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Is America Conservative?

 
 
xingu
 
Reply Fri 15 Jun, 2007 07:49 am
Why a Conservative America Is a Myth
Campaign for America's Future
Eric Lotke, Robert Gerson
Media Matters for America
Paul Waldman, Andrew Seifter
June 2007
http://home.ourfuture.org/assets/20070612_theprogressivemajority_report.pdf

Ideology in America
"Republicans tend to be conservative on both [economic and social issues]. That's been a strength in a conservative country."
Mark Halperin of ABC News, October 30, 20061

Halperin is hardly a lone in his view that whether one is talking about economic issues or social issues, conservatives have the public on their side. Democrats may win an election here or there, but at its most fundamental level, conventional political wisdom assumes America is a conservative country: hostile to government, in favor of unregulated markets, at peace with inequality, desirous of a foreign policy based on the projection of military power, and traditional in its social values.

This report demonstrates the inaccuracy of that picture of America. Media perceptions and past Republican electoral successes notwithstanding, Americans are progressive across a wide range of controversial issues, and they're growing more progressive all the time.

The Conventional Wisdom
It should come as no surprise that conservative media figures repeat the myth that most Americans share their views. Even when Democrats win, conservatives claim that their ideology is still dominant. On election night 2006, Fox News anchor Brit Hume acknowledged that Democrats were winning, but stressed that "from what we could see from all the polling and everything else, it remains a conservative country."2 He did not say what "polling and everything else" he was referring to. Glenn Beck of CNN Headline News agreed, stating the following day that despite the Democratic victory, "the majority of Americans seem in favor of classically Republican points of view."3

But it was not just conservatives; in fact, they were simply repeating what they had heard mainstream journalists say for some time. "This is basically not a liberal country," said John Harris, then of The Washington Post and now of The Politico, in May 2005. "It's a conservative country."4 Previewing the Democrats' prospects for victory three weeks before the 2006 election, CNN senior political correspondent Candy Crowley asserted that Democrats have been "on the losing side of the values debate, the defense debate and, oh yes, the guns debate."5 (Crowley presented no evidence that Democrats had been "on the losing side" of any of these debates.)

After the election, journalists found their explanation for the Democratic victory: they ran conservative candidates. "These Democrats that were elected last night are conservative Democrats," said CBS' Bob Schieffer the next day.6 "The Democrats' victory was built on the back of more centrist candidates seizing Republican-leaning districts," wrote The Washington Post.7 The New York Times anticipated the election with the headline, "In Key House Races, Democrats Run to the Right."8

In truth, however, the Democratic class of 2006 was remarkably progressive. According to a survey conducted by Media Matters, all 30 newly elected House Democrats who took Republican seats advocated raising the minimum wage, supported changing course in Iraq, and opposed any effort to privatize Social Security. All but two supported embryonic stem cell research and only five described themselves as "pro-life" on the issue of abortion. Thirty-seven House and Senate candidates who promoted "fair trade" rather than "free trade" won; none of them lost.9 Candidates in the freshman class who were conservative on a particular issue got the lion's share of attention, but they were a distinct minority.

The journalists straining to interpret 2006 as a validation of conservatism were following a pattern they had established long before: Democratic victories are understood as the product of the Democrats moving to the right, while Republican victories are the product of a conservative electorate. For example, the day after the Republicans' landslide victory in the 1994 midterm elections, a front-page New York Times article declared that "[t]he country has unmistakably moved to the right."10 The Washington Post's front-page story that day similarly concluded that "[t]he huge Republican gainsÂ…marked a clear shift to the right in the country."11

Similar sentiments were expressed 10 years later, following the Democrats' defeat in the 2004 election. The New York Times wrote on its front page, in an article titled "An Electoral Affirmation of Shared Values," "The Role of Government Specific Policies
The progressive nature of America n public opinion becomes even more vivid when the view shifts from broad ideological questions to specific questions of policy. Of course, no person is ever all progressive or all conservative, and some issues cut across ideological boundaries, but some policies can be understood as key indicators.

The Economy
The economy regularly scores near or at the top of Americans' concerns. Over time, with the exception of short-term crises such as Iraq, people care about their livelihoods and jobs more than anything else.

Though opinions about whether the economy is doing well or poorly are in constant flux, there are a number of core economic issues that reflect more fundamental values and outlooks; it is those on which we will focus.

Trade Unions
American unions are in decline, but not because of public attitudes. The American people like labor unions. Pew Research registers a 56% favorable opinion of unions and 33% unfavorable.18 Gallup registers 59% approval and 29% disapproval.19

Gallup also shows that 38% of people want unions to have more influence in the country, compared to 30% who want them to have less influence. In labor disputes, 52% of people polled said they sympathized with the union compared to 34% who took the side of the company.

