7:39:05 PM

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

President of the United States
Republican
0% of precincts reporting Votes Percentage

Rudy Giuliani 11 0.8%
Mike Huckabee 546 40.5%
Duncan Hunter 0 0.0%
Alan Keyes 4 0.3%
John McCain 507 37.6%
Ron Paul 33 2.4%
Mitt Romney 241 17.9%
Tom Tancredo 0 0.0%
Fred Thompson 6 0.4%

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

President of the United States
Democratic
0% of precincts reporting Votes Percentage

Joe Biden 9 0.6%
Hillary Clinton 570 40.3%
Chris Dodd 5 0.4%
John Edwards 68 4.8%
Mike Gravel 0 0.0%
Dennis J. Kucinich 7 0.5%
Barack Obama 748 52.9%
Bill Richardson 6 0.4%

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John Major won because he presented his policies to a crowd from an upside down beer crate in a market square and his opponent had a go at a watered Nuremburg rally.

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I would have voted for Mr Hunter. His name is sound and I don't like anybody getting 0.0% no matter what.

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Okay.

Don't get your hopes up. This isn't definitive by any means.

From Drudge, exit polling results:

Quote:

OBAMA: Alabama: Obama 60, Clinton 37... Arizona: Obama 51, Clinton 45... Connecticut: Obama 53, Clinton 45... Delaware: Obama 56, Clinton 42... Illinois: Obama 70, Clinton 30... Massachusetts: Obama 50, Clinton 48... Missouri: Obama 50, Clinton 46... New Jersey: Obama 53, Clinton 47...

CLINTON: Arkansas: Clinton 72, Obama 26... California: Clinton 50, Obama 47... New York: Clinton 56, Obama 43... Oklahoma: Clinton 61, Obama 31... Tennessee: Clinton 52, Obama 41...

<praying>

Cycloptichorn

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Obama 62, Clinton 32 in Georgia - a 30-point lead, compared to 15-22 in the polls beforehand.

CNN also just had Republican results:

37% McCain
33% Huckabee
26% Romney
2% Paul

I think Georgia is a winner-takes-all state, so McCain could get all of the delegates with just little over a third of the vote?

Or perhaps its a little more complicated - Joe's thread explains that 33 delegates are distributed site-wide, and 39 by district. So if the latter is winner-takes-all by district, Huckabee and even Romney could pick up a dozen..

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spendius wrote:

Quote:
The popular vote will of course be important to many observers.

How many is "many" rjb?

Many. The popular vote matters a lot to a lot of folks who got their butts to the polls. And to the volunteers who got them there.
The systems that have been devised by each party to award delegates (discussed here earlier with winner-take-all and proportional allocation and superdelegates) were probably fine when the winner was decided long before now in the cycle. But this time, there could be some pissed off voters.
Does that make any sense, spendius?

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Cycloptichorn wrote:

Okay.

Don't get your hopes up. This isn't definitive by any means.

From Drudge, exit polling results:

Duuuuuuuude....

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Get yer polls, bets, numbers & pretty graphs! Elections 2008

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