Check Out Karl Rove's List Of Targeted 2008 House Races

Hey, he's the former lead singer for Orleans. You can't knock him off.

Realistically, whenever you have a huge gain in one election like the Democrats did, there tends to be something of a fallback the next election. The fallback is usually nowhere near as large as the original gain, but it frequently occurs.

Somebody on the opposition has to be the most vulnerable, and Rove figures these are those people. It probably has very little to do with the performance of the people in office. It's just that if your margin of victory is small in a year your party blows out the opposition, you are likely in trouble the next election if the opposition is not getting blown out.