Furthermore, Americans believe that unions benefit not just their members, but the economy as a whole. Gallup records 53% who believe unions mostly help the U.S. economy, compared to 36% who say they mostly hurt.20

Minimum Wage
Questions about the economy take concrete form in wages. The 2006 election campaign saw another round of an age-old debate on increasing the minimum wage, with Democrats advocating an increase and Republicans arguing that raising the minimum wage would cost jobs and harm the economy. Though the minimum wage was last increased 10 years ago, there is little doubt where the public stands on the issue. A Los Angeles Times poll taken in the aftermath of the 2006 election showed that 77% of Americans thought "Congress should pass legislation that will increase the minimum wage."21 Such legislation quickly passed in the newly Democratic House of Representatives by a margin that reflected the broad public support (315-116, including 80 Republicans). There were minimum wage increases on the ballot in six states in 2006; all passed by comfortable margins.

Taxes
Taxes are a perennial conservative issue and one with great political import. However, the ideological attitudes of Americans are not necessarily conservative.

A majority of Americans think their taxes are too high, a conservative theme, but they don't care about it that much. Taxes generally rank low in the list of Americans' priorities, and taxes are never number one.

Moreover, although Americans think their own taxes are too high, they think the taxes of rich people and corporations are too low, a progressive theme. The same April 2007 Gallup poll that showed 53% of Americans describing their taxes as too high showed 66% believing that "upper-income people" pay too little in taxes. Only 21% said upper income people pay their fair share. Fully 71% said corporations pay too little and only 19% said corporations pay their fair share.22

Finally, although people are happy to have their taxes cut, they worry about increasing the deficit or starving infrastructure in order to do it. In 2005, a year of debate over the expiration of the Bush tax cuts, polls by both the Los Angeles Times and NBC News/Wall Street Journal asked people to prioritize tax cuts against government spending. Both polls found considerable support for what most would characterize as the progressive position.

Social Issues
The social, "hot-button" issues that conservatives like to group under the heading of "moral values" are said to put progressives at greatest disadvantage. The conventional wisdom poses a traditionalist "heartland," where "mainstream" Americans reside, against a modernist, secular, liberal coastal elite out of touch with the beliefs of the real America. But this view is simply wrong. In truth, majority opinion across the country is much more likely to line up with progressive values.

First, progressives are closer to most Americans in their value priorities. Many conservatives discuss issues like same-sex marriage and abortion in positively apocalyptic terms. "[S]ociety must be concerned about its own preservation and continuity into the next generation," warned Monsignor Robert Sokolowski in the America: The National Catholic Weekly.23

Despite such dire counsel, only 3% of Americans ranked gay marriage as the "most important" issue in a January 2007 poll by AP/Ipsos.24 Abortion ranked 14th among issues respondents considered "extremely important" in a May 2007 CNN poll.25 Both abortion and same-sex marriage were cited by less than 3% of respondents to April 2007 polls by Gallup and CBS News.26

After the 2004 election, when exit polls showed "moral values" as the response chosen most often when voters were asked what decided their votes, commentators rushed to declare that social conservatives had won the election for Bush. But it turns out that voters mean many different things when they say "moral values." When a Zogby poll taken after the election asked voters what was "the most urgent moral problem in American culture," 33% picked "greed and materialism," 31% chose "poverty and economic justice," 16% said abortion and 12% said same-sex marriage.27 As one pair of researchers put it, "[T]he moral values item on the issues list cannot properly be viewed as a discrete issue or set of closely related issues; that its importance to voters has not grown over time; and that when controlled for other variables, it ranks low on the issues list in predicting 2004 vote choices."28

To most Americans, moral values do not mean Terri Schiavo, gay marriage, or stem cell research. To the contrary, moral values represent fundamental principles. To paraphrase Robert Fulgham, moral values are what we all learned in kindergarten.29 Share. Wait your turn. Treat others as you want to be treated yourself. But even on the issues by which conservatives would like moral values defined, the public is much closer to the progressive side.

Abortion Homosexuality Security
Security has long been considered a conservative strength, and many an election has been won by Republicans through deft use of security issues. But the truth is that conservative attitudes on national security often run counter to public opinion.

International Domestic Security
In the domestic context, security has long been understood as a matter of crime control. This section explores ideology of two fundamental issues, guns and punishments.

Guns The Environment
The environment is a latent concern of the American public. Although it does not rise in national priorities to the level of the Iraq war or health care, Americans are concerned about the environment. People feel that the health of the environment is getting worse, and that the government is doing too little to protect it. The following chart of Gallup polls shows the levels of concern on issues ranging from drinking water to the ozone layer. The nation has clearly come a long way from the time when a significant proportion of the public believed that the environment was not something to be concerned about.

