Roxxxanne
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 09:36 am
More evidence that conservatives aren't funny.
0 Replies
 
au1929
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 10:02 am
More debates, please
By Mona Charen
April 23, 2008

Other than zinging Mrs. Clinton by pointing out that Bill Clinton had pardoned two members of the Weather Underground (there's that taint again), Mr. Obama's response was lame and deceptive. "The notion that somehow as a consequence of me knowing somebody who engaged in detestable acts 40 years ago when I was 8 years old, somehow reflects on me and my values doesn't make much sense, George." Doesn't it? Mr. Obama and Mr. Ayers served together on the eight-person board of directors of the Wood Fund.



An early organizing meeting about Mr. Obama's political career was held in Mr. Ayers' living room. This isn't just "somebody he knows." Some of us wouldn't even shake hands with Mr. Ayers, far less accept a $200 donation and his hospitality. Suppose Sen. John McCain had a similar relationship with abortion clinic bomber Eric Rudolph?

You jaded citizens may be bored silly by these seemingly endless candidate debates. But the last encounter between the two Democrats was an entertainment milestone. I say give me more!



Who has ever seen a politician admit to lying before? Asked yet again about the corkscrew landing, Sen. Hillary Clinton introduced her mea culpa with this odd formulation: "I can tell you that I may be a lot of things, but I'm not dumb." She then proceeded to admit she said things that "weren't in keeping with what I knew to be the case and what I had written about in my book."



So by stressing she isn't dumb, she was suggesting what? That she flat-out lied with no excuse? Perhaps what she meant to say was "I'm not dumb, but I really did a brainless thing this time. Heck, I even wrote the truth in the book. Don't know what I was thinking."



For someone else, that tack might have been acceptable. But this is the woman who told us she converted a $1,000 stock investment into a $100,000 windfall by "reading the Wall Street Journal" and who miraculously "found" the missing Rose Law Firm billing records on an East Wing credenza after being unable to locate them for two years.



From one point of view, it's a shame she is so tainted, because she delivered some body blows to His Serene Highness. She reminded viewers that Sen. Barack Obama's church had offered its bulletin as a forum for a message from Hamas, and cheerfully piled on when George Stephanopoulos raised the troublesome matter of Mr. Obama's connection to William Ayers.



Bill Ayers is no run-of-the-mill lefty. Along with his wife, Bernadine Dohrn, he was a founding member of the Weather Underground, a radical spin-off of the SDS that "declared war" on "Amerikkka" in 1970 and planned a terrorist attack on Fort Dix, N.J., that the group anticipated would be "the most horrific hit the United States government has ever suffered on its soil." Alas for them, three of the Weathermen were blown up in a Greenwich Village apartment while mixing the ingredients for the bomb.



The Weathermen had more success on other outings, planting bombs in a New York City police precinct house, the U.S. Capitol building, and, this was a nice touch, on Ho Chi Minh's birthday in a women's bathroom at the Pentagon. The group claimed credit for a total of 25 bombings and assorted other acts of incitement and mayhem.



Reflecting on his life as a revolutionary, Mr. Ayers told the New York Times that he didn't regret setting bombs. In fact, he found "a certain eloquence to bombs, a poetry and a pattern from a safe distance." The New York Times profile was published on Sept. 11, 2001.



You jaded citizens may be bored silly by these seemingly endless candidate debates. But the last encounter between the two Democrats was an entertainment milestone. I say give me more!



Who has ever seen a politician admit to lying before? Asked yet again about the corkscrew landing, Sen. Hillary Clinton introduced her mea culpa with this odd formulation: "I can tell you that I may be a lot of things, but I'm not dumb." She then proceeded to admit she said things that "weren't in keeping with what I knew to be the case and what I had written about in my book."



So by stressing she isn't dumb, she was suggesting what? That she flat-out lied with no excuse? Perhaps what she meant to say was "I'm not dumb, but I really did a brainless thing this time. Heck, I even wrote the truth in the book. Don't know what I was thinking."



For someone else, that tack might have been acceptable. But this is the woman who told us she converted a $1,000 stock investment into a $100,000 windfall by "reading the Wall Street Journal" and who miraculously "found" the missing Rose Law Firm billing records on an East Wing credenza after being unable to locate them for two years.



From one point of view, it's a shame she is so tainted, because she delivered some body blows to His Serene Highness. She reminded viewers that Sen. Barack Obama's church had offered its bulletin as a forum for a message from Hamas, and cheerfully piled on when George Stephanopoulos raised the troublesome matter of Mr. Obama's connection to William Ayers.



