Roxxxanne
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 12:22 am
One of my boyfriends (African-American) was for Hillary but is now leaning to Obama. I can easily understand why black men of the later baby boom generation would have a hard time believing an African-American can win. I spent twenty minutes with him trying to convince him that Obama can win.

The time has come.
0 Replies
 
Miller
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 12:52 am
Roxxxanne wrote:


The time has come.


Yes, the time has come for Mrs. Clinton to become President of the US and for Obama to return to Illinois and the soybean crop...
0 Replies
 
Roxxxanne
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 01:16 am
Miller wrote:
Roxxxanne wrote:


The time has come.


Yes, the time has come for Mrs. Clinton to become President of the US and for Obama to return to Illinois and the soybean crop...


Obama will likely wind up on the ticket, that is, if he is willing to accept the second slot. If Obama wins the nomination, he will win the general election. Most bigots wouldn't vote for Hillary either.
0 Replies
 
Diest TKO
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 03:45 am
A delicate reminder from me, that race is not a black and white issue. I'm half Japanese and I find Obama to be extremely impressive.

I hate how media perpetuates the idea that...

if you're black, you'll vote or should vote for a black candidate.
if your a woman, you'll vote or should vote for a woman.

It is distracting. I don't even like how it's addressed.

I like Obama for several reasons, none of which are because of his pigmentation. I'm crossing my fingers and waiting patiently.

T
K
Obama
0 Replies
 
McTag
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 03:53 am
snood wrote:
Meanwhile, this is an article from the NYTimes about how blacks are encouraged and excited by Obama's win...


http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/05/us/politics/05race.html?ex=1357189200&en=53db16ab21ed7094&ei=5088&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss


A British prime minister, Harold Wilson I think it was, once famously said "A week is a long time in politics".

Indeed. I'm sure how Mr Obama's candidature is perceived has changed in a lot of people's minds, in just a few short days.

This is surely a good thing. From the article:
Describing himself as a "huge, huge supporter," of Mr. Obama, Mr. Brown added: "So many times, our young people only have sports stars or musicians to look up to. But now, when we tell them to go to school, to aim high in life, they have a face to put with the ambition."
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 04:36 am
Miller wrote:
Right now it's about 2:1 for Hillary vs Obama for WBZ listeners in the New England area.
Laughing I'd wager 2 to 1 you are full of it, as usual. The gamblers appear quite sure Obama will be taking down New Hampshire. He's now a favorite for the nomination in their eyes as well. Your hateful muckraking has failed. :wink:

http://img246.imageshack.us/img246/8156/gobama2wz9.jpg
For those who don't understand the market: When the event has taken place; each candidate will be worth either 0 or 100. According to the chart above: you can buy Hillary for only 27, while Obama will cost you 85.
(Happy Obama fans should peep SC while they're at it. :wink:)
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 07:11 am
Dang, O'Bill!

Yep, snood, loved that article, thanks for bringing it.
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 07:15 am
snood wrote:
Meanwhile, this is an article from the NYTimes about how blacks are encouraged and excited by Obama's win...

Are you excited and encouraged by Obama's win? Has it changed your opinion that Americans aren't ready for a Black president?
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 07:45 am
realjohnboy wrote:
I don't recall, Nimh, ever saying that the polls and charts were "pretty, but meaningless."

It was in response to the very tables (in the polls thread) that actually showed Obama doing more poorly than Hillary across the South. Hence getting snippety when I laid out that same argument here and you responded that you didnt believe it, and "would like to see the polls" on the subject. You know I like and respect you tremendously, but that was just a little too much.

Anyway, fin - water under the bridge.

Cycloptichorn wrote:
Theoretically, polls with similar or identical questions can show a history of the change of opinion. Study of this change can show how certain events lead to changing opinion, or help understand changes before they happen.

If you are in to them, after a while they sort of dance for you in time. Like drawing a picture of an election.

Quite right, and what a pretty, almost poetic way to phrase it! Smile
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 08:06 am
blatham wrote:
sozobe wrote:
I feel the same way, JPB. I know that not everyone does. Here is one place where I've talked about it.


[..] My reading suggests that we ought to be pessimistic. For example, Limbaugh and Ann Coulter won't turn nice and any dem candidate moving to reform medical delivery will be in the crosshairs of corporate structures who have enormous wealth and power and they will fight tooth and nail. This thread just started by snood tells of a small corner of the story... http://www.able2know.org/forums/viewtopic.php?t=109699

Yeah, I completely agree with Blatham here.

You know, or perhaps it was on the other thread I mentioned it, A has a friend visiting who turns out to be a true believer in Obama. She's like, an adept, follows all the news intensely (poor A just will not get a break from those darned elections she's not interested in). And we did talk a lot about the elections and stuff, but I didnt say anything about Obama (or about Edwards), cos, well, I'm not really that type of guy.

But there was one exception, when we were watching the Dem debate, and Hillary slammed Obama (indirectly) for being "words" when it's "action" that counts. And Obama went on this theme of optimism and hope about how words DO count, they have an influence, they can get things done, by inspiring people, by bringing people around, by creating new majorities for better policies (as, the implication was, Bill Clinton didnt, Hillary couldnt, and he would).

It was at that point that I blurted out, OK, THIS is why I dont like Obama. He really seems to believe that when he is President, and he is faced with this disciplined, obstructing Republican party in Congress, with the huge corporations governing health care, with Fox News and all that, that he can just bring them round by persuading them. That if you're just a special enough person, if you just have the power to inspire and inspire confidence, if you treat them with respect and in dialogue, you can persuade them to at least co-operate. I think that is so eye-blinkingly naive. (Not that I used such adjectives, of course :wink: ). These people are immensely invested in the status quo, not just ideologically; they have billions of money invested in it, they have huge structures of power and influence invested in the hardcore conservative agenda, they're not going to "come around"!

