spendius
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 10:03 am
Private Eye often used the expression "(reaches for onion").

They are saying here that Mrs Clinton "defied the polls". That is their explanation of how they got it all wrong yesterday. No mention that the polls were rigged in some way.

Even the exit polls were wrong. And by a margin that is enough to produce a landslide in our Parliament. CNN, I believe, one of them anyway, called a win for Mr Obama as I went to bed.

What's the point of reading their "writing on the back of adverts". It's just a job in the entertainment business. It's the economy stupid!!.
0 Replies
 
BumbleBeeBoogie
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 10:04 am
Lola
Lola wrote:
Well, I must admit I'm pleased tonight. I love both candidates but I I was hating the way the press seemed to be deciding this election. Chris Matthews was eating crow. He said, "I'll never underestimate Hillary again. I loved that moment, if you were watching MSNBC, when Rachel Maddow said that the Hillary victory could be credited to Chris Matthews for all his heavy handed down-on-Hillary campaign. New Hampshire has proved that the press is not as powerful as they think they are. My hope is restored.


I agree, Lola. We can thank Chris Matthews for helping Hillary Clinton win the N.H. primary. His slimy anti-Clinton rants were so over the top disgusting. His behavior doesn't surprise me because he is in love with the sound of his own voice. He thinks he is so much smarter than anyone else. What makes him look like a fool is his habit of his mouth shooting off before his brain engages. He is such a phony in his chase for ratings to make more money for him. Matthews has always been only for Matthews. This time, he shot himself in his ass.

BTW, I really like Rachel Maddow. She's smart, but not a smart ass, something refreshing on cable TV. I'm glad Keith Olbermann promoted her appearances on his show.

BBB
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 10:21 am
sozobe wrote:
Donna Brazile did, too.

Honestly Blatham... you see nothing to object to in Bill's speech?

Or are you saying that yes, of course, they'll "go negative" and make **** up, and that's fine?


Let's go through it. First off, the writer's intro...

Quote:
An indignant, finger-pointing Clinton said:

How dare he?! Criticism of the press! Just like a Clinton to turn around and put the attention on someone else. Just like Bill to make judgements after everything he has done with internes and cigars.

Quote:
"But since you raised the judgment issue, let's go over this again. That is the central argument for his campaign. 'It doesn't matter that I started running for president less a year after I got to the Senate from the Illinois State Senate. I am a great speaker and a charismatic figure and I'm the only one who had the judgment to oppose this war from the beginning. Always, always, always.' "

"First it is factually not true that everybody that supported that resolution supported Bush attacking Iraq before the UN inspectors were through. Chuck Hagel was one of the co-authors of that resolution. The only Republican Senator that always opposed the war. Every day from the get-go. He authored the resolution to say that Bush could go to war only if they didn't co-operate with the inspectors and he was assured personally by Condi Rice as many of the other Senators were. So, first the case is wrong that way."


Do you find something factually wrong here? Is there some inference or suggestion lurking which I do not apprehend?

Quote:
"Second, it is wrong that Senator Obama got to go through 15 debates trumpeting his superior judgment and how he had been against the war in every year, numerating the years, and never got asked one time, not once, 'Well, how could you say, that when you said in 2004 you didn't know how you would have voted on the resolution? You said in 2004 there was no difference between you and George Bush on the war and you took that speech you're now running on off your website in 2004 and there's no difference in your voting record and Hillary's ever since?' Give me a break.

Here?

Quote:
"This whole thing is the biggest fairy tale I've ever seen...


You've mentioned the 'fairy tale' phrase earlier. What exactly is your problem with that phrase?

Quote:
So you can talk about Mark Penn all you want. What did you think about the Obama thing calling Hillary the Senator from Punjab? Did you like that?"

I don't know this 'punjab' allusion. We talked earlier on the Penn/cocaine thing and I expressed my opinion that it was as Trippi described it.

