nimh
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 06:26 pm
Walter Hinteler wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
I personally would like to the seethe first woman President of the United States be somebody of Margaret Thatcher's stature and not somebody that half the country does not fully trust or trust at all and/or doesn't like.

I suppose, Thatcher even today is one of the most "controversal" persons in the UK (but although most people didn't like Margaret Thatcher, they respected her). :wink:

In fact, more than half the country "did not fully trust" Maggie. She first came to power thanks to her Conservatives getting just 44% of the vote in the 1979 elections - which in the British district system, was enough for a comfortable parliamentary majority. In 1983 she was reelected with just 42%, and only then after a hastily executed Falklands war turned around disastrous polling numbers; and in 1987 she was reelected once more with just 42%.

Thatcher probably became both the most loved and most hated British Prime Minister of the last fourty years, and certainly the most polarising one in all that time -- as a result of a far-reaching transformation of the country she pursued without ever having gotten more than 44% of the vote.

So if Fox is looking for somebody who would not divide the country in two opposing halves, Maggie is probably be the last example to follow...
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 06:39 pm
nimh wrote:
Walter Hinteler wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
I personally would like to the seethe first woman President of the United States be somebody of Margaret Thatcher's stature and not somebody that half the country does not fully trust or trust at all and/or doesn't like.

I suppose, Thatcher even today is one of the most "controversal" persons in the UK (but although most people didn't like Margaret Thatcher, they respected her). :wink:

In fact, more than half the country "did not fully trust" Maggie. She first came to power thanks to her Conservatives getting just 44% of the vote in the 1979 elections - which in the British district system, was enough for a comfortable parliamentary majority. In 1983 she was reelected with just 42%, and only then after a hastily executed Falklands war turned around disastrous polling numbers; and in 1987 she was reelected once more with just 42%.

Thatcher probably became both the most loved and most hated British Prime Minister of the last fourty years, and certainly the most polarising one in all that time -- as a result of a far-reaching transformation of the country she pursued without ever having gotten more than 44% of the vote.

So if Fox is looking for somebody who would not divide the country in two opposing halves, Maggie is probably be the last example to follow...


If you go on approval ratings, for sure. Reagan's approval ratings weren't all that great either. And who had worse approval ratings than Winston Churchill? But Churchill is Now a household word in most homes in the free world. Maggie Thatcher led her nation for 11 years and history will be most kind to her as it will be to Reagan. Why? Because despite their unpopularity, all three accomplished good things for their countries.

Contrast that with Tony Blair and George Bush, both who enjoyed initial great approval ratings? Will either go down in history as among the greats? Probably not.

It is stature I'm looking for. I probably misspoke when I tied that to affection or trust though I suspect most of the UK didn't think Thatcher would be bad for the country; just perhaps bad for their personal immediate interests.

Walter used a better word. Respect. I would like for our first female President to be somebody that most of the country could at least respect.

Better?
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 06:41 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
Or is it only the writer pundits commenting on it that think it is 'surprising?' Which might suggest some latent racism on their part that would have nothing to do with why the people are voting in the south.

Well, I was responding to where Georgeob1 said that the "more surprising" thing about these primaries has been the extent to which white voters have preferred Obama, rather than any remaining reluctance to do so. He wrote that this should have been commented on more.

I replied that I've seen plenty of people commenting on how many white voters have voted for Obama, even in the presumably most hostile states, and how surprising/encouraging/reassuring this is.

Now is pointing out that it's "surprising" that Obama got as many white votes as he has an expression of latent racism? I dunno. I dont think George is a racist... :wink:
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 06:43 pm
nimh wrote:
Foxfyre wrote:
Or is it only the writer pundits commenting on it that think it is 'surprising?' Which might suggest some latent racism on their part that would have nothing to do with why the people are voting in the south.

Well, I was responding to where Georgeob1 said that the "more surprising" thing about these primaries has been the extent to which white voters have preferred Obama, rather than any remaining reluctance to do so. He wrote that this should have been commented on more.

I replied that I've seen plenty of people commenting on how many white voters have voted for Obama, even in the presumably most hostile states, and how surprising/encouraging/reassuring this is.

Now is pointing out that it's "surprising" that Obama got as many white votes as he has an expression of latent racism? I dunno. I dont think George is a racist... :wink:


I'm quite sure George isn't a racist.
0 Replies
 
Butrflynet
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 06:46 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
Oh and there is THIS in the Huffington Post. Does anybody want to accuse Arianna Huffington of being a paid operative of the GOP? Admittedly it was three months ago, but apparently Armstrong Williams didn't make this stuff up.


