But the truth is that Israel's secret weapon is the Arabs themselves."
I have to disagree there, if you are truly interested in knowing the truth, please take sometime to watch this short google video - BBC interview with former Israeli Prime Minister.
[a excerpt from the above video - a BBC interview with former Israeli Prime Minister, Shimon Peres on Israel's secret nuclear program]
BBC reporter: 'The term nuclear ambiguity' in some ways it sounds very grand - but isn't it just a euphemism for deception?-
Peres: 'If somebody wants to kill you and you use a deception to save your life, it's not immoral. If we didn't have enemies, we wouldn't need deceptions - we wouldn't need deterrent.'
And exactly who are Israel's enemies?
'Was this the justification also for concealing the floors of plutonium reprocessing areas from the Americans - the inspectors when they came [in the early '60s]?'
Peres: 'You are having a dialog with yourself, not with me . . .'
'But, that's been documented in a number of places . . .'
Peres: 'Ask the question to yourself, not to me . . .'
'But - I mean - is it not true?'
Peres: 'I don't have to answer your questions even ' I don't see any reason why.'
[end interview]
0 Replies
BumbleBeeBoogie
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Sat 22 Jul, 2006 09:08 am
Dangers in U.S. Approach on Middle East Crisis
McClatchy Writers Warn of Dangers in U.S. Approach on Middle East Crisis
By E&P Staff
Published: July 20, 2006 4:30 PM ET
Support for Israel's extensive air strikes against Beirut and Lebanon's infrastructure in the current Middle East conflict remains strong among U.S. officials, and on newspaper editorial pages, while diplomatic efforts remain slowed. At the White House, President Bush's press secretary, Tony Snow, said today, "I'm not sure at this juncture we're going to step in and put up a stop sign."
But William Douglas and John Walcott from McClatchy's Washington bureau today warned of the dangers in the current approach. An excerpt follows.
The White House's inaction on the Israeli-Hezbollah and Israeli-Palestinian issues is consistent with its belief that the goal of American Mideast policy shouldn't be keeping the peace but transforming the region by destabilizing, defeating or overthrowing groups and regimes that practice or support terrorism and are hostile to Israel.
"That's the big idea that was behind the invasion of Iraq, it's the reason they won't talk to Syria or Iran or Hamas, and now it's the reason they're giving the Israelis time and space to try to destroy Hezbollah," said a veteran U.S. diplomat who agreed to speak only on the condition of anonymity because "if you print my name, it'll be the end of my career."
The trouble with the policy is "it won't work," said the official. That view was shared by a half-dozen other current and former foreign policy and intelligence officials, all of whom requested anonymity for the same reason.
The Israelis tried to remake Lebanon in 1982 and failed. U.S. attempts to transform Iraq and Afghanistan two decades later are in deep trouble.
As a result of elections, Hamas, the militant group that stands for Israel's destruction, took control of the Palestinian Authority, Hezbollah has members in the Lebanese National Assembly and Cabinet, and Shiite Muslim parties allied with Iran hold power in Iraq.
Meanwhile, the administration's decision to shun Iran, Hamas and Syria has left it with no contacts and little leverage in Tehran, the Palestinian territories or Damascus.
There's also a risk that militant groups will gain popular support as a result of the administration's indifference in brokering a settlement to end the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and its unwillingness to stop Israel's attacks on Lebanon.
Other risks of a hands-off approach:
-- Hezbollah could try to draw the Israelis into another ground campaign in Lebanon. That would be even more disastrous for the Lebanese people, the government and the economy, but it also would give Hezbollah militants new opportunities to kill Jews, recruit followers, become martyrs and muster wider support in Lebanon and beyond.
-- If Israel's air strikes fail to stop Hezbollah from firing its large arsenal of crude rockets, the Israelis may be tempted to go to what both many Israelis and President Bush consider to be the source of the problem by attacking Syria. That could provoke a wider regional war and put an even greater squeeze on moderate Arab rulers such as Jordan's King Abdullah and Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, who are caught among the U.S., the anti-Israeli attitudes of their people and the rising threat of Islamic militancy.
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JTT
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Sat 22 Jul, 2006 10:19 am
Finn d'Abuzz wrote:
I don't, at all, consider it naive hold the government of a sovereign state responsible for repeated attacks against a neighbor from within its borders.
Oh, let me see, there's Panama, Grenada, Iran, Cuba, Nicaragua, El Salvador, ...
The government of a state clearly has responsibilities for the activities occurring within its borders. Should those activities represent an attack on neighboring countries the government has either explicitly or implicitly declared war, or is responsible for putting a stop to the attacks.
You mean actually doing something moral instead of simply pardoning or ignoring the criminals and their criminal behavior.
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JTT
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Sat 22 Jul, 2006 10:24 am
OCCOM BILL wrote:
As I have said all along; I consider Iraq to be the perfect starting point, no more.
You have an awfully poor grasp of the word 'perfect', OB.
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Steve 41oo
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Sat 22 Jul, 2006 10:58 am
I agree that the juxtaposition of words perfect and Iraq is startling.
I dont know who I have the more contempt for, the racist zionist colonialists or the religious crazies who think paradise is only a short tube journey with a bomb.
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sumac
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Sat 22 Jul, 2006 11:13 am
I can't support this statement with a link because I don't remember where I just read it: the New York Times? Anyway, word is that the US is speeding up the delivery of 'smart' bombs to Israel. This is probably one of the reasons why no one was in any great hurry to try to end the conflict.
With chaos threatening to engulf Lebanon, the need to resolve the conflict in the Middle East has rarely seemed so urgent. The Op-Ed editors went to seven experts with experience in the region, asking each of them what should be the first step toward defusing the crisis.
Stop Bombs, Start Talks
With a break in the violence, the international community could help the Lebanese Army assert its authority throughout the country. By PAUL SALEM.
An Appropriate Response
Israel must see the current fighting through to a conclusion that is unambiguously a defeat for Hezbollah and Hamas. By RICHARD PERLE.
Bring In the Quartet
We need to turn to substantial outside intervention based on the Saudi peace plan of March 2002. By AVISHAI MARGALIT.
Don't Just Talk to States
President Bush should undertake a diplomatic initiative that engages non-state parties to the conflict, especially Hezbollah and Hamas. By JUDITH KIPPER.
Resolve to Put Lebanon in Charge
A robust international force can help the Lebanese government assert its exclusive sovereignty over its territory against any possible Syrian, Iranian or Israeli encroachment. By CHIBLI MALLAT.
The Terrorism Trap
Viewing the current crisis through the distorting lens of terrorism, as the Bush administration and the Israeli government do, leads to the unreflective use of force. By RASHID KHALIDI.
Meet Your Enemies
The United States must rekindle the kind of diplomatic activity that befits its status and furthers its interests. By ROBERT MALLEY.
