Foxfyre
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 11:43 am
engineer wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Thomas wrote:
Paul Krugman has done something unusual with Obama's remarks about rural Pennsylvanians being bitter: He has investigated their merits. Krugman's concluion is unflatering:

Paul Krugman wrote:
Mr. Obama's comments combined assertions about economics, sociology and voting behavior. In each case, his assertion was mostly if not entirely wrong.

Full Story


Krugman has morphed into an anti-Obama hack of late, so there's hardly anything surprising about this.

Cycloptichorn

But his argument still has merits. Not that it moves me from the Obama to McCain camp, but you can't dismiss his argument just because he is on the other side of the fence. The "bitter" part is fine, but the "clings" to guns and religion and xenophobia part is off. Krugman makes that point well.


Having grown up in and lived most of my life in small town American, my kids live in small towns now, and a large chunk of our relatives are long time residents of small towns, and we do quite a bit of our work in small towns, I can assure you that the 'bitter' part is a stretch too. You can find bitter people everywhere, but my experience in small town America is that you mostly find people who live there because they LIKE small towns and laid back lifestyles more than crowded cities with congested traffic and high crime and all the other negatives that can be associated with cities.

For the most part they are optimistic, gentle, gracious, hospitable people without a shred of bitterness in evidence. I think the average small town person will be far more likely to vote for the candidate who speaks well of America and Americans and who holds up ideals of initative, self respect, accountability, and opportunity instead of images of victimization and hopelessness. And I think most small town Americans would prefer government to leave them as much of thier assets and resources as possible so they can have more control of their own destiny and otherwise just leave them alone.
0 Replies
 
engineer
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 11:47 am
Foxfyre wrote:
For the most part they are optimistic, gentle, gracious, hospitable people without a shred of bitterness in evidence. I think the average small town person will be far more likely to vote for the candidate who speaks well of America and Americans and who holds up ideals of initative, self respect, accountability, and opportunity instead of images of victimization and hopelessness. And I think most small town Americans would prefer government to leave them as much of thier assets and resources as possible so they can have more control of their own destiny and otherwise just leave them alone.

Then they will be voting for Obama in droves! Better that than McCain who will tell them to "be afraid, be very afraid! Just send me your tax dollars and children so we can fight more wars."
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 11:52 am
spendius wrote:
I wouldn't worry about that Foxy.

The Federal Reserve is at the helm.


Yea; they have done such a fine job so far; their only answer to every financial woe is to lower the interest rates so people will go and further in debt and causing the value of a dollar to get lower and lower.

Federal Reserve faces new limits on ability to halt economic slide

Quote:
On the other hand, the fear of rising inflation makes it more difficult for the Fed to jolt the economy with another wave of cheap money.

Lower interest rates have already pushed down the value of the dollar, which in turn prompted oil-producing countries to push for higher oil prices.


No wonder Greenspan quit.

Also things don't look to promising for the near future and I am not sure how having some new can undo all the damage of the last eight years but having someone coming in who is only going to continue doing more of the same like McCain will only keep things going in the same downward direction.

Federal Reserve: U.S. economy weakens further in March

Quote:
WASHINGTON, April 16 (Xinhua) -- The U.S. economy weakened further in March as consumers curbed spending due to higher costs, Federal Reserve said Wednesday in a nationwide survey.

"Reports from the twelve Federal Reserve Districts indicate that economic conditions have weakened" since the last report released on March 5, said the survey, which is based on economic information supplied by the Fed's 12 regional banks and collected before April 7, 2008.

"Nine Districts noted slowing in the pace of economic activity, while the remaining three -- Boston Cleveland, and Richmond -- described activity as mixed or steady," said the survey.

"Consumer spending was characterized as softening across most of the country, with some Districts reporting year-over-year declines in retail and or auto sales," the Fed said.

Housing markets and home construction "remained sluggish" throughout most of the nation, though there were few signs of any quickening in the pace of deterioration.

Business contacts across all Districts continued to report increases in input costs and output prices.

"In particular, price increases were consistently reported for food products, fuel and energy products, and many raw materials," said the survey. "More specifically, increases in the price of chemicals, metals, plastics and other petroleum-based products were commonly cited."

"Most manufacturers have or are planning to increase prices in response to rising input costs, while the response of service firms has been more mixed, in part due to differences in competitive pressures," it added.

