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The US, The UN and Iraq

 
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 07:10 am
Lets hope Mr Rumsfeld holds his breath for quite a while.
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blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 07:14 am
Quote:
The major benefits of a war are reckoned to be disarming Iraq of its weapons of mass destruction and removing a leadership that is unrelentingly hostile to the United States. But what of the costs? Even asking such a question may be thought a sign of insufficient resolve at best and appeasement at worst. However, while cost estimates are often ignored when war is debated, most people recognize that the costs in dollars, and especially in blood, are acceptable only as long as they are low. If the casualty estimates mount to the thousands, if oil prices skyrocket, if a war pushes the economy into recession or requires a large tax increase, and if the United States becomes a pariah in the world because of callous attacks on civilian populations, then decision makers in the White House and the Congress might not post so expeditiously to battle.
http://www.nthposition.com/politics_nordhaus1.html
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edgarblythe
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 07:28 am
I love France and Germany for their actions re Iraq. I would say they ought to bolster their actions a bit more if they are to slow the momentum to war. I am sure there are a good many things they have not tried.
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blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 07:40 am
Steve

That last comment was unforgiveable... it's as if you wish injury to a non-elected foreign dignitary. I appreciate that you will now feel great shame through my bringing this to your attention.

But I am pleased to see the German/French/Russian plan emerging. There are arguments on this thread claiming that these three political entities are acting due merely/mainly to financial self interest, but it seems clear that financial self interest plays an equally large part in America's role as well, so the argument isn't compelling.

And the argument has been forwarded that 'those guys sold Sadaam WAY more evil stuff than the US'. But that's a bit like two brothers getting caught stealing chocolate bars, and the little brother keeps pointing at his siblings eight chocolate bars in contrast to his meagre two. The difference is true, but the motive in pointing it out is to redirect attention and, hopefully, have one's own sin look smaller or disappear in the confusion (and this doesn't even mention the other support given Sadaam by the US.)

And there is a crowd of claims here that these Europeans are just anti-American. This is by definition true if anti-Americanism is evidenced by any arguing or acting contrary to present administration wishes and policies. Of course, the converse, 'anti-Europeanism' is them the corollory term for arguing/acting contrary to present European states' wishes. So that's not very helpful, other than in hoping the mud one slings will stick to the other guy and not the thrower.

This is a good fight, and I hope it gets seriously joined. For the UN to become the two important things it must become - capable of enforcement AND democratically directed in what/how/where it enforces - then the American notion of readiness to act must prevail, but the tendency of America to do so unilaterally must be constrained.
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Setanta
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 07:45 am
I just thought it worth pointing out, while people attempt to advance compelling reasons for going to war, that the world fears the United States a helluva lot more than it does Iraq. That it is not a good thing in either the short- or the long-term. Those of you who relish death and destruction by technological proxy, spare me your cheering for the fear we engender in the rest of the world.
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Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 07:58 am
If Mr Rumsfeld finds the decision breathtaking then I just feel that he should be allowed to withold his breath for as long as his dignity permits.
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Tartarin
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 08:10 am
I keep wondering whether Rumsfeld's lack of diplomacy is intentional or whether he's a loose cannon...
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 08:49 am
Blatham wrote;

blatham wrote:
Quote:
A CNN online poll shows that 82 percent think going to war with Iraq will provoke another attack on the U.S., as opposed to 13 percent who think it will prevent one.
from today's Dowd column in NYT.

This surprised me, Blatham. I understood from your earlier comments you put no value in polls.

I believe Secretary Rumsfeld's comments have been deliberate and pointed. They are acts of diplomacy, intended (at least by him) to focus attention on the on the self-serving obstructionism of France & Germany. Those of you who entertain each other wth expressions of your hope for his early demise may find yourselves both disappointed and proven wrong by unfoldng events.

United States sales of military hardware and related manufacturing equipment are utterly dwarfed by those of France and Germany. Blatham's metaphor about eight and two chocolate bars grossly distorts the facts, and I suspect he knows it. . France has sold Iraq combat aircraft (did you note the Iraqi Mirage dispensing aerosolized chemical weapons in the films Secretary Powell displayed at the UN?), air to air missiles, air to surface missiles, radars and crew served weapons. Both countries have sold large quantities of industrial materials useful in weapons development. There are no U.S. weapons in Iraq's military.

My strong impression is that virtually all the use of the term "anti Americanism" on this thread has come from Blatham, a Canadian. Perhaps this is a convenient dead horse, however, it remains dead.