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sumac
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Sat 22 Jul, 2006 11:17 am
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JTT
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Sat 22 Jul, 2006 11:19 am
What I fail to understand is how people like Finn and OB, just to name a couple, feel that it's okay for the USA and any of its current friends/allies to possess WMDs and that other nations, who have more than ample reason to distrust this group, should sit complacently by.
They're seemingly bright enough so this couldn't be simple naivete. Wilfull blindness, arrant stupidity, a homeboy attitude, take your pick but as long as whatever it is remains so strong, the world will never see peace, not with these warmongers. Theirs is the simplistic thinking of gang members.
They openly speak of illegal acts, openly promote changes of governments, encourage terrorists acts against other sovereign nations. What kind of people are these? Other than the most hypocritical of hypocrites.
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JTT
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Sat 22 Jul, 2006 12:19 pm
Israel has between 100 and 200 nuclear weapons! Israel has the world's sixth largest nuclear arsenal! Their biological and chemical weapons are developed at Nes Ziona!
Israel is the only country in the Middle East not subject to inspection. The USA is complicit in hiding these breaches of international law.
And some folk here have the temerity to complain about Iran, when there is much less proof that they're doing anything wrong.
The most dangerous thing about all this is the disconnect with reality and it isn't limited to OB or Finn or ...
Yup, they hate us because of our freedoms, ... .
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Steve 41oo
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Sat 22 Jul, 2006 12:47 pm
Thats an interesting question JTT. I would put it down to an inability to empathise.
I was reading an article the other day in (ashamed to admit, The Daily Mail) about Jewish terrorists. Abram Stern. Menachim Begin. Yitzak Shamir and several others. The worst were the Irgun. They captured two British sargeants and demanded release of two of their members, on trial for terrorist outrages, who they deemed to be prisoners of war. They were duly found guilty, and hung. The Irgun strung up the two soldiers and booby trapped their bodies. Charming people.
I'm coming to the conclusion that the zionist experiment has failed. There is no future for a country the existence of which depends on periodically slaughtering its neighbours.
The mess Israel has made of its opportunity to smack down Hezbollah should be a wake-up call to the country's leadership. The IDF looks like a pathetic shadow of the bold military that Ariel Sharon led into Egypt three decades ago. The IDF's intelligence, targeting and planning were all deficient. Technology failed to vanquish flesh and blood. The myth of the IDF's invincibility just shattered.
If Israel can't turn this situation around quickly, the failure will be a turning point in its history. And not for the better.
NewYorkPost
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Walter Hinteler
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Sun 23 Jul, 2006 12:39 am
The British are at odds now with Bush's support for the Israelian invasion:
Set, I know you hate the rolling eyes, but damn man, could you possibly have gotten less pertinent or more personal in your attack?
Setanta wrote:
OCCOM BILL wrote:
Set, they have. They withdrew from the vast majority of Lebanon, who in turn neither disarmed Hezbollah nor took any steps to ask for help in doing so.
How very noble of the Israelis... (a bunch of idiotic straw man nonsense)... You then suggest that they should have asked the Israelis to "help" in disarming Hezbollah--we can see right now what methods the Israelis use--do you seriously think any Lebanese government would be that mad, or would survive if it did so?
Note the language "even the Israelis"... as in, even the Israelis themselves. They could have asked help from any number of sources, since most, even in the region, consider Hezbollah to be bad folks... but they never did. This is fact Set, not opinion.
Setanta wrote:
Quote:
As you pointed out yourself; Hezbollah holds a small fraction of seats in government... but where's the majority? Why didn't they demand that Hezbollah disarm? Had this majority asked even Israel itself for help in doing so; do you think they wouldn't now be negotiating trade agreements? I think you are too quick to turn the blind eye to Lebanon's role in their own destruction.
That is either the most cynically disgusting or hopelessly naive position you've taken. The Lebanon has no need of trade agreements with Isreal. Left in peace by Israel, the Lebanon has all it needs for a successful economy, and Syria has always been their largest trading partner. To claim that Lebanon has a role in their own destruction is just disgusting--that sort of snotty disregard for this type of human tragedy lowers you considerably in my opinion. I know that won't matter to you, but don't be surprised if i address you in future with a due regard for the criminal and inhumane attitudes you express.
No Set, that is a simple opinion. The fact remains they asked no one for help in ridding the war-mongering faction that continued to needle a superior force and eventually succeeded in provoking a response. The rest of your ad hominem BS, I'm quite used to, since you reach for it every time someone points out your lofty historical wish-it-to-be horseshit is proven to be just that. Horseshit. My links are quite clear, while you supplied none.
Setanta wrote:
Quote:
Asking them to release Hezbollah, while continuing to suffer attacks from Hezbollah, is a bit much, no?
As has been pointed out repeatedly in this thread, mostly by others, Isreal has done exactly these sorts of deals in the past. Once they have complied with any negotiated action in good faith, the international community has consistently leaned on their opponents to step up and match the gestures.
Who's living in fantasy land now? The "international community has consistently condemned every measure of self defense Israel has ever shown, while completely ignoring the suffering masses under virtually every murderous dictator that ever walked the earth. NK's cool? Iran's abundant support for terrorism's cool? But God forbid Israel should defend itself...
Setanta wrote:
Quote:
I couldn't agree less. Do you have any links to support that Iran has drastically reduced their support and has been disengaging for any purpose other than plausible deniability?
Plausible deniability? That's hilariouis--do you think the Mullahs attended the Richard Nixon School of Political Deception? The Persians have never been shy about avowing their support for organizations which we consider terrorists. No, i don't have a link for you--my remarks are based on what i've read and heard in the last few months. Do you have a link to support a claim that either Damascus or Teheran are pulling the strings? If it is a link to an opinion piece, then i'll just go find an opinion piece which contradicts yours--or just ignore it.
I've already provided not one, but two links that clearly illustrate the FACT that the world knows Iran formed, funded, continues to fund, trained, armed and still shares the same goals of the terrorists you've chosen to defend. Globalsecurity.org might not be your favorite source for info, but since your favorite source wikipedia.com relies on them, you'll make a fool of yourself if you try to deny them as reliable.
Setanta wrote:
Quote:
My understanding is that no such exchange ever took place on demand or by force and was in fact many many months after such prisoners were taken that exchanges were worked out. Is this not so?
Even so, in this, Israel has itself to blame for rewarding bad behavior.
Do you get e-mails from PNAC for your talking points? What you call "rewarding bad behavior" would be described by a good many honest observers as righting the injustices the Israelis have committed. A good deal of the reason you fail to understand much of the situation is based on your simple-minded views of the players and their game. Apprently, you see it as: Israel=always good, always innocent victim, always acts in good faith; Isreal's opponents=always bad, always evil terrorists, never act in good faith. It's kind of hard to discuss these things when your world view is informed by propaganda at the outset. But the Israeli lobby in Washington sure loves folks with your attitudes.