Bill Ayers is no run-of-the-mill lefty. Along with his wife, Bernadine Dohrn, he was a founding member of the Weather Underground, a radical spin-off of the SDS that "declared war" on "Amerikkka" in 1970 and planned a terrorist attack on Fort Dix, N.J., that the group anticipated would be "the most horrific hit the United States government has ever suffered on its soil." Alas for them, three of the Weathermen were blown up in a Greenwich Village apartment while mixing the ingredients for the bomb.



The Weathermen had more success on other outings, planting bombs in a New York City police precinct house, the U.S. Capitol building, and, this was a nice touch, on Ho Chi Minh's birthday in a women's bathroom at the Pentagon. The group claimed credit for a total of 25 bombings and assorted other acts of incitement and mayhem.



Reflecting on his life as a revolutionary, Mr. Ayers told the New York Times that he didn't regret setting bombs. In fact, he found "a certain eloquence to bombs, a poetry and a pattern from a safe distance." The New York Times profile was published on Sept. 11, 2001.




With every peel of the onion, Barack Obama is revealed to have hard-left friends and allies. The list of questionable friends extends not just to Mr. Ayers, Tony Rezko and the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, but also to Rashid Khalidi, professor at Columbia and another fund-raising host for Mr. Obama. Khalidi, whose heroes include the late Edward Said and Noam Chomsky, is a cheerleader for the Palestine Liberation Organization who spits contempt for Israel.



In his memoir, Mr. Obama recalls that in his college days, he sat up late with friends discussing "neocolonialism, Franz Fanon, Eurocentrism and patriarchy." To "avoid being mistaken for a sellout," he selected his friends carefully. "The more politically active black students. The foreign students. The Chicanos. The Marxist professors and structural feminists and punk-rock performance artists."



On first reading, I thought he had achieved ironic distance from this jejune leftism. But maybe not. And now, to paraphrase his pastor and mentor, the chickens are coming home to roost.
0 Replies
 
Roxxxanne
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 10:13 am
LOL Mona Charen. "Questionable friends" Mind-numbing


dailykos.com

Obama's across-the-board gains
by kos
Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 07:21:02 AM PDT

One of the arguments the Clinton campaign is making to the supers, hoping they'll overturn the will of the voters, is that Obama can't win certain demographics. Yet looking at the exit poll numbers, it's clear that Obama has actually been making serious gains the past six weeks.

Obama's percent of the vote:
OH PA

60 and older 28 38
White 34 38
White men 39 44
White women 31 34
Less than $50K 42 46
No college 40 38
College 51 49
Catholic 36 31
Protestant 36 53

What was a 10.5% win in demographically friendly Ohio has become an 8.6% 9.4% win in similar Pennsylvania, except the state was even less black and with a much smaller youth voter population (Pennsylvania's seniors accounted for 32 percent of the electorate, compared to 23 percent in Ohio).

And, those gains were made despite the Wright controversy as well as manufactured bullshit about "bitter" and flag pins and whatnot.

On top of that, Obama has had to run against Hillary Clinton, against former President of the United States Bill Clinton, and against John McCain and the entire GOP apparatus, which has trained its guns on Obama hoping to give Clinton a boost.

Yet he continues to gain among most of Clinton's best demographics, is still raising more money, leads comfortably in delegates, leads comfortably in the popular vote, leads in states won, leads in the national polls, and does better in the head-to-head matchups against McCain.

So why should the supers spark an intra-party civil war by overturning the will of the electorate again?
0 Replies
 
PATEEO
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 12:51 pm
LETS REVIEW A FEW THINGS 1.A SPOOKALA 2.A COMMUNIST 3.A MUSLIM 4.ARE WE KIDDING NO WAY WILL ASAMA BE PRESIDENT
0 Replies
 
woiyo
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 12:55 pm
PATEEO wrote:
LETS REVIEW A FEW THINGS 1.A SPOOKALA 2.A COMMUNIST 3.A MUSLIM 4.ARE WE KIDDING NO WAY WILL ASAMA BE PRESIDENT


Another fruitcake heard from. Rolling Eyes
0 Replies
 
Ticomaya
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 12:56 pm
PATEEO wrote:
LETS REVIEW A FEW THINGS 1.A SPOOKALA 2.A COMMUNIST 3.A MUSLIM 4.ARE WE KIDDING NO WAY WILL ASAMA BE PRESIDENT


Go away.
0 Replies
 
Roxxxanne
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 12:56 pm
Markos Moulitsas wrote:



"But why didn't he win?"
by kos
Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 11:20:33 AM PDT

Lots of stupid spin floating around today. One of the dumber ones is the "why didn't he win Pennsylvania if he's so hot a candidate?" The implication being that somehow he's not "electable" since he can't win every single state on the calendar.

So why didn't he win Pennsylvania?