Her answer kind of symbolised my problem, too. She's all, kind of Soz-like, but there are millions of independents, even Republicans, out there who are yearning for a change, who are open to reason, who can be pulled into a new coalition if there's just someone there who doesnt treat them like the enemy, who inspires them. (OK, I'm embellishing now, but you get the drift). And sure, that is true, but that's voters - regular people. Perhaps the occasional moderate or principled Congressman even too; but not the machine itself. Health care - these insurance companies will lose billions with any new system that serves the people better, the only way you can succeed is force them. How are you going to bring them round to give up billions by sitting round the table with them? She's all, "they will see common sense!"

Yikes. Shocked

I'm afraid a President Obama will spend the first two years trying to "bring them around", dialogueing and inspiring, and by the time he realises what he's up against, it's too late to still get such big structural changes done.
0 Replies
 
Bi-Polar Bear
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 08:23 am
you have perfectly stated why I do not think Obama is ready and is currently not the man for the job. thank you.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 08:56 am
I posted this a while back, but I posted a TON of stuff at the same time so I'm not surprised if it got lost... it's not my whole answer to the above but it's a lot of it.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/01/03/AR2008010303303.html

Quote:
People who complain that Barack Obama lacks experience must be unaware of his legislative achievements. One reason these accomplishments are unfamiliar is that the media have not devoted enough attention to Obama's bills and the effort required to pass them, ignoring impressive, hard evidence of his character and ability.

Since most of Obama's legislation was enacted in Illinois, most of the evidence is found there -- and it has been largely ignored by the media in a kind of Washington snobbery that assumes state legislatures are not to be taken seriously. (Another factor is reporters' fascination with the horse race at the expense of substance that they assume is boring, a fascination that despite being ridiculed for years continues to dominate political journalism.)

[...]

Taken together, these accomplishments demonstrate that Obama has what Dillard, the Republican state senator, calls a "unique" ability "to deal with extremely complex issues, to reach across the aisle and to deal with diverse people." In other words, Obama's campaign claim that he can persuade us to rise above what divides us is not just rhetoric.
0 Replies
 
BumbleBeeBoogie
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 09:09 am
BPB
Bi-Polar Bear wrote:
you have perfectly stated why I do not think Obama is ready and is currently not the man for the job. thank you.


What astounds me is the number of candidates who thought they were prepared and ready to be president. Amazing egos. Didn't we learn anything from George W.'s readiness ego and his clear incompence?

Barak Obama may be inspiring, but he lacks the required statecraft in both domestic and foreign policies. There's a big difference between having the skill to run a successful campaign and actually governing this country. We can't stand another learning-on-the-job presidential fiasco.

This is why I supported Joe Biden, who was ready and qualified to be president. I adore John Edwards for his domestic goals passion, but he lacks foreign policy experience and statecraft. That leaves only John McCain, whom I can't support, and Hillary Clinton.

I watched Clinton answering every question asked of her in a New Hampshire event yesterday afternoon. She is as, if not more, impressive than her husband in her depth of knowledge and long time preparation to govern. She is ready and qualified to be president on day one.

Hillary Clinton is now my candidate.

BBB
0 Replies
 
Miller
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 09:11 am
Quote:
Hillary Clinton is now my candidate.


Wise choice...
0 Replies
 
Roxxxanne
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 10:37 am
Miller wrote:
Quote:
Hillary Clinton is now my candidate.


Wise choice...


Any Dem is a wise choice (except for Gravel, the nut from Alaska)

To me, Hillary and Obama are a toss-up, I am just afraid of Hillary's negatives in the general election.

Mike Murphy, a Republican strategist, is saying now on MTP that all the momentum in NH is in Obama's corner and he will win the nomination.
0 Replies
 
Roxxxanne
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 10:55 am
Roxxxanne wrote:
Miller wrote:
Roxxxanne wrote:


The time has come.


Yes, the time has come for Mrs. Clinton to become President of the US and for Obama to return to Illinois and the soybean crop...


Obama will likely wind up on the ticket, that is, if he is willing to accept the second slot. If Obama wins the nomination, he will win the general election. Most bigots wouldn't vote for Hillary either.


Both strategists on MTP predicted that Obama will win the nomination. They have slightly more credibilty than a Hillary supporter with a Condi Rice avatar! Rolling Eyes Cool Laughing
0 Replies
 
BumbleBeeBoogie
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 11:05 am
BBB
I think all of these predictions about the front runner getting the nomination are premature. We have the big Electoral College states elections coming up in February and March. The results of the small states are exciting, but they don't have the same clout number-wise.

The debates are not useful in learning about candidates real competence and experience. They only fuel the horse race mentality of the Media and voters, who only skim the surface of a candidate's ability as a campaigner rather than are they qualified to govern successfully.

A candidate's good personality is helpful, but it is only superficial in determining a candidate's competence in both foreign and domestic policies.

I will never forget my mother's reason for not supporting Thomas Dewey. She didn't like his moustache. I always thought she was stupid to think that way.

BBB
0 Replies
 
Miller
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 11:14 am
The one person I truly feel sorry for is Mrs Edwards.
0 Replies
 
eoe
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 11:19 am
Why?
0 Replies
 
Roxxxanne
 
  1  
Sun 6 Jan, 2008 11:38 am
Re: BBB
BumbleBeeBoogie wrote:
I think all of these predictions about the front runner getting the nomination are premature. We have the big Electoral College states elections coming up in February and March. The results of the small states are exciting, but they don't have the same clout number-wise.



In primary campaigns, momentum is everything. So is money. Money follows momentum.
0 Replies
 
 

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