I'm neither on any PNAC mailing list nor am I repeating anything. Aside from your idiotic hyperbole, you've not even addressed what I said. Again, was there not a long lapse between prisoner taking and deals in the past? YES, there was. Sorry that doesn't fit well with your idealism. Just the facts. Whimpering about affiliations with other groups doesn't change this simple fact. Grow up and answer questions like an adult, or don't bother to answer them at all.
Setanta wrote:
Quote:
Isn't this essentially what they did with Palestinians and Gaza?
No, what happened with the Palestinians on the west bank of the Jordan River and in the Gaza Strip is that the Israelis returned to them the land from which they were driven in 1967, and which was their homeland and birth place.
In other words: YES.
Setanta wrote:
Quote:
And didn't that "Good will" buy them renewed attacks from the very territory they gave back and a majority of Palestinians (not scorning) but rewarding Hamas by electing them? What makes you think this would be any different?
What makes me think it would be different is a stupid question--because that is not what happened in the first place. Once again, you rely upon the armor of invincible ignorance. The Israelis returned to the Palestinians the land from which they had been driven by ethnic cleansing in 1948-49, and 1967. They then erected barriers, set up Jewish immigrant settlements, and in every way possible, violated every agreement they made with the Palestinians--resulting eventually in the two Intifadas. The first Intifada occurred in 1987, because the Israelis ha kept none of their promises, in particular were failing to provide education, medical services and other public services in the occupied territories, to which they had agreed in advance, and for which the monetary source was the revenues of taxes and imposts in those territories, and foreign aid freely given to the Palestinians. In short, the Israelis were robbing the Palestinians, and whining to the world about terrorists in their midst. This first Intifada ended with the establishment of the Palestinian Authority. The Israelis continued to break their promises made to the Palestinians and the United States about Jewish settlements in the occupied territories, and willfully withheld Palestinian revenues, collected by Israel, to attempt to cripple Yasir Arafat and the PA. There can be little doubt that the PA was corrupt, but i'd be amused to see you justify theft as a cure for corruption.
Skipping past your tiresome ad hominems, you've said nothing to counter the fact that giving back these lands accomplished nothing but decreasing the range rockets need to fly to hit Israel. Their good will was spit in their face to an ultimate degree, but you'd rather try to obfuscate this simple fact to try to support your erroneous point. Bad on you.
Setanta wrote:
While a corrupt and ineffective PA was being starved for operating revenue by the Israelis, Hamas consistently used foreign aid donations by other Muslim nations (for which those nations have been accused by rightwingnuts as being supporters of terrorism) to fund education, medical and dental clinics, sewage and clean water projects--in short, everything the PA was too corrupt and broke to provide, and everything the Israelis had promised to provide in their typical mealy-mouthed fashion, and then reneged upon. Small wonder Hamas won the last election.
Ya, and Mussolini was an efficiency expert, who did indeed get the trains to run on time. You talk about disgusting? You're campaigning for a terrorist group, responsible for numerous suicide bombs against civilians, a group who's very charter includes erasing the entire state of Israel, and you talk about them like they're some kind of saints because they figured out winning the hearts and minds of the masses comes through assisting in providing everyday needs. Forget that the wonderful schools they build (good thing) preach hatred for Israelis and Americans alike. You have a greater historical knowledge than I, by far, so to preach this kind of disinformational garbage to many who want to believe you is infinitely more disgusting than any opinion that I may offer against your taste. That is truly disgusting.
Setanta wrote:
When the second Intifada broke out in 2000, because of the broken promises of the Israelis, and the latest land thefts and water thefts, and the newest restrictions on Palestinians, Hamas was declared a terrorist organization. That's good enough for you, isn't it? Decent, innoncent, well-meaning Israel a victim of the bad old terrorists. You really live in fantasy land.
NO. What's good enough for me is the fact that they were declared a terrorist organization because they had long since been in the habit of targeting innocent civilians for suicide attacks. The sad part is; I think you know this and pretend you don't because it doesn't suit your politics. That is truly disgusting.
Setanta wrote:
Quote:
The "terrorists" in Lebanon wish to destroy Israel.
That is not necessarily so--unless and until Israel returns all Lebanese territory and either exchanges prisoners, or turns Lebanese citizens held in Israeli prisons over to an international tribunal, you cannot definitely say that Hezbollah's object is the destruction of Israel. Time enough for that if Israel acts in good faith (something they rarely do) and is still attacked, at which point, if the Lebanese government cannot disarm Hezbollah, an international force should do so--not Israel acting as a rogue militarist state.
Talk about dreamland. Follow either link I provided, check with CNN or even Wikipedia and learn the simple facts about Hezbollah's charter. They most certainly do wish to destroy Israel. To deny this is to deny reality.
Setanta wrote:
Quote:
No amount of appeasement or retreat will change that.
I know this is the popular Israeli lobby propaganda line, but you haven't established the case, and even if you did, that does not authorize the indiscriminate attacks on the Lebanon which kill Lebanese civilians, and haven't yet stopped the Hezbollah rocket attacks (and note to the Candleless One: No--Hezbollah made occasional rocket attacks on Israel for years without this response--daily, multiple-rocket attacks and attacks on the urban area of Haifa did not begin until after the Israelis made massive air raids and rocket attacks on the Lebanon. Prior to that time, the target of choice for Hezbollah rockets were the Israelis on the Shebaa Farms, yet again an example of the attempt to establish Jewish settlements on occupied territory.)--the likeliest result of the Isreali attacks, as i and others have pointed out, will be to garner support for Hezbollah, which until the present has been a fringe group.
No, other than a couple feeble-minded anti-Semites, you're on you own in left field. There remains no, not one, example of appeasement or retreat resulting in a net decrease in attacks against Israel for any substantial amount of time. Again, you know this... and pretending you don't because it doesn't conveniently fit you political agenda is disgusting.
Setanta wrote:
Quote:
It will only give them something to brag about, and use to show new recruits how they're winning the battles.
You pointed out yourself that Hezbollah was not a majority group politically, so your thesis is dubious. In fact, making martyrs of the Lebanese people is far more likely to draw new recruits.
While there is certainly some truth in this, making heros of the terrorists, by rewarding them for terrorism as you would do, would almost certainly have a greater recruiting effect.
Setanta wrote:
Quote:
Contrarily, if Israel continues to meet new threats with overwhelming force, I for one would think twice about being next in line to needle them. Soon after I would learn to despise the stupidity inherent in attacking a superior force by my so-called countrymen. While punishment may or may not prove an effective deterrent to bad behavior, rewarding it is no deterrent at all.
