nimh wrote:If you had to make a prediction (like, someone put a gun to your head and asked
), who do you think will win the Republican nomination, Bill?
I would have to say Rudy. I know they don't want to back him, but I think they want to lose even less. Frankly, I think McCain is their other best hope... and possibly the very best man for the job... but that last qualification doesn't get you elected.
But that's all assuming the Left doesn't totally shoot themselves in the foot, again. The Dems tend to totally cannon ball there chances by backing the wrong guy. I think even Frist would stand a shot against a Hillary or Gore ticket, for instance... but I'm assuming in that estimate that the more she (or he) talked, the worse they'd poll (ala John Kerry).
The General, or Obama for that matter, doesn't have the star power of the old school... and will likely fail to get the nomination. However; I think either or both would fair much better in the General election. Essentially, I think the left tends to ignore the big picture... where it's clearly depicted that they are more representative of the greater number of people... but in focusing too hard on in-fighting they ignore the fact that the true majority of Americans are neither far left, nor far right. The right constantly puts them in positions where they defend their ideals, admirably, but contrary to the beliefs of the true majority. If the right spotted them one man with the vision of Rove; they'd likely win in a land slide.
My prediction is:
The left will indeed be scary enough for the GOP to bend to a McCain or Rudy. The left won't have the balls to gamble on a new stage with an Obama or Clark, fearing that Bush's current unpopularity is their best shot at truly electing one of their own (which it is, but it won't happen). I only hope they play their cards well enough that we don't end up with the other Bush... which isn't as unlikely as many would believe.
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