Here's the story you linked to:

Quote:
Obama-Bloomberg '08? NYC Meeting Raises Eyebrows
Marc Ambinder | November 30, 2007 02:13 AM


At 7:45 this morning, Sen. Barack Obama will set vice presidential speculation on fire with a brief stop to say hello to New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, himself an occasional presidential flirt. The meeting appeared on Bloomberg's schedule, which was distributed to reporters last night.

An Obama aide said the meeting was scheduled because of "mutual interest" and did not know whether the two had met before.



Both "articles" are speculation about unsourced rumors over an agenda item on Bloomberg's daily schedule. Neither one of them deserve the importance being given them other than to fuel gossip.

I'd put both of them on the same level of validity as that letter to the editor your husband read to you from the New Mexico newspaper.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 06:47 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
If you go on approval ratings, for sure.

I went on election results, actually.

Foxfyre wrote:
Contrast that with Tony Blair and George Bush, both who enjoyed initial great approval ratings? Will either go down in history as among the greats? Probably not.

Something we agree on!

Foxfyre wrote:
It is stature I'm looking for. I probably misspoke when I tied that to affection or trust [..]. Walter used a better word. Respect. I would like for our first female President to be somebody that most of the country could at least respect.

Better?

Sure. Even most of her fiercest detractors now at least respect her for having had gonads. Which is more than you could say for that other Prime Minister that governed for a decade in the recent past...
0 Replies
 
spendius
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 07:00 pm
Mrs Thatcher eh?

Wor a wally.

She once made a video designed to encourage us not to litter public places with wrappers which she was presiding over having manufactured in ever inreasing numbers.

She got her claque to buy some crisps, I believe you call them chips, empty the contents into some bins, distribute the empty packaging randomly in a park close to where she was having a gig, tell the cameramen where to point their lenses and, with rubber gloves on, picked some of them up and put them into a previously disinfected litter bin which just happened to be nearby.

And we all leaned forward when she bent down.

They led her away in tears eventually.
0 Replies
 
nappyheadedhohoho
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 07:06 pm
Foxfyre wrote:
Contrast that with Tony Blair and George Bush, both who enjoyed initial great approval ratings? Will either go down in history as among the greats? Probably not.


Harris Interactive conducted a poll of presidents in honor of President's Day last week. Of 'best overall president in our history', Bush made it into the top 10. Along with Lincoln (#1) and Reagan.

History may or may not judge him harshly.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 07:10 pm
Heh Very Happy

Quote:
Why Obama Is Jay-Z and Hillary Is Cam'ron

Guest poster Adam Leon, co-proprietor of the popular Philly/NYC music blog BadmintonStamps, offers his take on the recent controversey over Barack Obama's alleged plagiarism.

Hillary Clinton's plagiarism ploy brings to mind the classic beef between rappers Cam'ron and Jay-Z. In 2006, Cam'ron released several dis tracks aimed at his former labelmate, the generally unimpeachable Jay-Z. The fracas stemmed from Jay's decision to leave Roc-A-Fella Records for the presidency of another label, Def Jam, a move that Cam'ron, who always played second (or third) fiddle to Jay in terms of sales and esteem, felt disrespected both himself and Jay's former business partner, Damon Dash.

One of the songs Cam dropped was "Swagger Jacker," a seven-and-a-half-minute epic sonic collage sampling instances where Jay-Z "plagiarized" from other rappers. The parallels to Hillary's YouTube dis video are undeniable. Both Hillary and Cam'ron, unable to gain the respect or popularity of their rival, resort to calling their opponent a plagiarist. The arguments are thin at best, although at least Cam included multiple examples. As Noam Scheiber (No'am?) pointed out, almost all politicians bite each others' rhymes, and Senator Clinton is in no way a stranger to the practice. The same is true in hip-hop, where rappers often pay homage to their peers by "borrowing" their lines. This is why "Swagger Jacker" was greeted with a generally tepid reception.

Jay-Z came out the victor in the beef, in part because he reacted with no more than a shrug, refusing to release a response song directly aimed at his foe. Jay was able to position himself as above such childish and desperate mud-slinging, a strategy Senator Obama seems to have successfully, um, borrowed.

--Adam Leon
0 Replies
 
spendius
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 07:13 pm
nappyhead, it's better that Eraserhead, wrote-

Quote:
History may or may not judge him harshly.


If only he had been President in the late 30s.

Dream on sunshine.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 07:28 pm
nimh wrote:
As Noam Scheiber (No'am?)


:-D

OK, that was reassuring.