Your use of the term "rewarding" is propagandistic. Constructive diplomatic engagement could effectively isolate Hezbollah, and cut their support from outside the Lebanon, while undermining what little support they have within their nation. These attacks don't deter Hezbollah--they are prepared to be martyrs, and undoubtedly cynically use civilian deaths for their own propagandistic purposes. Once again, these tactics failed to destroy the PLO thirty years ago, and did nothing to abate attacks on Israeli territory (or what they call Israeli territory, after they steal it from their neighbors)--there is no good reason to suppose this idiotically simple-minded formula will work now. These are the theories of playground fist-fights, not of international relations in a very, very complex world. I know simple explanations reassure people that they have the answers, but they are unrealistic. Fifty years of such behavior by the Israelis has not diminished their enemies, and, if anything, had increased the animus toward them.
Sounds good Set, but doesn't add up. 50 years of pretend deals with folks who were determined to eradicate them yielded nothing but bloodshed. Today, Israel seems to be rewarding such attempts with ten times the veracity of their inferior attackers and if that isn't a deterrent to the terrorists and their sympathizers, what would be? Your naive notion that giving in to terrorist demands would somehow change the status quo is laughable. No consolation Israel has ever given wasn't rewarded by increased hostilities and your let's give them the benefit of the doubt again plan is absurdly idealistic.
Setanta wrote:
Quote:
What worries me most; is that it won't at least wake the American public up to the fact that these people wish to destroy both Israel and the United States. Which part of Ahmadinejad's rhetoric suggests otherwise?
While there are members of Hezbollah who would wish to destroy the United States, it is as the flea wishing to destroy the elephant--we have nothing to fear from them.
Your willful ignorance allows you to see this as anything but Iran's war against us by proxy. Amazing, for someone as historically astute to not recognize this simple probability.
Setanta wrote:
Ahmadinejad is Persian, not Lebanese--he lives in Teheran, not Beirut--the lives of Lebanese civilians are on the line, not Persians.
I can ill imagine a more naïve point of contention. Ahmadinejad was a member of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard who birthed Hezbollah in the first place without which Hezbollah would be some disgruntled folks reaping as much havoc as they could IED's and AK's not 11 to 13,000 rockets at their disposal. The only reason his life is not on the line along with Lebanese civilians and Hezbollah terrorist's alike; is the world's (including the U.S.'s) uncanny ability to ignore the simple facts of life when economic stability enters the picture. Take away the oil; and every civilized nation on earth would be demanding answers from Tehran. You know this.
Setanta wrote:
Quote:
I think you are way to quick to dismiss the common goals and myriad of links between Iran, Syria, Hezbollah and Hamas. Last I checked, both Hezbollah and Hamas are still held in high esteem by the Supreme Leader (the real head jerkoff in Iran for those who don't know) and both remain on the payroll of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard... who is of course the business end of Ahmadinejad's mouth. You have way too much faith in good will, IMO.
Any interested in finding out just what the Iranian Revolutionary Guard is should click here.
You are way to quick to want to link all of this to Iran--if you're so goddamned hyped to take out the evil Persian terrorists, why don't you join up, O'Bill--go fight the good fight on the ground. Your rhetoric makes me sick, because you are not the one who will ever have to pay the price. But you certainly are a loyal purveyor of all the half-truths, innuendo and outright lies which PNAC and the Israeli lobby want the world to believe.
That you would reach to this level of fallacious appeals to pity and ad hominem attacks on my person are ample evidence that you know how shaky your positions are. Try, even if it's hard, to address my opinions without resorting to such BS, which is so clearly beneath (or at least should be) a man of your intellect.
Aside: I've got a lot going on right now, so I may not be quick to answer. Further: if you invest much more heavily in ad hominem, I may not bother at all.
0 Replies
BumbleBeeBoogie
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Sun 23 Jul, 2006 08:05 am
Israel set war plan more than a year ago
Israel set war plan more than a year ago
Strategy was put in motion as Hezbollah began gaining military strength in Lebanon
Matthew Kalman, Chronicle Foreign Service
Friday, July 21, 2006
Israel's military response by air, land and sea to what it considered a provocation last week by Hezbollah militants is unfolding according to a plan finalized more than a year ago.
In the six years since Israel ended its military occupation of southern Lebanon, it watched warily as Hezbollah built up its military presence in the region. When Hezbollah militants kidnapped two Israeli soldiers last week, the Israeli military was ready to react almost instantly.
"Of all of Israel's wars since 1948, this was the one for which Israel was most prepared," said Gerald Steinberg, professor of political science at Bar-Ilan University. "In a sense, the preparation began in May 2000, immediately after the Israeli withdrawal, when it became clear the international community was not going to prevent Hezbollah from stockpiling missiles and attacking Israel. By 2004, the military campaign scheduled to last about three weeks that we're seeing now had already been blocked out and, in the last year or two, it's been simulated and rehearsed across the board."
More than a year ago, a senior Israeli army officer began giving PowerPoint presentations, on an off-the-record basis, to U.S. and other diplomats, journalists and think tanks, setting out the plan for the current operation in revealing detail. Under the ground rules of the briefings, the officer could not be identified.
In his talks, the officer described a three-week campaign: The first week concentrated on destroying Hezbollah's heavier long-range missiles, bombing its command-and-control centers, and disrupting transportation and communication arteries. In the second week, the focus shifted to attacks on individual sites of rocket launchers or weapons stores. In the third week, ground forces in large numbers would be introduced, but only in order to knock out targets discovered during reconnaissance missions as the campaign unfolded. There was no plan, according to this scenario, to reoccupy southern Lebanon on a long-term basis.
Israeli officials say their pinpoint commando raids should not be confused with a ground invasion. Nor, they say, do they herald another occupation of southern Lebanon, which Israel maintained from 1982 to 2000 -- in order, it said, to thwart Hezbollah attacks on Israel. Planners anticipated the likelihood of civilian deaths on both sides. Israel says Hezbollah intentionally bases some of its operations in residential areas. And Hezbollah's leader, Hassan Nasrallah, has bragged publicly that the group's arsenal included rockets capable of bombing Haifa, as occurred last week.
Like all plans, the one now unfolding also has been shaped by changing circumstances, said Eran Lerman, a former colonel in Israeli military intelligence who is now director of the Jerusalem office of the American Jewish Committee.
"There are two radical views of how to deal with this challenge, a serious professional debate within the military community over which way to go," said Lerman. "One is the air power school of thought, the other is the land-borne option. They create different dynamics and different timetables. The crucial factor is that the air force concept is very methodical and almost by definition is slower to get results. A ground invasion that sweeps Hezbollah in front of you is quicker, but at a much higher cost in human life and requiring the creation of a presence on the ground."
The advance scenario is now in its second week, and its success or failure is still unfolding. Whether Israel's aerial strikes will be enough to achieve the threefold aim of the campaign -- to remove the Hezbollah military threat; to evict Hezbollah from the border area, allowing the deployment of Lebanese government troops; and to ensure the safe return of the two Israeli soldiers abducted last week -- remains an open question. Israelis are opposed to the thought of reoccupying Lebanon.