Understanding that there are problems with the environment, the public also has opinions about the solutions. And the solutions are generally of a more progressive bent. More than twice as many (64%) think the solution to energy problems is more conservation compared to more production (26%). They oppose opening the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge for drilling. They want higher emissions standards for automobiles (79%) and industry (84%), and they want the federal government to spend more money on solar and wind power, and alternative fuel sources for automobiles.

People are also willing to incur sacrifice and risk to protect the environment. The 2004 NES found that 45% of Americans thought it was more important to protect the environment even if it costs some jobs or otherwise reduces our standard of living. Only 27% considered protecting the environment to be less important. Polling by Gallup in March 2007 found that 55% thought "protection of the environment should be given priority, even at the risk of curbing economic growth." Only 37% disagreed. As far back as 1984, the public has felt a need for stronger environmental protection, and is willing to sacrifice for it.

Pew has reached similar conclusions. Over time, people see a need for stricter laws and regulations to protect the environment. And they are willing to pay money to see it done. That they will even express a willingness to pay higher costs in order to achieve this end is particularly noteworthy.

Energy
Not surprisingly, Americans' concern with energy rises and falls with the price of gas, but the public's latent concern about the environment becomes more urgent and concrete in the context of energy. Americans understand the relationship between energy and the environment, and they want the country to move in a progressive direction. As the figure below shows, 64 percent of the public thinks U.S. energy policy is better solved by conservation than production. A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll found 52 percent of Americans believe "the best way for the U.S. to reduce its reliance on foreign oil" is to "have the government invest in alternative energy sources."50 Only 20 percent said the best way was to "relax environmental standards for more drilling for oil and gas."

A variety of other polls have found similar results, such as this April 2007 CBS/New York Times poll.

In short, whatever else one may say about the debate over energy, it seems apparent that broad majorities of the public favor progressive approaches centering on conservation and development of alternative energy sources.

Immigration Health Care Conclusion
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Setanta
 
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Reply Fri 15 Jun, 2007 09:31 am
As is the case with all such vague and broad-brush questions, the answer will necessarily be complex and complicated, for all that the author wishes to cast it in simplistic terms.

The United States (and Canada) long attracted immigrants because of available land (and in Canada, that long meant that the largest single immigrant group came from the United States). People who had property and/or a prosperous trade in Europe had little or no reason to emigrate. But among those who did not have land, or were unable to establish a prosperous trade (which often involved "knowing" the right people), the lure of cheap or nearly free land (often available for the filing fee of a claim) was a powerful incentive to risk the hazards of an Atlantic crossing to get that land. Furthermore, there was little direct, representative government in Europe, and where there was a limited opportunity for that, it was tied to property qualifications. Participation in the militia and opportunities to hold public office were also usually tied to property qualifications. However, even when in the United States and Canada there were property qualifications for the franchise, militia participation and holding public office, the opportunities to get and own land, even for those with very limited means, was so much greater, so much easier than in Europe, that some of the poorest could expect to become at least modestly prosperous and to participate in the social and political life of their communities in their own lifetimes.

So, owning land, and all the social and political privileges which appertained to that land ownership, were the biggest most consistent lure for immigrants. Running a close second, however, was religious and political freedom (although Canada long had an established church, there was still far more religious freedom than one could have enjoyed in Europe).

So you have two strong forces pulling the new immigrant, and their descendants, between the political "poles." Those who own land, and how have established prosperous trades, are conservative by nature, politically speaking. They don't want things to change. There is ample historical evidence for this effect appearing almost immediately. During the French revolution, the lands of the Church, and the lands of proscribed members of the aristocracy, were put on the block for sale, and the assignats, the paper money floated on government land sales, were the currency of the early National assembly. The currency scheme of floating bills of credit on land sales failed, although that was the product of financial ineptitude on the part of those who ran first the National Assembly, and then the Committee for Public Safety--the assignats were a miserable failure because they could not be used for foreign exchange, and were not tied to the productivity of the nation, which was itself destabilized by the upheaval of revolution and counter-revolution. But the land sales were wildly popular, and despite the dismal failure of the public financing scheme, prosperous peasants and members of the petite bourgeoisie snapped up all the land they could afford. And this gave them a strong impetus to end the revolution, and ratify their new prosperity while protecting it from further social and political upheaval. The counter-revolution began to assert itself, quite apart from counter-revolutionary uprisings, within five years, and by 1795, was firmly in charge. The government of the Directory was bourgeois, and socially and politically conservative, and gladly profited from the elimination of the monarchy and the aristocracy, while assuring their own support by assuring the gains in property by the middle class and the prosperous peasantry. Unlike the parade of more or less efficient but universally doomed governmental schemes which characterize the period 1789-1795, the Directory managed a relatively stable government until the successful coup by Napoleon in 1799.