I really didn't think this whole thing was going to go anywhere and then turned on CNN to see what they were talking about. Caught Lou Dobbs Tonight -- first time, so maybe it's always that odious. But WHOA. The "words" thing was the lead story and Lou was shocked, shocked. Someone unfamiliar with the story could easily assume that Obama swiped an entire speech without attribution. There was some squirrely poll question about whether people "believed" that Obama "forgot" to give Patrick attribution. Biden was mentioned. (There was nothing about Hillary's generous cribbing of Obama slogans and talking points.) Also showed Michelle Obama saying that she had never been so proud of her country as now, which was also shocking, shocking. (Dobbs went on about a bunch of moments that he thought SHOULD make her prouder.)

I don't know how most people view these things. I'd hope that Obama supporters or potential supporters don't pay much attention to Dobbs anyway. But it was pretty disturbing viewing. (And yet another one for the "No anti-Obama media bias? HAH!" column.)
0 Replies
 
BumbleBeeBoogie
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 07:30 pm
Sozobe
Sozobe, Lou Dobbs is a world class fool. A "Nativist" he would be right at home in the John Birch Society.

BBB
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 07:44 pm
OK. Hope most people pay him as little heed.
0 Replies
 
Butrflynet
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 07:46 pm
Ben Smith has the best line of the day:

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0208/Remainders_218.html

Quote:
"Clinton campaign argues that Hillary can lift from other people's speeches because her rhetoric isn't as good.




Obama inocculated himself, in Jason Zengerle's eyes, a while ago, when he said he and Deval Patrick trade good lines all the time."


http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_plank/archive/2008/02/18/obama-s-quot-plagiarism-quot.aspx

Quote:
18.02.2008

Obama's "Plagiarism"

Mike and Noam have already done a great job explaining the ridiculousness of the Clinton campaign's charge that Obama plagiarized from Deval Patrick, but I thought I'd add one more point. Obama's already on record as admitting he borrows lines from Patrick (and vice versa).

Stumping in New Hampshire last December, Obama said:

"But you know in the end, don't vote your fears. I'm stealing this line from my buddy (Massachusetts Gov.) Deval Patrick who stole a whole bunch of lines from me when he ran for the governorship, but it's the right one, don't vote your fears, vote your aspirations. Vote what you believe."
0 Replies
 
Butrflynet
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 07:51 pm
Speaking of plagarism, Mark Halprin of Time Magazine takes a look at Clinton's plagarisms from Obama's speeches in the past few months:

http://thepage.time.com/obama-release-on-clintons-languge/


Obama's words were so good that Hillary swiped them and began repeating them as her solutions.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 07:52 pm
Karl Rove just said the Obama plagerized on Bill O"Reilly. I really don't turn him on; honest!
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 09:17 pm
sozobe wrote:
(And yet another one for the "No anti-Obama media bias? HAH!" column.)

Eh. Dobbs has always sounded like a hateful idiot to me, from what I read of him. But an anti-Obama bias in the media, overall? Really? Dont tell me you really believe that..

Seems to me like Hillary has gotten a lot harsher a deal from the media, almost throughout the campaign, than Obama. (Perhaps with the single exception of a few months of interval last autumn, at the height of her professional/inevitable stature.)

To me, the complaints from Obama backers about how Krugman, for one random example, is on a crusade against Obama just confirm to me how little they're used to. I mean, he wrote, what?, five columns lambasting Obama's health care plan? How often have Rich and Dowd gone after Hillary in the same newspaper, month after month after month? But thats par for the course apparently.

Obama's still having a clear sympathy edge among the journos, when it comes to the Democratic race. The distaste many feel for Hillary is often palpable.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 09:23 pm
nimh wrote:
georgeob1 wrote:
The fact is the overall tendency of white voters in all the primaries so far has been more surprising in their preference for Obama than in any supposed continued racial antipathy. Odd that there has been so relatively little comment on that.

We must have been reading different articles. Perhaps all the commentary I've seen hailing the success Obama has had among whites, especially young whites, was all concentrated in those dastardly liberal blogs I read.

Personally, I agree up to a point - it is certainly encouraging to see Obama getting a large share of the white vote, and even in the South getting double-digit support among whites. Especially encouraging is his success among the youngest voters - about half of white voters aged under 30 voted for Obama in South Carolina, for example, more still in Georgia - not to mention states elsewhere in the country. Such things have certainly been commented (and cheered) on a lot here on A2K too; even just that nugget from SC must have been posted about a dozen times.

To my taste, perhaps even a little bit too much. I mean, it's great that even in the South, the kids apparently have no hesitation voting for a black man anymore (at least not in SC or GA; Alabama was another matter). But I mean - even in SC, Obama got a grand 24% of the overall white vote. OK, back then Edwards was still in the race, so the white vote was split three ways. But in Tennessee and Alabama, he also got just 25-26% of the white vote, and in Louisiana 30%, with Hillary taking a landslide of the white vote in each. Regardless of whether one posits that Hillary won that landslide purely on the basis of her personal appeal, or partly on the basis of being the white person in the race, I dont see a whole lot to celebrate in a black guy getting a quarter of the white vote. I know, I know - Jesse Jackson never even got out of the single digits; all I'm saying is that as long as people think it's "surprising," to use your word, or "encouraging" or whatnot, that a black man can get a quarter of the white vote in a certain state, race is still very much an issue in that state.