"I have the feeling that the end is not clear here. I have no idea how this movie is going to end," said Daniel Ben-Simon, a military analyst for the daily Haaretz newspaper.
Thursday's clashes in southern Lebanon occurred near an outpost abandoned more than six years ago by the retreating Israeli army. The place was identified using satellite photographs of a Hezbollah bunker, but only from the ground was Israel able to discover that it served as the entrance to a previously unknown underground network of caves and bunkers stuffed with missiles aimed at northern Israel, said Israeli army spokesman Miri Regev.
"We knew about the network, but it was fully revealed (Wednesday) by the ground operation of our forces," said Regev. "This is one of the purposes of the pinpoint ground operations -- to locate and try to destroy the terrorist infrastructure from where they can fire at Israeli citizens."
Israeli military officials say as much as 50 percent of Hezbollah's missile capability has been destroyed, mainly by aerial attacks on targets identified from intelligence reports. But missiles continue to be fired at towns and cities across northern Israel.
"We were not surprised that the firing has continued," said Tzachi Hanegbi, chairman of the Knesset Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee. "Hezbollah separated its leadership command-and-control system from its field organization. It created a network of tiny cells in each village that had no operational mission except to wait for the moment when they should activate the Katyusha rocket launchers hidden in local houses, using coordinates programmed long ago to hit Nahariya or Kiryat Shemona, or the kibbutzim and villages."
"From the start of this operation, we have also been active on the ground across the width of Lebanon," said Brig. Gen. Ron Friedman, head of Northern Command headquarters. "These missions are designed to support our current actions. Unfortunately, one of the many missions which we have carried out in recent days met with slightly fiercer resistance."
Israel didn't need sophisticated intelligence to discover the huge buildup of Iranian weapons supplies to Hezbollah by way of Syria, because Hezbollah's patrons boasted about it openly in the pages of the Arabic press. As recently as June 16, less than four weeks before the Hezbollah border raid that sparked the current crisis, the Syrian defense minister publicly announced the extension of existing agreements allowing the passage of trucks shipping Iranian weapons into Lebanon.
But to destroy them, Israel needed to map the location of each missile.
"We need a lot of patience," said Hanegbi. "The (Israeli Defense Forces) action at the moment is incapable of finding the very last Katyusha, or the last rocket launcher primed for use hidden inside a house in some village."
Moshe Marzuk, a former head of the Lebanon desk for Israeli Military Intelligence who now is a researcher at the Institute for Counter-Terrorism in Herzliya, said Israel had learned from past conflicts in Lebanon, the West Bank and Gaza -- as well as the recent U.S. experiences in Afghanistan and Iraq -- that a traditional military campaign would be counter-effective.
"A big invasion is not suitable here," said Marzuk. "We are not fighting an army, but guerrillas. It would be a mistake to enter and expose ourselves to fighters who will hide, fire off a missile and run away. If we are to be on the ground at all, we need to use commandos and special forces."
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Since fighting started
-- Israeli air strikes on Lebanon have hit more than 1,255 targets, including 200 rocket-launching sites.
-- Hezbollah launched more than 900 rockets and missiles into northern Israel.
-- At least 330 Lebanese have been killed, including 20 soldiers and three Hezbollah guerrillas. Lebanese Prime Minister Fuad Saniora says 1,100 have been wounded; the police put the number at 657.
-- 32 Israelis have been killed, among them 17 soldiers, according to Israeli authorities. At least 12 soldiers and 344 civilians have been wounded.
-- Foreign deaths include eight Canadians, two Kuwaiti nationals, one Iraqi, one Sri Lankan and one Jordanian.
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BumbleBeeBoogie
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Sun 23 Jul, 2006 08:14 am
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BumbleBeeBoogie
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Sun 23 Jul, 2006 08:22 am
One prisoner, Samir Kuntar, plays important role in conflict
Posted on Sat, Jul. 22, 2006
One prisoner - Samir Kuntar - plays important role in conflict
By Matthew Schofield
McClatchy Newspapers
JERUSALEM - It came as no surprise when Hezbollah's leader, Sheik Hassan Nasrallah, said that if Israelis wanted their two captured soldiers returned, they'd have to release Samir Kuntar.
Kuntar's release was first demanded during the 1985 hijacking of the Italian cruise liner Achille Lauro. Since then, Palestinian and Lebanese groups have repeated the demand whenever a prisoner exchange has been discussed.
On Saturday evening, several Arabic stations reported about him, and the Hezbollah television station al Manar ran a feature about him that asked, "Isn't he worth a war?"
Kuntar is the longest serving Lebanese and the fourth longest serving prisoner of all in Israel today, and his name is always at the top of the list of prisoners wanted released.
Jailed as a killer in 1979, he's a Palestinian hero, a Hezbollah symbol. Among Israelis, he's known as a terrorist, a cold-blooded killer whose crime evoked memories of the Holocaust.
Palestinian attorney Buthaninah Dugmag in the West Bank city of Ramallah said it's too simple to say that the war between Israel and Hezbollah is based on Hezbollah's desire to get Kuntar out of prison. But he's an important factor.
"Maybe if they'd just released him before, as they released thousands of others, we wouldn't now be in the mess we're in," she said.
Israel has stated goals of disarming Hezbollah in Lebanon, and Hezbollah has been sniping at Israeli forces periodically since Israel pulled its forces out of southern Lebanon in 2000.
But the final spur that set these two at war was Hezbollah's kidnapping of two Israeli soldiers, and at least part of the reason for that is thought to be an attempt to win Kuntar's release.
As close friend and former cellmate Sheik Adnan Mahquad Youssef said Friday, "Samir Kuntar is a hero to all people here. His mission was heroic. His actions from prison have been heroic. We respect and love him totally."
Kuntar's story remains vivid here. At about 2 a.m. on April 22, 1979, Kuntar - then 16 - beached a rubber raft with three others at Nahariya, a Jewish town just over the border from Lebanon. His supporters note that he dodged Israeli patrol boats and radar and landed to confront the Israeli military. His detractors note that firing an AK-47 and tossing grenades in front of him, he stormed into an apartment building full of families.
Smadar Haran-Kaiser was in that building, with her husband and daughters, aged 5 and 2. As Kuntar raged through the building, searching for people to be kidnapped for use as exchange for Lebanese prisoners, Haran-Kaiser hid in a crawl space with her 2-year-old. Her husband and older daughter tried to flee. Israeli reports indicate Kuntar shot the husband in the head and smashed the girl's skull.