The survey, or Beige Book, summarizes comments received from business and other contacts outside the Fed and is not a commentary on the views of Fed officials.

However, information from the survey will figure into discussions at the Fed's next policy-making meeting scheduled at end of this month.
0 Replies
 
fishin
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 11:52 am
Thomas wrote:
Paul Krugman has done something unusual with Obama's remarks about rural Pennsylvanians being bitter: He has investigated their merits. Krugman's concluion is unflatering:

Paul Krugman wrote:
Mr. Obama's comments combined assertions about economics, sociology and voting behavior. In each case, his assertion was mostly if not entirely wrong.

Full Story


I don't know that the numbers he throws together mean much of anything. Since when is Youngstown, OH (pop 80,000+) a "small town"? There are a couple of thousand incorporated cities/towns/villages in OH and Youngstown is the 8th largest city in the state. Now, Youngstown isn't New York City but It doesn't conjure up the image of "small town" either.

But even then he jumps around with data that doesn't (on it's face) prove his assertions. State level personal income gains don't identify whether those gains came from small towns or major urban areas.

He make be 100% correct in his assertions but I don't buy that his article/blog demonstrates that.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 12:03 pm
Thomas wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Krugman has morphed into an anti-Obama hack of late, so there's hardly anything surprising about this.

Cycloptichorn

Although it's evident that Krugman is anti-Obama, I don't think you've established that he's a hack -- as opposed to, say, an honest and intelligent commentator who happens to disagree with you. Moreover, even if Krugman was an anti-Obama hack, that wouldn't mean that Obama's statements are correct. Personal attacks on the messenger don't make an adequate argument against the message.


I didn't say that they did. I just said that it's not surprising. Krugman got a bee in his bonnet about attacking Obama long ago and has devoted quite a bit of column space to doing so.

Fishin makes my point well in the post above this one. Krugman has taken a conclusion and searched around for evidence to support it; never a strong position.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Roxxxanne
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 12:04 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
engineer wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Thomas wrote:
Paul Krugman has done something unusual with Obama's remarks about rural Pennsylvanians being bitter: He has investigated their merits. Krugman's concluion is unflatering:

Paul Krugman wrote:
Mr. Obama's comments combined assertions about economics, sociology and voting behavior. In each case, his assertion was mostly if not entirely wrong.

Full Story


Krugman has morphed into an anti-Obama hack of late, so there's hardly anything surprising about this.

Cycloptichorn

But his argument still has merits. Not that it moves me from the Obama to McCain camp, but you can't dismiss his argument just because he is on the other side of the fence. The "bitter" part is fine, but the "clings" to guns and religion and xenophobia part is off. Krugman makes that point well.


Having grown up in and lived most of my life in small town American, my kids live in small towns now, and a large chunk of our relatives are long time residents of small towns, and we do quite a bit of our work in small towns, I can assure you that the 'bitter' part is a stretch too. You can find bitter people everywhere, but my experience in small town America is that you mostly find people who live there because they LIKE small towns and laid back lifestyles more than crowded cities with congested traffic and high crime and all the other negatives that can be associated with cities.

For the most part they are optimistic, gentle, gracious, hospitable people without a shred of bitterness in evidence. I think the average small town person will be far more likely to vote for the candidate who speaks well of America and Americans and who holds up ideals of initative, self respect, accountability, and opportunity instead of images of victimization and hopelessness. And I think most small town Americans would prefer government to leave them as much of thier assets and resources as possible so they can have more control of their own destiny and otherwise just leave them alone.

Gosh, what bullshit!

Pollyanna, I hate to slap you into reality but everyone,in general, is bitter about something.

===================================

Robert Reich, Sam Nunn and David Boren have come out for Obama. This thing is very close to being OFFICIALLY over!

Thank God!
0 Replies
 
Roxxxanne
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 12:08 pm
Gallop daily 47-44, tighter but Obama gained ground in PA since the debate according to WaPo's Eugene Robinson

Source MSNBC


dailykos


In news that highlights the big-tent appeal of the Obama campaign, serial third-party footsie-playing semi-Democratic ex-Senator David Boren of Oklahoma endorsed Barack this morning. This is notable largely because Boren is the Broderite Master of Democratic self-loathing -- an alleged Dem who seriously considered running with Ross Perot as an independent in '96, after Perot had already demonstrated his, er, "flightiness"; and who was at the forefront of the Sycophantic Plutocratophiles for Bloomberg faction that fizzled out once it became apparent that Obama had firmly dominated Bloomy's ecological niche. Consequently, it's something of a novelty to see Boren actually endorsing a Democrat.