Essentially the same thing was about to happen in Russia after 1917. Most people don't understand that there were two revolutions--the February (March by our calendar) Russian Revolution, and the October (November by our calendar) Bolshevik Revolution. Before the Bolshevik Revolution, Soviets (means committee, roughly) were set up throughout Russia, and the Bolsheviks were neither the only power, nor the largest power in post-Bolshevik Revolution Russia. The two other large players after the fall of Kerensky's government were the Socialist Revolutionaries and the Peasants Party. The Peasants Party was determined to redistribute land to the peasants (only recently freed from serfdom by Alexander II in 1861, who admired Lincoln), and were supported in that by the Socialist Revolutionaries, who wanted a coalition to oppose the Bolsheviks. Fanya Kaplan shot Lenin in 1918, and although he lived, he lost his grip on the day-to-day operations of the government. Kaplan was shot almost immediately after the assassination attempt, and she was alleged to be a member of the Socialist Revolutionaries, and that was used as ammunition by the Bolsheviks to eliminate the Socialist Revolutionaries. (That was a doubtful claim, Kaplan can certainly have been described as a terrorist, and was sent to Siberia after the failed 1905 uprisings. While there, she met other female terrorists, many of whom were then or later became members of the Socialist Revolutionaries; Kaplan's connection, however, was dubious, and she was, at most, a hanger-on at the fringes). The Bolsheviks conducted their first show trial against the Socialist Revolutionaries in 1922, after the end the civil war. After Lenin died in 1924, Stalin moved to consolidate his power, and his most important and brutal move was the attack on the so-called Kulaks. Kulak comes from the word "fist" in Russian, and means a miser. The name was already being used for prosperous peasants in Tsarist times, but Stalin applied it o all the peasants who had gotten land in the turmoil of the Revolutions and the Civil War. He clearly understood that land-owners have a motive for ending a revolution, and seeking a conservative government. So he eliminated the problem by eliminating the alleged "Kulaks."

These same motives applied to the new land-owning immigrants in North America. They were going to be conservative socially and politically for the good and sufficient reason of "i've got mine, to hell with everyone else." At the same time, a great deal of the immigration to North America was occasioned by real or imagined religious and political repression. The largest number of religious "refugees" came to North America before the Revolution, and most religious "refugees" who came afterward were following to join already established communities. Among the political refugees, however, the immigrants came in very frequent waves. The Irish who fled oppression by the English are a rather obvious group, and the famine of the 1840s turned a constant steady trickle into a flood. Poland was "partitioned" three times--1772, 1783 and 1795. With the last partition, Poland disappeared altogether, snapped up by Prussia, Austria and Russia. Uprisings succeeded one another, from 1788 onward, with the largest and most notorious taking place in 1830. This spurred Polish emigration to France and England, and to North America. The 1848 socialist uprisings overthrew monarchical government in France and lead to the Second Republic (soon overthrown by Louis Bonaparte in 1851, who styled himself "Napoleon III"). There had been yet another failed uprising in Poland in 1846. In England, the Chartists reached the height of their power with their petition to Parliament in 1848, but much of the support was undercut by the repeal of the Corn Laws. In the German principalities, the effect was the most profound. Many Germans rebelled, openly and in arms, and were brutally put down by the Prussians and Austrians, with millions made homeless, tens of thousands murdered, tortured and raped, and thousands killed in the short and bloody wars with the established, reactionary powers. A great many of the "Forty-eighters" came to the United States, including two men who would rise to high rank in Mr. Lincoln's army, Franz Sigel and Louis Blenker (Louis Blenker's men at Bull Run were the only Federal troops who did not run, and in the 1848 uprisings, he was the only commander who succeeded in defeating the Prussians--but the "government" he served and of which he was a member shattered from in-fighting, and he got out to America).

So at the same time that immigrants to North America had a strong impetus to social and political conservatism, a great many of them also brought with them ideas of social reform and a great revolutionary fervor. Among the "Forty-eighters" were a great many German and Austrian immigrants who enthusiastically volunteered to fight for Mr. Lincoln precisely because they wished to free the slaves as commensurate with their political ideals.

You have in North America two strong, conflicting currents. One is the social and political conservatism of immigrants who came here and prospered, and chose conservatism to preserve what they had gained through their tribulations. At the same time, there is a strong current of social reform ideals, which accounts for trades unionism, and social and political reform movements which have been strong in the United States and Canada. If one is to be honest, the United States has a strong streak of social and political conservatism bred in to by generations of immigrants. That is somewhat balanced by the image which the United States long had as a land of political freedom and opportunity, and a refuge for the politically oppressed. On balance, the United States has been more conservative than the revolutionary movements in Europe from which so many of its immigrants came. Those on "the left" in the United States are still largely more conservative than those who are considered to be on the left in Europe.

Frankly, i can see little to argue with in the proposition that the United States is basically conservative. That doesn't mean, however that our people have historically been reactionary, and it is no good reason to identify American conservatism with the grasping and selfish conservatism which is so popular among a decided minority in our history.
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