It's also accurate to make the argument that in even bringing up the 'madrassa' term, is to forward the rightwing smear. But there are two sides to that. To continually forward the proposition that Hillary's campaign is 'attacking', 'dirty', 'malicious' is to forward a different rightwing smear. You yourself are contributing to this, soz.

Quote:
"Or what about the Obama hand out that was covered up, the press never reported on, implying that I was a crook? Scouring me, scathing criticism, over my financial reports. Ken Starr spent $70 million and indicted innocent people to find out that I wouldn't take a nickel to see the cow jump over the moon.

Again, I don't know to what this alludes.

Quote:
"So, you can take a shot at Mark Penn if you want. It wasn't his best day. He was hurt, he felt badly that we didn't do better in Iowa. But you know, the idea that one of these campaigns is positive and the other is negative when I know the reverse is true and I have seen it and I have been blistered by it for months, is a little tough to take. Just because of the sanitizing coverage that's in the media, doesn't mean the facts aren't out there.

And here I see the press bias (and your own bias) as the valid complaint Bill is arguing, for all the reasons I've mentioned above.
0 Replies
 
BumbleBeeBoogie
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 10:23 am
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 10:35 am
The latest Weekly Standard cover. Rupert Murdoch and Bill Kristol seem likely to lose even more money on this issue than they do normally...
http://www.weeklystandard.com/Content/Public/Images/Thumbnails/13-17.Jan14.Cover.small.jpg
0 Replies
 
High Seas
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 10:36 am
Excerpt from BBB's post above:

Quote:
Chuck Todd, political director at NBC, seems to back the "race" angle in the poll fiasco, citing some famous examples of whites telling pollsters one thing and voting otherwise. Asked why this didn't happen in Iowa, he points out that it was a caucus vote, with people having to declare themselves openly. In New Hampshire they could pull the curtain and vote privately.


Or the entire Democratic party may be following Mrs. Clinton in a new phase of political correctness in the inimitable style of that champion of civil rights for blacks, Lyndon Johnson:

Quote:
"These Negroes, they're getting pretty uppity these days and that's a problem for us since they've got something now they never had before, the political pull to back up their uppityness. Now we've got to do something about this, we've got to give them a little something, just enough to quiet them down, not enough to make a difference. For if we don't move at all, then their allies will line up against us and there'll be no way of stopping them, we'll lose the filibuster and there'll be no way of putting a brake on all sorts of wild legislation. It'll be Reconstruction all over again."

--Sen. Lyndon B. Johnson (D., Texas), 1957
http://www.opinionjournal.com/extra/?id=110011033
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 10:41 am
Quote:
Last night, Kristol, in his natural habitat on Fox News, snidely dismissed Clinton's victory as follows: "It's the tears. She pretended to cry. The women felt sorry for her. And she won." Neoconservatives never err. They are only victimized by the flaws of others -- in this case by the incomparably calculated manipulation of Hillary Clinton and the vapidity of female voters.
http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/?last_story=/opinion/greenwald/2008/01/09/matthews/
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 10:42 am
Quote:
UPDATE: This was the very first paragraph of the very first NYT column written by Kristol (h/t Awklib):

Quote:
Thank you, Senator Obama. You've defeated Senator Clinton in Iowa. It looks as if you're about to beat her in New Hampshire. There will be no Clinton Restoration. A nation turns its grateful eyes to you.
from same Greenwald column
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 10:48 am
Isn't it obvious that the drama surrounding the Obama "win" in Iowa, followed by the supposed "defeat" in new Hampshire, accompanied as it is by all the pseudo-profound analysis of single issue self-proclaimed pundits (Steinheim is the chief example), is merely a blip in the usual sequence of small state primaries. Journalists and politicians act out of their respective self interests - journalists to hype the dramatic potential of the moment to better sell their wares and capture attention in a competitive market; politicians to artfully twist and select actions, phrases, and words to "fit' past actions & positions to the political needs of the moment. Why should any of us take all of this very seriously?

In his denigrations of Senator Clinton, was Chris Matthiews any more objective and honest than when he was criticizing president Bush or the Republican policies he so assiduously opposes? Did this esteemed teller of truth suddenly lose his bearings?