Of course, Boren's endorsement primarily serves to highlight how irredeemably polluted Joe Lieberman has become. When even David "Third Party" Boren is lining up behind Obama, it's time to realize that there's a true consensus Democrat on the scene. Yet "Independent Democrat" Joe is alone in his own little world, backing an archconservative.

Do you think he understands what a sad, lonely joke he's become?
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 12:38 pm
http://www.citypaper.net/articles/2008/04/17/i-was-a-clinton-volunteer

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 12:45 pm
engineer wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
For the most part they are optimistic, gentle, gracious, hospitable people without a shred of bitterness in evidence. I think the average small town person will be far more likely to vote for the candidate who speaks well of America and Americans and who holds up ideals of initative, self respect, accountability, and opportunity instead of images of victimization and hopelessness. And I think most small town Americans would prefer government to leave them as much of thier assets and resources as possible so they can have more control of their own destiny and otherwise just leave them alone.

Then they will be voting for Obama in droves! Better that than McCain who will tell them to "be afraid, be very afraid! Just send me your tax dollars and children so we can fight more wars."


At least McCain isn't proposing new entitlements, threatening to massively raise taxes, impose more oppressive regulation, or spend a whole bunch more money with no clear idea of where it will come from other than Mom & Pop America--(smart people no longer believe that soaking the rich is gonna pay for much of anything). So on those issues alone, I believe McCain will probably bring in the majority of the vote from small town America. That won't offset the government entitlement and dependency mndset from the large cities of course.
0 Replies
 
mysteryman
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 12:54 pm
Quote:
Gosh, what bullshit!

Pollyanna, I hate to slap you into reality but everyone,in general, is bitter about something.


Maybe in your world.
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 01:37 pm
mysteryman wrote:
Quote:
Gosh, what bullshit!

Pollyanna, I hate to slap you into reality but everyone,in general, is bitter about something.


Maybe in your world.


Do you just ignore the realities of economic reports or what mysteryman? I mean; the price of gas just rose on average 1.9 cents overnight. Not to mention all the other economy woes and jobs already cited and backed up. Do you just make up your own world and call it reality?
0 Replies
 
mysteryman
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 01:44 pm
revel wrote:
mysteryman wrote:
Quote:
Gosh, what bullshit!

Pollyanna, I hate to slap you into reality but everyone,in general, is bitter about something.


Maybe in your world.


Do you just ignore the realities of economic reports or what mysteryman? I mean; the price of gas just rose on average 1.9 cents overnight. Not to mention all the other economy woes and jobs already cited and backed up. Do you just make up your own world and call it reality?


Not at all.
I just have better things to do then let things outside of my control make me bitter.
I enjoy my life to much to allow someone elses bitterness affect me.
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 01:57 pm
ok mysteryman; good enough for me. (not that you needed my ok, but anyway)

Well; speaking of enjoying life too much; I have been forcing myself to get outside on occasion away from the internet and I have got to get back to planting my new flower bed. ugh. But it does makes you feel you have done something with your day to get good and tired.
0 Replies
 
mysteryman
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 02:06 pm
revel wrote:
ok mysteryman; good enough for me. (not that you needed my ok, but anyway)

Well; speaking of enjoying life too much; I have been forcing myself to get outside on occasion away from the internet and I have got to get back to planting my new flower bed. ugh. But it does makes you feel you have done something with your day to get good and tired.


I know that feeling.
I just spent a good part of yesterday mowing my yard and digging some holes for some new trees.
I have a large lot, and usually I use a riding mower, but it needs a new starter.
So, I had to use a gas powered push mower, that took about 5 hours to mow the whole lot.
I bought 10 more blue spruce trees that I am going to plant this weekend,so I went ahead and dug the holes today and yesterday.
Right now, I'm so stiff I dont want to move.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 02:24 pm
mysteryman wrote:
revel wrote:
ok mysteryman; good enough for me. (not that you needed my ok, but anyway)

Well; speaking of enjoying life too much; I have been forcing myself to get outside on occasion away from the internet and I have got to get back to planting my new flower bed. ugh. But it does makes you feel you have done something with your day to get good and tired.