But as Haran-Kaiser, the daughter of a Polish Holocaust survivor, cowered in the apartment, hearing Kuntar's footsteps nearby, the little girl cried. Haran-Kaiser placed a hand over the mouth of her daughter, and accidentally smothered her. In all, five Israelis died in the attack, but it was this death that created visions of the Holocaust, a woman hiding in the rafters, forced to kill her daughter while trying to save her. The reaction was fierce.
Prime Minister Menachem Begin's party called for new laws and the death penalty for terrorists. Kuntar was given five life-sentences, the harshest penalty available.
This week, in the same town, Haran-Kaiser fled into a bomb shelter as Hezbollah's Katyusha rockets rained down, and she said the memories flooded back.
"This man, he is more than a killer to us, he is a symbol of the viciousness, the brutality, the hatred, of this fight against us," she said. "The demands for his freedom expose the evil faces from behind the mask, and show we cannot trust these people."
She said it was important for people to remember this crime.
"This cycle of terrorism did not start now," she said.
To Hezbollah and Palestinians, Kuntar is a freedom fighter. They see his actions as an act of war and believe that like all prisoners of war, he should have been returned. In the time since his arrest, the man arrested with him has been exchanged for Israeli prisoners.
In prison, Kuntar has led hunger strikes and prison revolts and has earned a bachelor's degree (from the Open University of Tel Aviv, where he even took a course on the Holocaust). Although he arrived in Israel before Hezbollah was founded and was not a Palestinian (Yasser Arafat later gave him honorary Palestinian citizenship), both groups want him released.
Magnus Ranstorp, chief scientist at the Swedish National Defense College Center for Asymmetric Threat Studies, has been studying Hezbollah for two decades. He said Kuntar's importance shouldn't be underestimated.
"Nasrallah has personally promised to bring him into a prisoner exchange scheme," he said. "He's an important figure to the Hezbollah leader."
David Green, deputy editor of Jerusalem Report, said that Kuntar's importance in Israel these days is more than symbolic.
"They were horrible crimes, innocents died, but they were a long time ago," he said. "But the fact that he is so important means he is an ace in the hole for negotiations."
Specifically, he thinks he might be used to get information on captured Israeli pilot Ron Arad, who went missing in 1986. Arad and Kuntar are often mentioned together.
Bassam Kuntar, who last saw his brother when he was 2, said from the family home in Lebanon that "it is extremely difficult for our family, that my brother is treated more as a bargaining chip than a man."
He then, however, offered a bargain. While saying he didn't know exactly where the Israeli soldiers were being held, he said he knew they were in good condition. He added that offering to exchange Kuntar for them would be a good start to negotiations.
"Israel refuses to negotiate, but I say to the families that what happened to the pilot Arad does not have to happen to their sons," he said.
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BumbleBeeBoogie
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Sun 23 Jul, 2006 08:28 am
Under siege, Lebanon's deep factional rifts are exposed
Under siege, Lebanon's deep factional rifts are exposed
By Hannah Allam
McClatchy Newspapers
7/22/06
BEIRUT, Lebanon
Youmna and Ziad Ghaziri looked for solace in prayers Friday at the sand-colored mosque in Beirut where they were married two months ago.
The same cleric who presided over that happy day was still there, again speaking of unity as a gift from God. This time, however, it was an urgent plea to keep Lebanon intact as a barrage of missiles threatens to unravel the delicate tapestry pieced together after a vicious 15-year civil war.
The Ghaziris are too young to remember those days of bloodshed, but they're terrified at what they see in their country now. Besieged Shiite Muslims from territories controlled by Hezbollah militants have fled to safer Christian areas, to the dismay of residents there. Sunni Muslims consider Israel an enemy, but they're just as wary of Shiite guerrillas with close ties to Iran.
Lebanon's deep factional rifts, papered over and called national reconciliation, are raw once more as thousands are uprooted and panicked.
Segregation, many here believe, was the only way such a diverse population could peacefully coexist. Now that Sunnis, Shiites, Christians and Druze are jumbled together as people try to flee from the war, the old fissures have widened, and few seem to be heeding the government's calls for a united national front.
"Everybody now is in their homes watching the news and talking about, `I'm with this' or `I'm against that,'" said Youmna Ghaziri, 23, a Red Cross volunteer and engineering student. "This is spreading from the homes to the neighborhoods to the whole country. It's not the time for this. Not again."
She and her husband, both Sunni Muslims, listened as the imam warned that Israelis want to cause "fitna," a powerful Arabic word whose translations range from discord to the anarchy that Muslims believe will precede Judgment Day. To many Lebanese, the word conjures up memories of the bloodletting during the civil war, which ended in 1991.
The Ghaziris normally wouldn't attend this mosque, but the Israeli strikes kept inching closer to their home south of Beirut, so, like thousands of other families, they decided to flee. Displaced and scared, the young couple had hoped to find sanctuary within the serene halls of the mosque. But shaking their resentment at Hezbollah was harder than they imagined.
"Look around you. We didn't want to lose all this," said Ziad Ghaziri, 25, a pharmaceutical salesman, pointing at the gleaming Beirut skyline. "We're all against Israel. Israel is our primary enemy. But the problem with Hezbollah is the timing. We were just rising out of everything that happened. It was such a promising season."
So far, Shiite lands in Beirut's south suburbs and along the Israeli border have borne the brunt of Israel's revenge.
Lebanon's Christians and Sunni Muslims are petrified that Israel will spread such destruction to their districts. Many of them privately say that Shiites ushered in this war because of their wide popular support of Hezbollah. Shiites, especially impoverished ones who called the south suburbs home, counter that the Sunni- and Christian-led government neglected their community for years. Hezbollah was the force that stepped in with schools, clinics and orphanages.
In a bid to free Lebanese detainees in Israeli jails, Hezbollah guerrillas abducted two Israeli soldiers in a bold cross-border operation it hoped would yield a prisoner swap. Instead, Israel responded with relentless airstrikes and tentative ground assaults that have destroyed swaths of its tiny Mediterranean neighbor. Hezbollah fought back, sending hundreds of poorly aimed rockets into Israel.
More than 300 Lebanese have died in the air raids, including more than 100 children and 23 Lebanese soldiers. The government in Beirut estimates the onslaught has displaced 500,000 residents, with 100,000 camping out in overflowing public schools.
This uneven, deadly tit-for-tat has halted Lebanon's progress toward a democratic government representative of its diversity. It also has left smoking ruins throughout a capital that took years to rebuild.
"We feel so ambivalent," Youmna Ghaziri said. "You hear things like Hezbollah attacking an Israeli ship and it makes you happy and proud that we have a force that can stand up to Israel. But then you get scared, because you know Israel is stronger and you don't know what the response will be."
Carine Mirr, 32, a Maronite Christian mother of three, lives near one of the schools north of Beirut where dozens of southern Shiites have converged. At first, she said, local Christians showed compassion to their displaced neighbors. That changed, however, when one of them stuck a yellow-and-green Hezbollah flag on top of the school this week. Terrified that such an act would bring airstrikes to their lands, Christians asked the police to remove the flag - and tensions have remained high ever since.
