@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Okie, you do realize that the stock market is up by a lot since Obama took office, right?
Your theory that stocks move up and down based on upcoming elections is absolutely without merit.Cycloptichorn
The DOW is nowhere near the high it attained during the Bush administration, cyclops.
Also, your claim that stock markets do not respond to political leadership or elections, I think that is frankly silly, cyclops. We can argue about how much they are affected and in what direction, but surely you would agree that they have an impact upon markets? I admit it is my opinion, but I am not alone. In fact, during the 2008 election cycle, there was a term called the "Obama Effect" that was known. In other words, it was not me that made it up. The market dips were correlated to Obama's overcoming of Hillary in the primaries, then when polling indicated he would beat McCain, then at his election, and finally at the point of his inauguration.
Sure, it is a theory that I think might have credence, but I think if the Democrats lose big next Tuesday, the market will respond favorably, possibly in proportion to the size of the gains for Republicans. If the gains are so small as to make it unlikely that the Repubs can do much against Obama's inititiatives, both what he has already done and what he wants to do, then the market may not do much in the positive direction and instead languish more or less until the upcoming presidential election.
Part of the reason I am managing my retirement funds as I am is due to the fact that I think investments might markedly improve if we can change the current crop of losers in Washington. Count me as one that responds to elections, and I do not think it is at all unreasonable that millions of investors are doing the same, in particular the managers of funds. For example, do you think fund managers have been ignoring cap and trade, Obamacare, and a whole host of other issues out there in the political arena?