The actions of France & Germany are far more likely to prompt unilateral U.S. action on this and subsequent world issues than prevent it. That is evident to any rational observer, including the officials of those governments.
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dyslexia
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 09:21 am
i guess that makes me irrational
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trespassers will
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 09:48 am
cicerone imposter wrote:
Walter, The plan to increase inspectors and troops in Iraq makes the best sense - to me. I hope Germany and France retains the fortitude to delay war for the eventual goal of peace. c.i.

Sadly, Hans Blix doesn't think it's a good idea.
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 09:52 am
Why hasn't France gone to the UN for authorization for her military intervention in the civil war in her former colony, Ivory Coast>
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timberlandko
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 09:56 am
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&ncid=586&e=2&cid=586&u=/nm/20030210/wl_nm/iraq_dc

Quote:
French and German officials played down a weekend report in the German magazine Der Spiegel that there was a detailed Franco-German plan to try to delay a war by boosting the number of arms inspectors in Iraq and backing them with U.N. troops.

"The reports about a possible sizeable peacekeeping mission in Iraq do not correspond with reality," German Defense Minister Peter Struck told Germany's Deutschlandfunk radio Monday.


It would appear The Apostates would like to begin to work on talks about a new plan, not that they have formed and are presenting a new plan. They present no alternative; they seek only to obstruct an ongoing plan of which they disapprove. It is a bit late in the game to bring in a new deck of cards ... particularly if those cards haven't even gotten to the printer yet. This disappoints me greatly, as I initially had hoped a viable alternative to war was at hand.

Their efforts are unlikely to deter US intentions, and will serve only to inhibit further EU integration. Among other fallout considerations of their stance will be at the very least a delay in British acceptance of the Euro, which will be a blow to EU economic schemes.

The argument that The US is financially motivated to topple Saddam is convenient and heartwarming, but does not bear critical scrutiny, and in fact is disingenuouis in the extreme. The realities of Global Economy and Global Realpolitik eliminate any basis for such claim. The objection that The US also engaged in sale of enabling technology also evaporates when examined.

I will admit The Current administration has done a woefully inept job of "Selling" the rationale for military intervention, but I submit that The Apostates, to their own ends, have managed to shift the "Burden of Proof" as established by UNR 1441 from Iraq to The Inspectors. UNR 1441 in no way indicates The Inspectors are to "Find" a damned thing; their fuction as mandated is to verify Iraqi compliance with required disarmament proceedures. This verification of compliance is yet unachieved, and Iraq continues to hinder, obstruct, and evade. It is precisely this Iraqi behavior which is being addressed by The US.

What The Apostates have done is to cripple The UN and Nato, and may well prove the deathblow to the two institutions. Additionally, France, Germany, Belgium, Greece, and Russia will likely suffer economic disadvantage through a lessening of US enthusiasm for the purchase of their export goods. They've done neither The World nor themselves any good at all, I fear. The US can get along much better without The Old Europe than The Old Europe can get along without The US.



timber
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 10:03 am
Timber,

An eloquent description of the current situation and the likely consequences.
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trespassers will
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 10:21 am
PDiddie wrote:
"The United States goes not abroad in search of monsters to destroy. She is a well-wisher to the freedom and independence of all. She is the champion and vindicator only of her own. If the United States took up all foreign affairs, it would become entangled in all the wars of interest and intrigue, which assume the colors and usurp the standard of freedom. She might become the dictatress of the world. She would be no longer the ruler of her own soul."

---John Quincy Adams

Now them's some pretty words...

PDiddie - I like that quote, and agree with it. Where I'm unsure personally is whether or not we have sufficient reason to believe Iraq is already working to do us harm, in which case they are fair game. In other words, do we, the United States, have a prevailing national interest in prosecuting a war with Iraq, as opposed to going looking for a fight that is not ours, as Adams points to.

I'm still cautiously hopeful that Bush's real goal is to make the threat of military force so plausible that Saddam will cave, thereby removing the need to actually go to war. Sadly, if that is the plan, much of the world community is working to sabotage it. (I'm not saying that is their intent, just that it is the result of their stance against war.)

Speaking of those who are against the war, has anyone considered the point that this issue is mostly about oil for those who oppose war--France, Russia, China? Isn't oil their primary concern here?

Oh, and here's another war quote for everyone:
Quote:
The purpose of all war is ultimately peace.
--Saint Augustine

Thanks for reading.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 10:24 am
timber

As you might expect, I disagree with you here on a number of points. But I've always liked the term 'apostate' and am happy that it's come up from the medieval period to join us again.

But let me quickly speak to two things....first, george's notion that I'm anti-American and/because I'm Canadian...it's just silly. There is nothing I have said anywhere that hasn't been said (and better) by many Americans writing right now. This will be the last instance where I bother attending to the claim.