"I pity them, but I think that if Israel attacks the Christian areas, it's because the Shiites are here," Mirr said. "I'm so, so frightened. I wish a ship from a foreign country would just come and take us away."
Throughout the capital Friday, symbols of Lebanon's gains were juxtaposed with signs of its new losses.
Cranes rose up from construction sites for new luxury apartment buildings. Next to a billboard touting a building project led by Ivana Trump, dozens of Canadians hauling suitcases were lined up to board a ship that would spirit them away from Lebanon. More than 60,000 expatriates, including at least 2,000 Americans, already have fled, with many more waiting to evacuate.
Posters advertised a concert by the American hip-hop sensation 50 Cent, who now shares wall space with pro-Hezbollah graffiti. Several chic French bakeries and major department stores have reopened, though shoppers stocked up in the dark because electricity is sporadic. The Cartier and Bulgari proprietors had snatched their diamonds from shop windows, perhaps fearful of looting if the area was bombed. The same went for designer clothing stores, where the mannequins stood naked and the doors were padlocked.
But these were all minor scars compared with the wreckage of Beirut's predominantly Shiite south suburbs. Massive and repeated Israeli hits have reduced most of the area to smoldering debris. Half a million Lebanese lived and worked in the suburbs, where Hezbollah also kept political and charity offices. The once-bustling area has turned into a dangerous knot of live wires, trash and concrete.
"I pray to God to make this war stop," said Ghada Mabsout, 21, whose parents moved the family to Beirut this week to flee the violence in her southern hometown. "I ask for peace and for Lebanon to overcome this war as one. I just wish things could go back to how they were."
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BumbleBeeBoogie
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Sun 23 Jul, 2006 09:04 am
Six Questions on the Bush Administration
Six Questions on the Bush Administration and the Middle East Crisis for Wayne White
Posted on Sunday, July 23, 2006.
Harper's Magazine
By Ken Silverstein
Wayne White, now an Adjunct Scholar with Washington's Middle East Institute, was Deputy Director of the State Department's Office of Middle East and South Asia Analysis until March 2005. On Saturday, he replied to a series of questions about the situation in Lebanon and the Bush Administration's response. By Ken Silverstein.
1. Condoleezza Rice is leaving for the Middle East. Is her trip likely to lead to any favorable diplomatic outcome?
I don't think so. At least not anytime soon. Despite her meetings in New York at the UN, back in Washington, and her upcoming trip to the region, I believe her activities have been tailored to give the impression of action while not designed to make any real progress toward the urgent ceasefire that should be everyone's highest priority. To cite just one disappointment, the apparent failure to engage senior Syrian officials directly is a serious omission since Syria may be the only Arab government in a position to pressure Hezbollah in any meaningful way.
2. Why has the Bush Administration reacted so passively to the current situation? Is it likely that the administration gave Israel a "green light" for what we have been seeing on the ground?
Judging from what I saw during my time in government, one should not jump to the conclusion that Israel either asked for or was given a proverbial "green light" in advance to initiate this robust campaign in Lebanon. More likely, the Israelis took action on their own, counting on Washington's support after the fact, which is precisely what they have gotten. Indeed, the administration has been somewhat passive because it appears to want the Israelis to have all the time they believe they need to complete what is probably viewed as a mission of interest to both governments: an effort to destroy Hezbollah, once and for all.
3. What does Israel hope to gain from its ongoing military operations in and against targets and areas in Lebanon, and is it likely to meet with success?***See BBB's note4. Did Israel respond to the snatching of its soldiers on the spur of the moment or was that incident an excuse for a military operation that Israel has been intending to carry out for some time?
This is an interesting question because I believe the emotional aspect of crisis decision-making often is overlooked. Having been engaged in prolonged and exhausting efforts to address the kidnapping of another Israeli soldier in Gaza and the complications associated with that crisis, Israel's leadership might well have reacted more rashly than otherwise to events in the north. Nonetheless, Israel almost certainly made use of contingency plans already on the shelf for a major campaign against Hezbollah and, perhaps, a parallel strategy of making the point that Lebanon as a whole shared the blame for the failure to disarm Hezbollah. Israel probably also deliberately cast its Lebanese campaign as part of the Global War on Terrorism in order to better ensure U.S. support for this more wide-ranging and damaging course of action.
5. How do you see this playing out? Can Israel "break the back" of Hezbollah? Will Hezbollah be more or less popular in Lebanon and the Middle East? In short, will either side emerge with a political or military victory? 6. Will there be any negative consequences resulting from the administration's relatively passive diplomacy? ***BBB's note:
Israel set war plan more than a year ago
Strategy was put in motion as Hezbollah began gaining military strength in Lebanon
Matthew Kalman, Chronicle Foreign Service
Friday, July 21, 2006
Israel's military response by air, land and sea to what it considered a provocation last week by Hezbollah militants is unfolding according to a plan finalized more than a year ago.
In the six years since Israel ended its military occupation of southern Lebanon, it watched warily as Hezbollah built up its military presence in the region. When Hezbollah militants kidnapped two Israeli soldiers last week, the Israeli military was ready to react almost instantly.
"Of all of Israel's wars since 1948, this was the one for which Israel was most prepared," said Gerald Steinberg, professor of political science at Bar-Ilan University. "In a sense, the preparation began in May 2000, immediately after the Israeli withdrawal, when it became clear the international community was not going to prevent Hezbollah from stockpiling missiles and attacking Israel. By 2004, the military campaign scheduled to last about three weeks that we're seeing now had already been blocked out and, in the last year or two, it's been simulated and rehearsed across the board."
More than a year ago, a senior Israeli army officer began giving PowerPoint presentations, on an off-the-record basis, to U.S. and other diplomats, journalists and think tanks, setting out the plan for the current operation in revealing detail. Under the ground rules of the briefings, the officer could not be identified.
In his talks, the officer described a three-week campaign: The first week concentrated on destroying Hezbollah's heavier long-range missiles, bombing its command-and-control centers, and disrupting transportation and communication arteries. In the second week, the focus shifted to attacks on individual sites of rocket launchers or weapons stores. In the third week, ground forces in large numbers would be introduced, but only in order to knock out targets discovered during reconnaissance missions as the campaign unfolded. There was no plan, according to this scenario, to reoccupy southern Lebanon on a long-term basis.
Israeli officials say their pinpoint commando raids should not be confused with a ground invasion. Nor, they say, do they herald another occupation of southern Lebanon, which Israel maintained from 1982 to 2000 -- in order, it said, to thwart Hezbollah attacks on Israel. Planners anticipated the likelihood of civilian deaths on both sides. Israel says Hezbollah intentionally bases some of its operations in residential areas. And Hezbollah's leader, Hassan Nasrallah, has bragged publicly that the group's arsenal included rockets capable of bombing Haifa, as occurred last week.
