Butrflynet wrote:Also, about two-thirds of 63 percent would be around 40 percent so it is probably still within the range cited by the Field poll.
The Field poll was already of "likely voters" though. So it would seem to be ~67% vs. 43%.
But county vs. state is a major variable. I think I remember reading that not all counties allow mail-in ballots (that might have even been in your recent link -- it took about 10 minutes to load and I already closed it, so I won't check) (how can you tolerate dial-up? I'm going insane here

), plus some counties are more likely than others to have a greater percentage of mail-in voters, etc.
Anyway, just a spare thought, not worth how much I've written about it so far.
More graphs!