Was Gloria Steinheim's op ed, describing the Obama moment in terms of a supposed deep seated "gender bias", profound insight, or merely a crass attempt to use the moment to peddle the one idea on which she has based her career?

It is all democratic politics in action; crass, self-serving, full of hype and deception - but still less hateful than all the available alternatives.

The whole process, campaigns, primaries, convention, and final election is a very noisy and expensive process of winnowing of the field down to (finally) two or three alternatives. The tactical situation of the various candidates changes with every step in the process, and the actions of the voting public very often (as we have just seen) defy the predictions and "analysis" of the self-appointed pundits and analysts, whose real motive is not so much to be right as to effectively and dramatically use the moment to seize attention.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 10:54 am
Quote:
Was Gloria Steinheim's op ed, describing the Obama moment in terms of a supposed deep seated "gender bias", profound insight, or merely a crass attempt to use the moment to peddle the one idea on which she has based her career?


Quote:
This is pretty rich. Last night, Matthews said: "I give her a lot of personal credit; I will never underestimate Hillary Clinton again."


But by this morning Matthews had already forgotten his newfound respect for her. He said: "The reason she's a U.S. Senator, the reason she's a candidate for President, the reason she may be a front-runner, is her husband messed around. That's how she got to be Senator from New York. We keep forgetting it. She didn't win it on the merits..."


Put aside for a sec just how loathsome this statement is on its own terms. The larger point here is that a mere half-day after acknowledging that he'd gotten it wrong and that she deserved a lot of "personal credit" for winning over voters, Matthews was already imposing his own narrative on her entire political career, the current race included, saying that her past and current success have nothing to do with "the merits."
http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/horsesmouth/2008/01/one_day_after_s.php
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 10:56 am
Quote:
In his denigrations of Senator Clinton, was Chris Matthiews any more objective and honest than when he was criticizing president Bush or the Republican policies he so assiduously opposes?


george

You've already told us you don't watch TV. So just how the phuck would you have any notion as to what Matthews supports or opposes, quite aside from what he does assiduously?
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 10:57 am
blatham wrote:


Let's go through it.


Okeedokes.

Quote:
First off, the writer's intro...

Quote:
An indignant, finger-pointing Clinton said:

How dare he?! Criticism of the press! Just like a Clinton to turn around and put the attention on someone else. Just like Bill to make judgements after everything he has done with internes and cigars.


Immaterial. I chose that link because it had the transcript.

Quote:
"But since you raised the judgment issue, let's go over this again. That is the central argument for his campaign. 'It doesn't matter that I started running for president less a year after I got to the Senate from the Illinois State Senate. I am a great speaker and a charismatic figure and I'm the only one who had the judgment to oppose this war from the beginning. Always, always, always.' "


Dishonest formulation. That's not the central argument in Obama's campaign. And the whole mocking "I'm a great speaker and a charismatic figure" aspect is unnecessary and distasteful.

Quote:
"First it is factually not true that everybody that supported that resolution supported Bush attacking Iraq before the UN inspectors were through. Chuck Hagel was one of the co-authors of that resolution. The only Republican Senator that always opposed the war. Every day from the get-go. He authored the resolution to say that Bush could go to war only if they didn't co-operate with the inspectors and he was assured personally by Condi Rice as many of the other Senators were. So, first the case is wrong that way."


blatham wrote:
Do you find something factually wrong here? Is there some inference or suggestion lurking which I do not apprehend?


Yes. It's a strawman. Bill set up a strawman and then burned the strawman. HILLARY voted for the war. Obama was against the war from the beginning. That's what's at issue.

Quote:
"Second, it is wrong that Senator Obama got to go through 15 debates trumpeting his superior judgment and how he had been against the war in every year, numerating the years, and never got asked one time, not once, 'Well, how could you say, that when you said in 2004 you didn't know how you would have voted on the resolution? You said in 2004 there was no difference between you and George Bush on the war and you took that speech you're now running on off your website in 2004 and there's no difference in your voting record and Hillary's ever since?' Give me a break.


blatham wrote:
Here?


