cjhsa
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 09:43 am
I don't get it.

On one hand we have a bitch who's a lawyer.

The other candidate has wife who's a lawywer and a bitch.

The third candidate has a wife with huge tits and a beer distributorship.

How hard can this be?
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 09:43 am
I think the problem the super delegates have is balancing the potential damage of keeping the cat fight going against choosing the candidate who absolutely can't win against McCain in November. If you read carefully what is being suggested in the underground media, many think Hillary knows her chances this time are slim or none, but she will do whatever she can to undermine Obama if he is awarded the nomination so that she won't have to wait eight years for a second bid. Many believe she did exactly that to Kerry in the last election so she could have her shot in this one.

She has to be seething with resentment against Obama for screwing up her chances this time. It was her turn.

Right now Rasmussen has the three - Hillary vs McCain and Obama vs McCain essentially deadlocked in a general election matchup, but that will change once the general election begins. His data has been strongly showing Obama is as the probable candidate for some weeks now:

Quote:
Six weeks of campaigning in Pennsylvania, and still uncounted millions of dollars in campaign spending, was unable to significantly move any of the demographic support groups from one candidate to the other. At this point, it is hard to imagine anything that will cause the underlying patterns of support to change. Rasmussen Markets data gives Obama an 81.1% chance of winning the Democratic nomination.
0 Replies
 
FreeDuck
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 09:50 am
cjhsa wrote:
I don't get it.

On one hand we have a bitch who's a lawyer.

The other candidate has wife who's a lawywer and a bitch.

The third candidate has a wife with huge tits and a beer distributorship.

How hard can this be?


Not nearly as hard as copying verbatim from a mass email.
0 Replies
 
dyslexia
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 09:53 am
shiksa wrote:
I don't get it.
we noticed that a long time ago.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 09:57 am
Thomas wrote:
Well, I was giving Obama the benefit of the doubt. I was assuming he knows that he's not going to change Washington, and that the hope and change stuff is just soundbites for getting elected. If he actually believes the stuff he is saying about hope and change, I should probably start looking into a transfer to Canada. Or donating to Hillary, hoping that she, at least, doesn't believe her own Iran soundbites.


Good thing I put you far, far away from the "Idealists" circle in my taxonomy yesterday Razz
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 10:03 am
Laughing
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 10:06 am
nimh wrote:
Thomas wrote:
The same is true for Obama's whole rhetoric about "hope" and "change". It's also a bull-crap issue, and it has very little to do with the way he would run the government if elected.

I disagree.

I dont know if I buy into the theory myself - I'm not quite sure how feasible it is. But there's clearly an underlying theory or philosophy of government to the way Obama weds the issues of government, and an electorate imbued with activist hope and an active willingness to push for change. It's not just pretty talk that's said because it sounds good.

Obama has been asked: you say you want to bring everyone to the table, talk with everyone, on health insurance reform for example -- but whence this notion that you can negotiate in good faith with these people? Isnt it more realistic to recognize them as the entrenched adversaries from the start and prepare your battle from there, bipartisan spirit be damned? This is much of the vibe behind Camp Clinton's critique.

But from what I understand, how Camp Obama conceives of a negotiation process that brackets everyone but nevertheless will not need involve an endless watering down of the proposals, is that there will be a strong role set aside for bottom-up organising, civic pressure, community-based lobbying. Mobilising the voters (or viewers, see FreeDuck's C-SPAN example) to become players in the game themselves. And bring down the opposition with a kind of pincher-like pressure, from the top down by the President and a Democratic majority in Congress, and from the bottom up by actively engaged, organised citizens.

This is a philosophy that stands in marked contrast with the Hillary world view, in which voters seem to primarily be objects - people whose assent needs to be won once in a two/four years by hook or by crook so the executive will have the leeway to push her way through.

The Obama vision comes, from what I get, from his background in community work and activism, but also has a fairly extended theoretical background that's been built over the past couple of decades, in an alternate universe to the traditional power politics practiced in DC. I'm not much of a political philosopher, so dont ask me to explain properly. It's all way over my head. It's just that I read a handful of longer articles that explored this in some depth.