* He was up against the machine. It's my theory that no endorsement matters except those that deliver a machine. Senators have no machine, so they're pretty worthless (like Bob Casey). Mayors and machine-state governors, like Nutter and Rendell, matter. Gavin Newsom in San Francisco, who has no machine, didn't matter, but Antonio Villaraigosa in Los Angeles, who has one of the biggest machines in the planet, delivered strong for Clinton. Obama won Connecticut in large part thanks to New Haven's mayor John Destefano's efforts. In Pennsylvania, Clinton had the state's machine working on her behalf, and it clearly helped cut Obama's margins in the Philly metro area.

* Demographics. Arguing that Obama's failure to win Pennsylvania points to inherent weaknesses is as silly as claiming the same for Clinton in North Carolina, or Idaho, or Wisconsin, or Maine, or Minnesota, or Mississippi, or Alabama, or Washington, or wherever else. Fact is, we have two fairly different candidates who appeal to different demographics. They both have paths to the nomination, but they happen to be different paths. Clinton runs the same old path that has served us poorly in the last two elections. Obama's is different, putting the Mountain West, North Carolina and Virginia in play.

Fact is, Obama does terrible in Appalachian regions, and that has been death to him in states that share that region. Just watch him get crushed in West Virginia and Kentucky. In the same vein, Clinton does terribly in regions that are overwhelmingly white -- like Maine, Vermont, Idaho, Utah, and so on, and she does poorly with large creative classes (Washington, Maryland, Virginia, North Carolina), and of course she does terrible with African Americans. She's also had trouble with younger voters, independents, non-malicious Republicans, and so on.

To claim that Pennsylvania was the only state that mattered when its demographics (Appalachia, older, more blue collar, etc) were heavily slanted toward Clinton is absurd as would claiming that North Carolina is the tie-breaker for everything, given that it's solid Obama territory. Ultimately, Obama won because he won more contests all around the country, not just some single, randomly chosen state.

* Home state advantage. Clinton has roots in the state, and local ties matter in politics a great deal. That's why Obama crushed in Kansas, Hawaii, and Illinois, and why Clinton crushed in New York and Arkansas.

* Initial deficit. Obama came back from around 20 points back, and cut the deficit to 9 points in six weeks.

* Name ID. Clinton isn't just a senator, she's a former First Lady. She isn't some scrub.

* Multiple targets. Hillary Clinton has the advantage of running against a single candidate -- Barack Obama. Obama, on the other hand, is running against Hillary, against the former President of the Untied States Bill Clinton, and against a Republican machine (McCain included) that has focused its firepower on the frontrunner.

* Rhetorical constraints. Clinton has nothing to lose, so she's thrown the kitchen sink and then some at Obama. Her path to the nomination necessarily requires her sundering the party in civil war, so if she pisses a few people off? Who cares! It's all part of the plan!

Obama, on the other hand, can't take that approach. He's already won this thing, so he has to tread carefully. He gets too aggressive with Clinton, he risks pissing off her supporters more than they are already pissed off (can you believe that Obama insists on staying in the race even though he's won?!). So he can't really open up on Clinton and make the same kind of arguments she's making against him. He's trying to maintain some modicum of unity rather than engage in the sort of slash-and-burn politics that now characterizes the Clinton campaign handbook. The inability to truly go negative is a real disadvantage in politics.

So there you have it. That's why Obama lost Pennsylvania. In two weeks, I'm sure the Clinton people will be just as eager to demand explanations as to why they can't win North Carolina, right?
0 Replies
 
Ticomaya
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 01:07 pm
Roxxxanne wrote:
Markos Moulitsas wrote:

* Home state advantage. Clinton has roots in the state, and local ties matter in politics a great deal. That's why Obama crushed in Kansas, Hawaii, and Illinois, ...


What an idiotic observation. There is absolutely no sense that Obama has Kansas ties. He won Kansas because the people of that State have the good sense to not want the Hildabeast elected.

And what a bunch of caterwauling about his not winning, the rest of the article is. If there's anything leftists are extremely good at, it's coming up with a list of excuses for losing an election.

I was half expecting a reference to Diebold or "hanging chads."
0 Replies
 
Roxxxanne
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 01:10 pm
There is a delicious irony in ticomama calling something markos expounds "idiotic."
0 Replies
 
teenyboone
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 01:11 pm
Roxxxanne wrote:
Ramafuchs wrote:
It is 0219 Am In köln.
CNN is cooking the same old barbaric story.


LOL waiting for the 3am call?

I'm so sick of Hillary, I could puke! Cool
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 01:32 pm
Roxxxanne wrote:
Obama's across-the-board gains
by kos

[..] looking at the exit poll numbers, it's clear that Obama has actually been making serious gains the past six weeks.

Obama's percent of the vote:
OH PA

60 and older 28 38
White 34 38
White men 39 44
White women 31 34
Less than $50K 42 46
No college 40 38
College 51 49
Catholic 36 31
Protestant 36 53

One very slight warning:

The exit poll numbers he uses here (and I can't find any that have been further adjusted either) add up to a total score of 53% for Clinton and 47% for Obama.