Like all plans, the one now unfolding also has been shaped by changing circumstances, said Eran Lerman, a former colonel in Israeli military intelligence who is now director of the Jerusalem office of the American Jewish Committee.
"There are two radical views of how to deal with this challenge, a serious professional debate within the military community over which way to go," said Lerman. "One is the air power school of thought, the other is the land-borne option. They create different dynamics and different timetables. The crucial factor is that the air force concept is very methodical and almost by definition is slower to get results. A ground invasion that sweeps Hezbollah in front of you is quicker, but at a much higher cost in human life and requiring the creation of a presence on the ground."
The advance scenario is now in its second week, and its success or failure is still unfolding. Whether Israel's aerial strikes will be enough to achieve the threefold aim of the campaign -- to remove the Hezbollah military threat; to evict Hezbollah from the border area, allowing the deployment of Lebanese government troops; and to ensure the safe return of the two Israeli soldiers abducted last week -- remains an open question. Israelis are opposed to the thought of reoccupying Lebanon.
"I have the feeling that the end is not clear here. I have no idea how this movie is going to end," said Daniel Ben-Simon, a military analyst for the daily Haaretz newspaper.
Thursday's clashes in southern Lebanon occurred near an outpost abandoned more than six years ago by the retreating Israeli army. The place was identified using satellite photographs of a Hezbollah bunker, but only from the ground was Israel able to discover that it served as the entrance to a previously unknown underground network of caves and bunkers stuffed with missiles aimed at northern Israel, said Israeli army spokesman Miri Regev.
"We knew about the network, but it was fully revealed (Wednesday) by the ground operation of our forces," said Regev. "This is one of the purposes of the pinpoint ground operations -- to locate and try to destroy the terrorist infrastructure from where they can fire at Israeli citizens."
Israeli military officials say as much as 50 percent of Hezbollah's missile capability has been destroyed, mainly by aerial attacks on targets identified from intelligence reports. But missiles continue to be fired at towns and cities across northern Israel.
"We were not surprised that the firing has continued," said Tzachi Hanegbi, chairman of the Knesset Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee. "Hezbollah separated its leadership command-and-control system from its field organization. It created a network of tiny cells in each village that had no operational mission except to wait for the moment when they should activate the Katyusha rocket launchers hidden in local houses, using coordinates programmed long ago to hit Nahariya or Kiryat Shemona, or the kibbutzim and villages."
"From the start of this operation, we have also been active on the ground across the width of Lebanon," said Brig. Gen. Ron Friedman, head of Northern Command headquarters. "These missions are designed to support our current actions. Unfortunately, one of the many missions which we have carried out in recent days met with slightly fiercer resistance."
Israel didn't need sophisticated intelligence to discover the huge buildup of Iranian weapons supplies to Hezbollah by way of Syria, because Hezbollah's patrons boasted about it openly in the pages of the Arabic press. As recently as June 16, less than four weeks before the Hezbollah border raid that sparked the current crisis, the Syrian defense minister publicly announced the extension of existing agreements allowing the passage of trucks shipping Iranian weapons into Lebanon.
But to destroy them, Israel needed to map the location of each missile.
"We need a lot of patience," said Hanegbi. "The (Israeli Defense Forces) action at the moment is incapable of finding the very last Katyusha, or the last rocket launcher primed for use hidden inside a house in some village."
Moshe Marzuk, a former head of the Lebanon desk for Israeli Military Intelligence who now is a researcher at the Institute for Counter-Terrorism in Herzliya, said Israel had learned from past conflicts in Lebanon, the West Bank and Gaza -- as well as the recent U.S. experiences in Afghanistan and Iraq -- that a traditional military campaign would be counter-effective.
"A big invasion is not suitable here," said Marzuk. "We are not fighting an army, but guerrillas. It would be a mistake to enter and expose ourselves to fighters who will hide, fire off a missile and run away. If we are to be on the ground at all, we need to use commandos and special forces."
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Finn dAbuzz
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Sun 23 Jul, 2006 12:58 pm
Setanta wrote:
Finn d'Abuzz wrote:
Setanta wrote:
If Finn wants to claim that the PLO created Hezbollah, fine.
This is a terribly weak and baseless claim, and, irrespective of my regard for you, I am surprised and disappointed that you have asserted it.
Clearly, the assertion that the PLO created Hezbollah is an extension of your logic and not an actual argument made by me.
The point, which both you and O'Bill are ignoring, is that the situation in the Lebanon at the time of the 1978 invasion by Israel was a direct result of the expulsion of the Palestinians after the 1967 war.
As for your putative regard for me, the viciousness you've displayed in the past, completely with character assassination, complete gives the lie to this pious bit of hypocricy on your part.
I'm afraid you totally misunderstood my comment. You are correct in assuming that I do not, at all, have positive regard for you. Perhaps, to be clearer, I should have written "irrespective of my ill regard for you...," but I thought that would have been unnecessarily provocative (no good deed goes unpunished).
Just wanted to make sure I cleared that up.
I don't think Bill or I are ignoring any aspect of the long chain of events that have led us to where we are today in the Middle East. We simply don't choose to view them from a perspective that requires Israel to be the villain every step of the way.
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BumbleBeeBoogie
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Mon 24 Jul, 2006 09:49 am
Diplomatic Failure in the Secret Society
Diplomatic Failure in the Secret Society
By Gary Hart
7/24/06
The U.S. is now confronted with two basic options in the Middle East: the neoconservatives can continue to hope that an increasingly unlikely miracle will permit us to use Iraq as our military and political base from which to dominate the region, or we can attempt the kind of sophisticated diplomacy that mature great powers have carried out over the centuries.
But we cannot do both.
The diplomatic, as opposed to warlike, stance requires statecraft conducted by statesmen. Problem is the Bush administration has none of these in its closed shop and indicates neither capability nor interest in bringing in seasoned people who understand diplomacy. Well into its second term, the friends of W remain a secret society whose members speak the same coded language, worship at the same alter, and share the same secret handshake.
Up to now our government (president and acquiescent Congress) has tried to combine unilateral preventive warfare in Iraq with detachment and avoidance in the Israeli-Palestinian confrontations. This has produced a failed occupancy in Iraq, a failing occupancy in Aghanistan (recently described by the British NATO forces commander as near collapse), and war between Israel and most surrounding neighbors.
Why not just retreat to fortress America and let them settle it themselves. Well, we have our own ongoing conflict with the jihadis who originated in the region, but who, except for their Iraqi training ground, have moved the center of their operations to Europe. And then, of course, there is that little matter of OIL.
Even if we had an administration in Washington that took diplomacy seriously, which we don't, our bona fides and integrity will remain compromised by our Persian Gulf oil dependency.