Do I think this alternative vision of how to achieve the goals of progressive politics is feasible? Realistic? E.g., how mobilisable is the American people as a social force, not just during the scandal-filled elections, but as a sort of continuous mass lobby for better policies?

I would have been extremely sceptical a year ago and still am sceptical, but I have to admit that the way Obama is built his campaign, focused on instilling political commitment on a mass base rather than just courting for votes, is impressive. He's largely succeeding, building an army of committed volunteers who are not just doing it because the union told them to, or because they are hardened party activists and would support any nominee, but because they really believe that here's a rare opportunity, a cause they believe in.

But how sensitive are the kind of power players that will be standing in the way of progressive policy to grassroots pressure? I mean, so you show the negotiations on health insurance on C-Span. The idea is, I suppose, to dangle the geeky equivalent of an Idols type mechanism: millions are watching you, you have an opportunity to ingratiate yourself by coming up with constructive ideas; whereas if you do the traditional intrigue and blockade, they will be looking to vote you off the island, one way or another. Does a health insurance honcho care? Wouldnt you just gets lots of grandstanding instead?

Again, I'm totally out of my depth here, and so I'm just picking up on one example that I can easily imagine, and perhaps it's not the fairest. In short, I think it's definitely worth a try - why not, it should be a nice change from the mere power politics of cynical manipulation, which sees voters only as flocks that need to be herded once in a couple of years. But do I think it'll work? Mmmmwwaah..

But that's where the hope and change talk comes in. In order to invest people into a cause and make them willing to devote real time and energy to it, you dont just need to persuade them that they agree with you - I agree with lots of things I wont make the time for to do something about. You need to get them emotionally invested in it, by persuading them that, yes, there's a real possibility to change things this time, yes, they have the power themselves to help that bring about, and yes, they will be listened to. You need to instill the kind of passion that the Republican conservatives successfully inspired in evangelical voters for two or three decades. You need something like MoveOn, without the radicalism and on a much larger scale.

But the justified cynicism of massively disaffected voters stands in between the current situation and a place where you could mobilise civil society on a greater scale. So the talk of hope and change is conceived here as a real strategical tool, not just as flattery words to please people. Whatever you think of the merits and feasibility of this whole philosophical foundation of this part of Obama's campaign - and again, if I am understanding it all correctly, I'm fairly sceptical; I'm afraid it'll all turn out to be pie in the sky and we'll end up wishing America had just elected a ruthless strategic operative like Hillary - just "bullcrap rhetoric" all this "hope" and "change" stuff is not.
Very, very well said, Nimh. All interested persons should take the time to read this. Who can say if it will work; but the alternative to hope is continued hopelessness. The latter may well be more likely; but is anyone satisfied with the status quo?

This is what I'm voting for: The mere possibility that 'politics as usual' will be challenged. The one and only talent recognized by Obama's opponents just happens to be the pinnacle of importance if Democrats and/or Republicans are to have a shot at changing a system that long ago became a cooperative effort against the very people who are supposedly being represented.
0 Replies
 
Bi-Polar Bear
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 10:13 am
Thomas wrote:
nimh wrote:
My point was that the "hope" and "change" stuff is not just pandering with pretty talk, like I believe you were saying.

Well, I was giving Obama the benefit of the doubt. I was assuming he knows that he's not going to change Washington, and that the hope and change stuff is just soundbites for getting elected. If he actually believes the stuff he is saying about hope and change, I should probably start looking into a transfer to Canada. Or donating to Hillary, hoping that she, at least, doesn't believe her own Iran soundbites.


perfect. sensible. on target. common sense. good job.
0 Replies
 
cjhsa
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 10:40 am
dyslexia wrote:
shiksa wrote:
I don't get it.
we noticed that a long time ago.


