@farmerman,
Quote:yeh, as bj fails to understand in many types of models using "decision trees in steps" (especially in evolution). The modeler(s) usually omit altrnative pathways of evolution or development whenever theres a "common ancestor " nodal point.
Why do they do that? Why would they assume that random mutations had provided the right information at that node? I think the reason is, they aren't including random mutations in the model.
It is called a decision tree because, a decision had to be made there, and it was. Natural selection decides if something lives or dies. That decision was made, (it lived) and that is why that node is there in that tree. Natural selection is now in the model. Where are random mutations in this model? The modelers ommited random mutations from the model by:
Quote:The modeler(s) usually omit altrnative pathways of evolution or development whenever theres a "common ancestor " nodal point
The more genotypes and alles involved the more combinations that are available at that node in the decision. This will bring in a vast number of alternatives as multiple organsystems and tissue types are evolving at the same time.
The Hardy-Weinberg model that Farmer mentioned, has five basic assumptions: 1) the population is large (i.e., there is no genetic drift); 2) there is no gene flow between populations, from migration or transfer of gametes; 3)
mutations are negligible; 4) individuals are mating randomly; and 5) natural selection is not operating on the population. Given these assumptions, a population's genotype and allele frequencies will remain unchanged over successive generations, and the population is said to be in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium.
By definition random mutations are not part of the above model. In a true model of random mutations, all alternative pathways have to be considered. I don't know how many alternatives were possible but, I will assume, Nilsson and Pegler do for the evolution 0f the eye because it is in their paper. We do know it is going to involve multiple genotypes with each genotype having multiple alleles.
By pulling random mutations out of the model, we can use the Hardy Weinberg equation to view how the number of alternatives for complex evolution is going to build up exponentially, as an example of a single genotype with just two alles is given below.
tree.http://www.tiem.utk.edu/~gross/bioed/bealsmodules/hardy-weinberg.html
Quote: The Hardy-Weinberg model consists of two equations: one that calculates allele frequencies and one that calculates genotype frequencies. Because we are dealing with frequencies, both equations must add up to 1. The equation
p + q = 1
describes allele frequencies for a gene with two alleles. (This is the simplest case, but the equation can also be modified and used in cases with three or more alleles.) If we know the frequency of one allele (p) we can easily calculate the frequency of the other allele (q) by 1 ó p = q.
In a diploid organism with alleles A and a at a given locus, there are three possible genotypes: AA, Aa, and aa. If we use p to represent the frequency of A and q to represent the frequency of a, we can write the genotype frequencies as (p)(p) or p2 for AA, (q)(q) or q2 for aa, and 2(p)(q) for Aa. The equation for genotype frequencies is
p2+ 2pq + q2 = 1.
Sinc,e all the alternatives were removed at each node as Farmer stated, this ends up being an example of reverse engineering, rather than a model of macroevolution by natural selection of random mutations.
Reverse engineering by definition is rebuilding the decision tree and trying to match the decisions every time a decision was needed which, Nilsson and Pegler, succeeded at. They did not attempt to explain how random mutations played into the engineering, and the Hardy and Weinberg equation shows us that the probability of random mutations providing the correct information at each node is going to end up with a number that is 1/a very big number.
Could you please explain what am I not understanding now?
PS I do not deny natural selection. I only doubt random mutations can provide the necessary new genetic material for natural selection to work because the evidence seems to point in that direction..