I know that feeling.
I just spent a good part of yesterday mowing my yard and digging some holes for some new trees.
I have a large lot, and usually I use a riding mower, but it needs a new starter.
So, I had to use a gas powered push mower, that took about 5 hours to mow the whole lot.
I bought 10 more blue spruce trees that I am going to plant this weekend,so I went ahead and dug the holes today and yesterday.
Right now, I'm so stiff I dont want to move.


Was it you digging those holes that triggered the earthquake?
0 Replies
 
spendius
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 03:16 pm
Will anybody be asking Mr Obama his view on Mr Mugabe's speech today to mark Independence Day in Zimbabwe?
0 Replies
 
mysteryman
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 03:24 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
mysteryman wrote:
revel wrote:
ok mysteryman; good enough for me. (not that you needed my ok, but anyway)

Well; speaking of enjoying life too much; I have been forcing myself to get outside on occasion away from the internet and I have got to get back to planting my new flower bed. ugh. But it does makes you feel you have done something with your day to get good and tired.


I know that feeling.
I just spent a good part of yesterday mowing my yard and digging some holes for some new trees.
I have a large lot, and usually I use a riding mower, but it needs a new starter.
So, I had to use a gas powered push mower, that took about 5 hours to mow the whole lot.
I bought 10 more blue spruce trees that I am going to plant this weekend,so I went ahead and dug the holes today and yesterday.
Right now, I'm so stiff I dont want to move.


Was it you digging those holes that triggered the earthquake?


No, it wasnt.
My gf got real nervous when we got woke up this morning by the quake, but to me it wasnt that big a deal.
The epicenter was in Illinois, about 45 miles from here as the crow flies.
We have had 1 aftershock so far, a 4.5 that didnt cause any damage.
We (WMVFR) conducted a survey of the community this morning and there was no damage reported at all.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 03:47 pm
Thomas wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Thomas wrote:
Paul Krugman has done something unusual with Obama's remarks about rural Pennsylvanians being bitter: He has investigated their merits. Krugman's concluion is unflatering:

"Mr. Obama's comments combined assertions about economics, sociology and voting behavior. In each case, his assertion was mostly if not entirely wrong."

Full Story

Krugman has morphed into an anti-Obama hack of late, so there's hardly anything surprising about this.

Although it's evident that Krugman is anti-Obama, I don't think you've established that he's a hack -- as opposed to, say, an honest and intelligent commentator who happens to disagree with you. Moreover, even if Krugman was an anti-Obama hack, that wouldn't mean that Obama's statements are correct. Personal attacks on the messenger don't make an adequate argument against the message.

True.

And while I do think that Krugman's by now rather fierce antipathy to Obama might lead him to analyse the merits here with some built-in bias, it's not just Krugman who did this.

I thought this was very interesting, not least because it pretty much went right against everything I thought about the matter: Larry Bartels analyses the merits of Obama's assumptions in the NYT.

I keep coming across quotes from Bartels' piece in blog posts as well, with bits of the back story falling in place: apparently, back when Thomas Frank was launching his "What's the Matter with Kansas?" analyses of what happened with the Democratic Party and the heartland, Bartels was one of the academics who criticised some of the tenets. That does also mean that I reserve the right to consider Bartels' views just one of at least two alternate, competing analyses of the data - but he's got some striking data debunking Obama's assumptions in that NYT piece...
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 04:00 pm
mysteryman wrote:
I just spent a good part of yesterday mowing my yard and digging some holes for some new trees.
I have a large lot, and usually I use a riding mower, but it needs a new starter.
So, I had to use a gas powered push mower, that took about 5 hours to mow the whole lot.
I bought 10 more blue spruce trees that I am going to plant this weekend,so I went ahead and dug the holes today and yesterday.
Right now, I'm so stiff I dont want to move.

Heh. Sounds like it's going to be beautiful tho!
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Fri 18 Apr, 2008 04:01 pm
spendius wrote:
Will anybody be asking Mr Obama his view on Mr Mugabe's speech today to mark Independence Day in Zimbabwe?

Judging on the kind of news "reporting" I've seen on CNN, I wouldnt bank on it...

Foxfyre wrote:
At least McCain isn't proposing new entitlements, threatening to massively raise taxes

"massively raise taxes", huh? Obama is threatening to massively raise taxes?
0 Replies
 
 

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