Good. Keep up the good work. I have no interest in understanding the minds of deluded leftwing psychopaths.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 10:53 am
There is something to say for never being satisfied with the status quo. But there is also something to say for not assuming that there must be a 100% reversal in order to move away from the status quo. And there is a lot to say for not trading an even unsatisfactory status quo for something far worse.

For Blatham here are some cliches saying the same thing:

Don't count chickens before they hatch

Don't throw the baby out with the bathwater

Look before you leap

If you don't like where you are, jumping off a cliff is not necessarily the best other option.

Don't believe everything you are told.

And in listening to political speeches, this old proverb sometimes surfaces in my mind: The fool takes no delight in understanding, but rather in displaying what he thinks.-- Proverbs 18:2
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 11:05 am
OCCOM BILL wrote:
nimh wrote:
Thomas wrote:
The same is true for Obama's whole rhetoric about "hope" and "change". It's also a bull-crap issue, and it has very little to do with the way he would run the government if elected.

I disagree.

I dont know if I buy into the theory myself - I'm not quite sure how feasible it is. But there's clearly an underlying theory or philosophy of government to the way Obama weds the issues of government, and an electorate imbued with activist hope and an active willingness to push for change. It's not just pretty talk that's said because it sounds good.

Obama has been asked: you say you want to bring everyone to the table, talk with everyone, on health insurance reform for example -- but whence this notion that you can negotiate in good faith with these people? Isnt it more realistic to recognize them as the entrenched adversaries from the start and prepare your battle from there, bipartisan spirit be damned? This is much of the vibe behind Camp Clinton's critique.

But from what I understand, how Camp Obama conceives of a negotiation process that brackets everyone but nevertheless will not need involve an endless watering down of the proposals, is that there will be a strong role set aside for bottom-up organising, civic pressure, community-based lobbying. Mobilising the voters (or viewers, see FreeDuck's C-SPAN example) to become players in the game themselves. And bring down the opposition with a kind of pincher-like pressure, from the top down by the President and a Democratic majority in Congress, and from the bottom up by actively engaged, organised citizens.

This is a philosophy that stands in marked contrast with the Hillary world view, in which voters seem to primarily be objects - people whose assent needs to be won once in a two/four years by hook or by crook so the executive will have the leeway to push her way through.

The Obama vision comes, from what I get, from his background in community work and activism, but also has a fairly extended theoretical background that's been built over the past couple of decades, in an alternate universe to the traditional power politics practiced in DC. I'm not much of a political philosopher, so dont ask me to explain properly. It's all way over my head. It's just that I read a handful of longer articles that explored this in some depth.

Do I think this alternative vision of how to achieve the goals of progressive politics is feasible? Realistic? E.g., how mobilisable is the American people as a social force, not just during the scandal-filled elections, but as a sort of continuous mass lobby for better policies?

I would have been extremely sceptical a year ago and still am sceptical, but I have to admit that the way Obama is built his campaign, focused on instilling political commitment on a mass base rather than just courting for votes, is impressive. He's largely succeeding, building an army of committed volunteers who are not just doing it because the union told them to, or because they are hardened party activists and would support any nominee, but because they really believe that here's a rare opportunity, a cause they believe in.

But how sensitive are the kind of power players that will be standing in the way of progressive policy to grassroots pressure? I mean, so you show the negotiations on health insurance on C-Span. The idea is, I suppose, to dangle the geeky equivalent of an Idols type mechanism: millions are watching you, you have an opportunity to ingratiate yourself by coming up with constructive ideas; whereas if you do the traditional intrigue and blockade, they will be looking to vote you off the island, one way or another. Does a health insurance honcho care? Wouldnt you just gets lots of grandstanding instead?

Again, I'm totally out of my depth here, and so I'm just picking up on one example that I can easily imagine, and perhaps it's not the fairest. In short, I think it's definitely worth a try - why not, it should be a nice change from the mere power politics of cynical manipulation, which sees voters only as flocks that need to be herded once in a couple of years. But do I think it'll work? Mmmmwwaah..