Yes, there. "No difference"? Where does that come from? This is apparently what he's talking about:

Obama's response:

Quote:
As for Mr. Clinton's pounding away at Mr. Obama's war stances over the years, Mr. Obama said: "But I think Tim Russert answered Bill Clinton this morning. Every point that he raised was a question that had been answered _ had been asked and answered, not only on "Meet the Press" but repeatedly.

"It is a little frustrating for the president to _ the former president _ to continually repeat this notion that somehow I didn't know where I stood in 2004 about the war. He keeps on giving half the quote. I was always against the war. The quote he keeps on feeding back was an interview on Meet the Press at the National Convention when Tim was asking, `Given your firm opposition to the war, what do you make of the fact that your nominee for president and vice president didn't have that same foresight.' And obviously I didn't want to criticize them on the eve of their nomination. So I said, `Well, I don't know what _ you know, I wasn't in the Senate. I can't say for certain what I would have done if I was there. I know that from where I stood the case was not made.' He always leaves that out.

"And you know, I understand why he's frustrated. But at some point since we've corrected him repeatedly on this and he keeps on repeating it, you know it tells me that he's just more interested in trying to muddy the waters than actually talk fairly about my record."


Not to mention Hillary going through numerous debates and not once being asked about her "35 years of experience." That's a minor aside though.


Quote:
"This whole thing is the biggest fairy tale I've ever seen...


blatham wrote:
You've mentioned the 'fairy tale' phrase earlier. What exactly is your problem with that phrase?


I don't have a problem with the phrase per se, though I think it's also along the same lines as the "false hope" phrase, and I like what Kevin Drum had to say about that (I can find it later). I've mostly just been using it to define which speech I'm talking about, though. Shorthand.

Quote:
So you can talk about Mark Penn all you want. What did you think about the Obama thing calling Hillary the Senator from Punjab? Did you like that?"


blatham wrote:
I don't know this 'punjab' allusion. We talked earlier on the Penn/cocaine thing and I expressed my opinion that it was as Trippi described it.


It was about the "D-Punjab" press release put out by an Obama staffer. It made Obama very angry, and prompted him to tell staffers to come to him and ask first if there's something that's even remotely borderline. (Was just reading about that the other day, before Bill's speech, can try to find that too on request.)

blatham wrote:
It's also accurate to make the argument that in even bringing up the 'madrassa' term, is to forward the rightwing smear. But there are two sides to that. To continually forward the proposition that Hillary's campaign is 'attacking', 'dirty', 'malicious' is to forward a different rightwing smear. You yourself are contributing to this, soz.


Continually? What "continually"? I didn't like this, and I'm saying why. There are other things I haven't liked, and I say why. "Continually," though? And when did I ever say "dirty" or "malicious"?

Quote:
"Or what about the Obama hand out that was covered up, the press never reported on, implying that I was a crook? Scouring me, scathing criticism, over my financial reports. Ken Starr spent $70 million and indicted innocent people to find out that I wouldn't take a nickel to see the cow jump over the moon.

Quote:
Again, I don't know to what this alludes.


I don't either, and this is the single part that bothers me the most. He's accusing Obama of something here. What is it? Where's the proof? Or is it all just inferences?

Quote:
"So, you can take a shot at Mark Penn if you want. It wasn't his best day. He was hurt, he felt badly that we didn't do better in Iowa. But you know, the idea that one of these campaigns is positive and the other is negative when I know the reverse is true and I have seen it and I have been blistered by it for months, is a little tough to take. Just because of the sanitizing coverage that's in the media, doesn't mean the facts aren't out there.

blatham wrote:
And here I see the press bias (and your own bias) as the valid complaint Bill is arguing, for all the reasons I've mentioned above.


So he can argue that point. I was not at all impressed by a whole bunch of stuff around that point.
0 Replies
 
High Seas
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 10:59 am
Blatham - back off!