Careful - this subject is verboten among the ever vigilant thought police on this thread - apparently they want only mutual reinforcement among truly dedicated Obama claques here.

However, I think you miss a central point, which I believe I made abundantly clear. The statistical preference of black voters for Obama was far greater than that of even the white voters of the sounthern states for Hillary and Edwards (= against Obama). If one is going to assume that racial factors trumped others based on issues and perceptions of character, then the effect of this factor among black voters in the southern states far exceeded that among whites. In a three candidate race 25% of the vote is not exactly a blanket rejection; whereas 80+ % certainly seems to be a blanket approval.

My opinion is that the most remarkable (= counter to previous expectations) observation about all of these statistics is the relatively large share of the white vote Obama got nationwide and in the south. Frankly, I believe the racial matter is at best a secondary issue in this election, on both sides.

How long do you believe it will take for the Netherlands to have an Indonesian or Moslem candidate for leadership of the national government?
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Mon 18 Feb, 2008 09:37 pm
I suspect HI will go for Obama in their caucus tomorrow. He is as close as they have ever been to having a native son.
I am nervous about WI. Obama should get the youth vote and, with it being an open primary AND WITH VOTING DAY REGISTRATION of new voters (which we haven't talked about much if at all), Obama may get a bump.
Nimh talks about evidence that Obama is, perhaps making inroads with folks with lower incomes and lower education levels. He cites VA and MD. I am not totally convinced but Nimh is a smart dude, so I won't argue the point.

I hope you get the job, soz. You would be an asset to Obama's campaign.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Tue 19 Feb, 2008 07:28 am
nimh wrote:
sozobe wrote:
(And yet another one for the "No anti-Obama media bias? HAH!" column.)

Eh. Dobbs has always sounded like a hateful idiot to me, from what I read of him. But an anti-Obama bias in the media, overall? Really? Dont tell me you really believe that..

Seems to me like Hillary has gotten a lot harsher a deal from the media, almost throughout the campaign, than Obama. (Perhaps with the single exception of a few months of interval last autumn, at the height of her professional/inevitable stature.)

To me, the complaints from Obama backers about how Krugman, for one random example, is on a crusade against Obama just confirm to me how little they're used to. I mean, he wrote, what?, five columns lambasting Obama's health care plan? How often have Rich and Dowd gone after Hillary in the same newspaper, month after month after month? But thats par for the course apparently.

Obama's still having a clear sympathy edge among the journos, when it comes to the Democratic race. The distaste many feel for Hillary is often palpable.


Oh, I'm not saying there's an overall anti-Obama bias, no. But I definitely see examples of it. Krugman isn't something I thought of. It's more like how the race spat was covered (as if what Hillary and Obama were doing/saying during the spat were equivalent, and that they both called it off; whereas Obama's press conference calling it off was the real turning point, and Hillary played catch-up afterwards). Not just that, though. The New York Times has been annoying me regularly and large and small ways. Here's an example of a small way, mostly just because it's funny and because I had the exact same thought (also because I have it at hand):

Hendrik Hertzberg wrote:
A few days before Senator Barack Obama swept the Democratic primaries in Virginia, Maryland, and the District of Columbia, people across the country, picking up their favorite newspaper, were greeted with the following headline:


OLD FRIENDS SAY DRUGS PLAYED
BIG PART IN OBAMA'S YOUNG LIFE

In any event, that's what some readers thought they read. On second glance, they realized their mistake. The headline actually said this:


OLD FRIENDS SAY DRUGS PLAYED
BIT PART IN OBAMA'S YOUNG LIFE

Maybe, though, the mistake wasn't just the readers', especially the bleary-eyed among them who hadn't yet had their morning coffee. After all, it wasn't exactly news that "drugs" had played a part (and only a "bit part" at that) in the adolescence of the junior senator from Illinois. That particular factoid had been on the public record for more than twelve years. And if it wasn't news, what was it doing on the front page of the New York Times?


http://www.newyorker.com/talk/comment/2008/02/25/080225taco_talk_hertzberg

There is most definitely anti-Hillary bias, too. My main beef is with the idea that the media is giving Obama a pass. After having done a heck of a lot of reading of mainstream media in the past six months or so, I wouldn't say that at all. I think it's gotten worse since Iowa, which stands to reason. (Good story of no real import vs. omigodthisguymightactuallybecomepresident.)
0 Replies
 
 

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