But that's where the hope and change talk comes in. In order to invest people into a cause and make them willing to devote real time and energy to it, you dont just need to persuade them that they agree with you - I agree with lots of things I wont make the time for to do something about. You need to get them emotionally invested in it, by persuading them that, yes, there's a real possibility to change things this time, yes, they have the power themselves to help that bring about, and yes, they will be listened to. You need to instill the kind of passion that the Republican conservatives successfully inspired in evangelical voters for two or three decades. You need something like MoveOn, without the radicalism and on a much larger scale.

But the justified cynicism of massively disaffected voters stands in between the current situation and a place where you could mobilise civil society on a greater scale. So the talk of hope and change is conceived here as a real strategical tool, not just as flattery words to please people. Whatever you think of the merits and feasibility of this whole philosophical foundation of this part of Obama's campaign - and again, if I am understanding it all correctly, I'm fairly sceptical; I'm afraid it'll all turn out to be pie in the sky and we'll end up wishing America had just elected a ruthless strategic operative like Hillary - just "bullcrap rhetoric" all this "hope" and "change" stuff is not.
Very, very well said, Nimh. All interested persons should take the time to read this. Who can say if it will work; but the alternative to hope is continued hopelessness. The latter may well be more likely; but is anyone satisfied with the status quo?

This is what I'm voting for: The mere possibility that 'politics as usual' will be challenged. The one and only talent recognized by Obama's opponents just happens to be the pinnacle of importance if Democrats and/or Republicans are to have a shot at changing a system that long ago became a cooperative effort against the very people who are supposedly being represented.


Me too! Change will have to start small, but can grow in leaps and bounds once the American People can see "The Change" works.
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 11:17 am
Only Foxfyre could read "The mere possibility that 'politics as usual' will be challenged." and offer "not assuming that there must be a 100% reversal" in rebuttal.

(Ok… maybe Okie could too.)
0 Replies
 
cjhsa
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 11:20 am
No matter who gets elected, and Obama's the worst of the bunch on this talking point, your constitutional rights are about to be compromised, and your taxes are gonna go up to pay for illegal "immigration".

Lock and load.
0 Replies
 
mysteryman
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 11:24 am
CI said...

Quote:
Me too! Change will have to start small, but can grow in leaps and bounds once the American People can see "The Change" works.


But will the American people see that in 4 years.

Even Obama, with all of his promises and all of his rhetoric, cant change the whole federal beurocracy in 4 years.
What he is talking about will require a complete and total makeover to the entire federal govt, from the top down to bottom.
EVERY govt employee will have to change how they do business and how they think.
And the hardest part will be getting the congress and all of the various govt agencies to change how they operate.

Do you really think Obama can do that in 4 years?
I dont.
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 11:34 am
mysteryman wrote:
CI said...

Quote:
Me too! Change will have to start small, but can grow in leaps and bounds once the American People can see "The Change" works.


But will the American people see that in 4 years.

Even Obama, with all of his promises and all of his rhetoric, cant change the whole federal beurocracy in 4 years.
What he is talking about will require a complete and total makeover to the entire federal govt, from the top down to bottom.
EVERY govt employee will have to change how they do business and how they think.
And the hardest part will be getting the congress and all of the various govt agencies to change how they operate.

Do you really think Obama can do that in 4 years?
I dont.
Shocked Wow. And I thought Foxy had built the Golly Green Giant of Strawmen. Where the hell did you get the idea somebody thought Obama could do that? (Surely not what you quoted, right?)
0 Replies
 
mysteryman
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 11:41 am
OCCOM BILL wrote:
mysteryman wrote:
CI said...

Quote:
Me too! Change will have to start small, but can grow in leaps and bounds once the American People can see "The Change" works.


But will the American people see that in 4 years.

Even Obama, with all of his promises and all of his rhetoric, cant change the whole federal beurocracy in 4 years.
What he is talking about will require a complete and total makeover to the entire federal govt, from the top down to bottom.
EVERY govt employee will have to change how they do business and how they think.
And the hardest part will be getting the congress and all of the various govt agencies to change how they operate.

