@Cycloptichorn,
Quote:Why is it no surprise that kuvasz shows up to accuse any poll he doesn't like to be tainted. kuvasz only likes polls or so-called news organizations that are biased, skewed, and tainted toward Democrats? Actually, Rasmussen turned out to be one of the most accurate in the last presidential election, but of course your news sources probably would not have told you that, kuvasz.
Actually Okie, like all classically trained scientists, I like the truth, something with which you seem to have only a fleeting acquaintence.
Cyclo beat me to it, but since you posted to me:
“Yesterday the nation had several hot races, including the House special election in PA-12, primaries in both parties in Kentucky and Arkansas, and the Democratic Senate primary in Pennsylvania.
“And somehow, Rasmussen was nowhere to be found. Yet this past week, Rasmussen found time to poll Colorado, California, and those burning Idaho senate and governor races. He even polled the general election in Arkansas, ignoring the imminent primaries -- the better to show Arkansas Republican primary voters who their strongest candidate was.
“You see, the thing about Rasmussen is that he cares only about setting the narrative that Democrats are doomed, and it's hard to build those narratives if you screw up polling actual elections.
“In pollster.com's generic ballot composite index,
http://www.pollster.com/polls/us/10-us-house-genballot.php
“For example, Republicans narrowly lead Democrats 42.7% to 41.3%. But when you exclude Rasmussen and YouGov (a Democratic leaning internet poll), Democrats lead by a slightly larger 44.5% to 42.0% margin. Including YouGov would have given Democrats a larger 47.3% to 41.4% margin, meaning that the inclusion of Rasmussen alone results in a huge 7.3% swing towards the GOP.
“By November, Rasmussen's polling will be nicely in line with the rest of the polling aggregate, as he adjusts his voter screens to match reality, not whatever GOP-heavy universe he currently lives in. By then, he'll be less worried about setting narratives, and more worried about getting races right so that he can brag about his electoral track record. That way, he uses that credibility in order to once again set bullshit narratives in the 2012 election cycle. It's quite the scam!
“Because if it itsn't a scam, there's no reason he should've skipped polling the big Tuesday races.”
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2010/5/19/102811/879
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/3/8/7346/81628
The issue is not that Rasmussen predicted correctly ANY election but that is consistantly an outlier that elevates the popularity of the GOP, far beyond what the rest of the polling organiztions show.
My initial post was directly related to your use of suspect data sources that have been shown to be inconsistant with the other polling organizations in polling popularity, not actual elections.
In affect, you want people to use an 11 inch ruler to measure the fish you caught, so you can proclaim you caught a one foot long stripped bass.
It is dishonest, and you ought to be ashamed for attempting to sell such ****.