You know that G and I are 2 of the original founders of the VRWC (vast right-wing conspiracy, for non-fans of Mrs. Clinton) and while he tends to be polite I'm somewhat less so Smile
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 11:00 am
blatham wrote:
Quote:
In his denigrations of Senator Clinton, was Chris Matthiews any more objective and honest than when he was criticizing president Bush or the Republican policies he so assiduously opposes?


george

You've already told us you don't watch TV. So just how the phuck would you have any notion as to what Matthews supports or opposes, quite aside from what he does assiduously?


Gotcha! Was it good for you??

I've seen enough to know. Besides, Matthiews is a regular visitor to the Bohemian Grove every summer, and I've heard him spout off there (though he does artfully tailor his words for his audience).
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 11:03 am
sozobe wrote:


Quote:
"Or what about the Obama hand out that was covered up, the press never reported on, implying that I was a crook? Scouring me, scathing criticism, over my financial reports. Ken Starr spent $70 million and indicted innocent people to find out that I wouldn't take a nickel to see the cow jump over the moon.

Quote:
Again, I don't know to what this alludes.


I don't either, and this is the single part that bothers me the most. He's accusing Obama of something here. What is it? Where's the proof? Or is it all just inferences?


Not to mention that I just realized its internal logic doesn't hold up. If the press has been giving Obama a pass and piling on Hillary, wouldn't they have talked about this hand-out extensively? Helped the Obama campaign by forwarding the idea that Bill was somehow a crook? He's contradicting himself here -- the press DIDN'T report on this, whatever "this" is, and whether "this" ever existed.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 11:10 am
Kevin Drum on "False Hopes"
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 11:13 am
High Seas wrote:
Blatham - back off!

You know that G and I are 2 of the original founders of the VRWC (vast right-wing conspiracy, for non-fans of Mrs. Clinton) and while he tends to be polite I'm somewhat less so Smile


Thanks. Actually I have (psychologically at least) reconciled myself to a Hillary win - though I would very much prefer either McCain or Romney. What I find most remarkable about all this is that, even in the present political situation, the Democrats sustain their aptitude for seizing defeat from the jaws of victory.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 11:18 am
I was trying to figure out what the "Tim Russert" stuff was about and found this:

http://citizenchris.typepad.com/citizenchris/2008/01/bill-clintons-b.html

Quote:
It turns out, however, that the New York Times reported the same accusations, attributed to Bill Clinton, last March.

The Times' conclusion?

Quote:
[A] review of Mr. Obama's statements on Iraq since 2002 shows that he has opposed the war against Saddam Hussein consistently, calling it ''dumb'' and ''rash.'' Yet when it came later to hypothetical questioning about how he would have voted on the 2002 Iraq war resolution, Mr. Obama has been more circumspect.


The examples cited by the Times of Obama being "circumspect" turn out to be the same ones cited by Clinton and explained by Obama last November during an an hour-long "Meet the Press" interview.

I just reviewed the video of that interview, and the quotations cited by Clinton (and Tim Russert and the Times) all came from the same day -- July 27, 2004 -- the same day John Kerry and John Edwards were nominated to the Democratic Party's presidential ticket. As Obama explained later to Russert, "It probably was the wrong time for me to be making a strong case against our party's nominees decisions on the war in Iraq."


(video links etc. in the original.)
0 Replies
 
maporsche
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 11:21 am
I'm still curious what Edwards impact on the Clinton/Obama campaigns is.

It looks like a lot of the 'change' votes are going to both of them (Obama getting aroudn 40%), along with the youth vote.

Edwards and Clinton share the 'experience' votes, but Clinton walks away with over 70% of those.

From my very cursury analysis, it looks like Edwards staying in the race will hurt Obama more than Clinton.

Could we be seeing a Clinton/Edwards ticket?
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Wed 9 Jan, 2008 11:26 am
maporsche wrote:
...
Could we be seeing a Clinton/Edwards ticket?


I think that's possible, particularly if the contest at the convention is very close. I believe Clinton Richardson is a more likely outcome if Hillary emerges as a strong winner.
0 Replies
 
 

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