Second, I most importantly disagree with what a countering union such as German/France/Russia might mean for the UN. I mentioned above that the US has brought something invaluable to the dynamic of how the UN must operate to be effective. But they also bring an urge for unilateralism which is contrary to how the League of Nations or the UN must be designed to carry forward the ideals of American democracy. Tyranny is the enemy, no matter who is doing it.
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blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 10:32 am
Tres

You start quoting Augustine and I'm likely to go nutty on you...he's just about my least favorite human of all time. And boy, is that quote you picked ever wrong. All Adolf wanted was just a bit of peace and quiet to do his architectual sketches with a picnic basket and a fraulien beside him there in the park.
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timberlandko
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 10:40 am
Iraq built her Military Capability primarily with Russian/Former Soviet and French hardware, and the bulk of her Chem/Bio technology is derived from the very "Old Europe" nations that now oppose military redress to The Iraq Problem. 70 percent of the biological and chemical weapons and/or the critical scientific and technical capability to produce its arsenal of sophisticated weapons of mass destruction were sold to Saddam by European Multinational Corporations to the tune of $48.7 billion between 1981-1988 with the approval and protection of their governments who are the permanent members of the United Nations Security Council and were members of the 1991 US-led coalition involved with Desert Storm.

According to a Cable News Network (CNN)" Business News" Report by Steve Young on 20 February 1990:

Quote:
... Saddam Hussein bought more than 70 percent of his chemical warfare arsenal or the makings from the so-called G-7 nations (major European industrial nations) Japan, France, United States, Italy, Britain and Germany; only Canada apparently sold nothing; experts say that's because Canada had no chemical weapons to sell. A report commissioned by the Simon Wiesenthal Center in Los Angeles details how Germany sold more poison gases (and) chemicals to make them and testing facilities than any other country in the world.

Sales by 134 different German companies have been documented and the number is climbing. So far, German authorities have indicated just three German businesses and are investigating 15 or more others.

According to Rabbi Marvin Hier of the Simon Wiesenthal Center: "The very same agents invented by German technologies in the 1940s and put at the disposal of a dictator were again recreated in the 1990s and put at the disposal of another dictator." Saddam's chemical warfare connection in the United States include some curiosities; the Center for Disease Control sold West Nile Fever Virus (that can be converted into chemical warfare agents).

Saddam's chemical warfare suppliers include companies from Belgium (8); Switzerland (13); and Australia (27). In all, 24 countries sold chemical warfare materials to Iraq amounting to 366 companies."

To buttress this accusation, military expert Michael Leeden, points out that "German involvement with Iraq chemical weapons program started in 1977" and that "for over a decade German businessmen and scientists had played key roles in Iraq's $50 billion program to produce weapons of mass destruction ..all the while claiming they didn't know Iraq was using their exports for military purposes.

The best American estimates suggest that a majority of Iraq's nuclear, biological and chemical capacity was provided by Germans. What's more, the German government knew about all this in detail ... "




timber
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trespassers will
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 10:42 am
Quote:
Tyranny is the enemy, no matter who is doing it.

I agree, yet I'm forced to wonder how--looking back on history or forward to our future--we differentiate legitimate acts of self-defense or of enforcement of international law with the concept of "tyranny". In the end, isn't that nuance decided by which end of the sword you find yourself on? Reporters from Afghanistan have interviewed many people. Some are elated that we routed the taliban and are glad to have us their keeping what order we can while they find their way to a new government. Others hate us for being there and want us to leave. To the second group we are tyrants, to the first, saviors. Which is right?
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trespassers will
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 10:48 am
blatham wrote:
Tres

You start quoting Augustine and I'm likely to go nutty on you...he's just about my least favorite human of all time. And boy, is that quote you picked ever wrong. All Adolf wanted was just a bit of peace and quiet to do his architectual sketches with a picnic basket and a fraulien beside him there in the park.

Please don't go nutty on me. Very Happy My point was to show that one can find a quote from a learned source to support just about any point of view, though you do bring up an interesting point. Hitler did want peace; his peace. Likewise Saddam wants peace as does Bush. The question we might want to consider is: "Which peace is best for the most people?"
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cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Feb, 2003 10:58 am
"Which peace is best for the most people?" Isn't it obvious that except for the US citizens, the citizens of the world are crying for peace? The US is trying to change the whole ethics of engaging a war with a preemptive strike on another nation that has not attacked us or her neighbors. There is something drastically wrong headed about that policy. It just seems that just a few of us are able to see the misguided march to war. I wonder why that is? If we are talking "threat," where does it end? Who has the authority to determine that? The US, alone? That's bad policy, no matter how you view it. c.i.
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