That's a 6-point lead rather than the 9-point lead that Hillary actually got.

How come? Thats easy enough: exit polls are initially based only on interviews at polling stations, the result of which of course do not necessarily match the actual election results. So as the night passes and more and more actual results come in, the exit poll data is weighed to correspond to the real election results. In the end, the exit poll data is made to conform exactly with the real results.

Problem is, apparently the exit poll data online now (at MSNBC, CNN etc) have not had this final adjustment yet. So they still reflect a race where Hillary won by just 6 rather than by 9.

Doesnt make the data less interesting - but does mean that you have to keep in mind that Obama's numbers are flattered somewhat. In reality you'd have to shave a little off Obama's numbers for each subgroup and add a little to Hillary's. Not much, obviously - just - wait lemme calculate...

...

... multiply Hillary's numbers by 1.025, and Obama's by 0.97.

<looks up>

OK, well that doesnt make any friggin difference then, does it. Nebbermind.

(I'm gonna post this anyway as proof that the difference isnt, actually, relevant ... I mean hey, proving your thesis wrong can be just as useful as proving it right Razz )
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 01:36 pm
It seems with Hillary's win in PA, she won a mere 15 more delegates than Obama; she's finished, but she'll make it sound like that was a HUGE win.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 01:38 pm
Another personal opinion about Hillary; she's going to reveal to us how she will react when desperate as president; not always the best decision for democrats or Americans as a whole. I call it myopia of self-interest.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 01:42 pm
woiyo wrote:
PATEEO wrote:
LETS REVIEW A FEW THINGS 1.A SPOOKALA 2.A COMMUNIST 3.A MUSLIM 4.ARE WE KIDDING NO WAY WILL ASAMA BE PRESIDENT

Another fruitcake heard from. Rolling Eyes


Ticomaya wrote:
PATEEO wrote:
LETS REVIEW A FEW THINGS 1.A SPOOKALA 2.A COMMUNIST 3.A MUSLIM 4.ARE WE KIDDING NO WAY WILL ASAMA BE PRESIDENT

Go away.


Thanks guys.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 01:43 pm
Ticomaya wrote:
What an idiotic observation. There is absolutely no sense that Obama has Kansas ties. He won Kansas because the people of that State have the good sense to not want the Hildabeast elected.

Tico,

Obama won 74% of the vote in Kansas.

Now compare the neighbouring states:

31% in Oklahoma
49% in Missouri
68% in Nebraska
67% in Colorado

Why do you think Obama did better in Kansas than in any nearby state?

After reports of the raucous welcome Obama got when he visited Kansas and talked about his family background there, I'd assumed there was some kind of related effect that explained how well he did...
0 Replies
 
FreeDuck
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 02:08 pm
That and the fact that he actually showed up. Didn't he also get the nod of the governor there? Or maybe I'm thinking of somewhere else.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 02:35 pm
FreeDuck wrote:
That and the fact that he actually showed up.

Good point, but according to the NYT's rather wonderful interactive map of campaign appearances, he also showed up in Missouri (Kansas City), Nebraska (Omaha) and Colorado (Denver).

FreeDuck wrote:
Didn't he also get the nod of the governor there? Or maybe I'm thinking of somewhere else.

He did, indeed - Gov. Sebelius. But according to this list at DemConWatch he also got the nod from Gov. Henry in Oklahoma, and in Missouri from Sen. McCaskill, and in Nebraska from Sen. Nelson. So that's not something particular to Kansas either..

I mean, I dunno. Maybe Sebelius has far more sway than McCaskill or Henry? Or maybe the rally was received much better? But wouldnt that in turn be partly because of the suggestion of family heritage?
0 Replies
 
FreeDuck
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 02:43 pm
nimh wrote:
FreeDuck wrote:
That and the fact that he actually showed up.

Good point, but according to the NYT's rather wonderful interactive map of campaign appearances, he also showed up in Missouri (Kansas City), Nebraska (Omaha) and Colorado (Denver).


Very cool find. I actually meant that he bothered to show up while his opponent did not. But yeah, he probably showed up because he knew he was favored. I'm not disputing the family connection -- I'm agreeing with you on that. If Hillary's grandparents get her a connection to PA then Obama's certainly get him one in KS. It's the native son/daughter phenomenon.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 02:45 pm
Oklahoma's governor just endorsed Obama today btw (i.e. he hadn't endorsed him or campaigned for him at the time of the OK primary).
0 Replies
 
spendius
 
  1  
Wed 23 Apr, 2008 05:55 pm
Gee soz- that's amazing. Did he actually do that. I'm astounded.
0 Replies
 
 

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