Do you really think Obama can do that in 4 years?
I dont.
Shocked Wow. And I thought Foxy had built the Golly Green Giant of Strawmen. Where the hell did you get the idea somebody thought Obama could do that? (Surely not what you quoted, right?)


No, I quoted the wrong person.

But that still doesnt change the jist of what I posted.
To get the "change" that Obama is talking about will require a complete and total overhaul of how the govt works (or doesnt work) today.

That means every govt employee will have to be on board with what Obama wants, and I dont think that will happen.
0 Replies
 
FreeDuck
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 11:57 am
OCCOM BILL wrote:

This is what I'm voting for: The mere possibility that 'politics as usual' will be challenged. The one and only talent recognized by Obama's opponents just happens to be the pinnacle of importance if Democrats and/or Republicans are to have a shot at changing a system that long ago became a cooperative effort against the very people who are supposedly being represented.


Exactly.
0 Replies
 
FreeDuck
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 12:02 pm
mysteryman wrote:

Do you really think Obama can do that in 4 years?
I dont.


Neither do I. That's kind of the beauty of what he's offering. He's offering to let us do it. No, even then it probably can't happen in 4 years, but the idea is that he's not all-powerful, he's not the messiah, he's going to mobilize us, the public, in governing ourselves. In fact, he needs us to help him do it. After years of being told by our leaders that what we can do for our country is shop and support our troops, somebody is finally asking us to get off our asses and engage in self-government.

Read nimh's post that O'Bill quoted as he says it way better than I do.
0 Replies
 
mysteryman
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 12:08 pm
FreeDuck wrote:
mysteryman wrote:

Do you really think Obama can do that in 4 years?
I dont.


Neither do I. That's kind of the beauty of what he's offering. He's offering to let us do it. No, even then it probably can't happen in 4 years, but the idea is that he's not all-powerful, he's not the messiah, he's going to mobilize us, the public, in governing ourselves. In fact, he needs us to help him do it. After years of being told by our leaders that what we can do for our country is shop and support our troops, somebody is finally asking us to get off our asses and engage in self-government.

And what are you going to do about the people that dont want to participate in his dreams, either because of apathy, laziness, or whatever other reason they come up with?

If they dont want to participate, will they be penalized?
And if its "self government", does that mean that the people will vote on every proposition and law?



Read nimh's post that O'Bill quoted as he says it way better than I do.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Fri 25 Apr, 2008 12:18 pm
mysteryman wrote:
OCCOM BILL wrote:
mysteryman wrote:
CI said...

Quote:
Me too! Change will have to start small, but can grow in leaps and bounds once the American People can see "The Change" works.


But will the American people see that in 4 years.

Even Obama, with all of his promises and all of his rhetoric, cant change the whole federal beurocracy in 4 years.
What he is talking about will require a complete and total makeover to the entire federal govt, from the top down to bottom.
EVERY govt employee will have to change how they do business and how they think.
And the hardest part will be getting the congress and all of the various govt agencies to change how they operate.

Do you really think Obama can do that in 4 years?
I dont.
Shocked Wow. And I thought Foxy had built the Golly Green Giant of Strawmen. Where the hell did you get the idea somebody thought Obama could do that? (Surely not what you quoted, right?)


No, I quoted the wrong person.

But that still doesnt change the jist of what I posted.
To get the "change" that Obama is talking about will require a complete and total overhaul of how the govt works (or doesnt work) today.

That means every govt employee will have to be on board with what Obama wants, and I dont think that will happen.


Obama (and Hillary) and also McCain to some extent do in fact suggest that they will do such an overhaul in several areas--taxes, healthcare, education, immigration as well as a number of policies and procedures addressing various ways of doing government not to mention. Now and then they even express sort of a clue in how to go about doing such change but mostly it is likely to be nice sounding rhetoric to please the crowd.

My post that O-bill defines as a 'huge straw man' is not a straw man at all nor was it targeted at Obama or anybody else in particular. It was in response to the inference by him and others that any change at all is better than the status quo and how that could be a really poor reason to vote for anybody.
0 Replies
 
 

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