DontTreadOnMe
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 01:12 am
@okie,
okie wrote:

I can't disagree with your scenario, it makes total sense. And I don't blame Obama for the national debt up to the point of his presidency, but sheesh, its as if he has thrown all caution to the wind and has decided to take whats left and throw it away at several times the rate it was happening already. So I hope people wake up and sweep Congress clean in the next 2 year cycle, so we can stop this whole disaster, or at least slow it down.


yeah, it stinks. we're all gonna take gas on this one. i just don't see that we have much of an alternative. we can either put it all on the line or go the way of the roman empire.

we're pulling lever A because lever B is worse.
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 08:50 am
@DontTreadOnMe,
That's something okie seems to miss; there's no other alternative but to spend and increase our national debt. It's about our national security - no different than fighting a war like WWI and WWII when there was hardly any tax base to speak of, but our government spent money as if it was going out of style, and increased the national debt to the highest levels seen in any country. They tried to sell bonds and were successful to the extent Americans were earning money by building war machines. Consumer goods were limited, and most things were rati0ned.

When our country is faced with a deep recession heading towards a depression, our government can't just sit on their arses and watch our country get destroyed. okie et al just don't understand Economics 101.
mysteryman
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 10:09 am
@cicerone imposter,
Quote:
there's no other alternative but to spend and increase our national debt.


But Obama campaigned with an explicit promise to cut the debt in half.
Are you saying that it isnt possible for him to do that?
rabel22
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 10:19 am
@mysteryman,
Only if we hadent elected Bush for two terms. But we did, therefore the economic A bomb Bush dropped on us changed everything.
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 10:22 am
@rabel22,
More like a thermo-nuclear bomb. Millions of people are losing their jobs and homes. I'm not sure any nuclear bomb can be so devastating, although there's a possibility of self-destruction if all nuclear countries went to war and used it at the same time.
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 10:31 am
@DontTreadOnMe,
DontTreadOnMe wrote:

okie wrote:

I can't disagree with your scenario, it makes total sense. And I don't blame Obama for the national debt up to the point of his presidency, but sheesh, its as if he has thrown all caution to the wind and has decided to take whats left and throw it away at several times the rate it was happening already. So I hope people wake up and sweep Congress clean in the next 2 year cycle, so we can stop this whole disaster, or at least slow it down.


yeah, it stinks. we're all gonna take gas on this one. i just don't see that we have much of an alternative. we can either put it all on the line or go the way of the roman empire.

we're pulling lever A because lever B is worse.


There was a Lever C.

What would have happened if President Obama had pulled the plug on unregulated, insufficiently monitored bail outs before any more damage was done and said okay, here's what the government can do. We're going to use the authorized funds to mitigate damage to the financial institutions on the toxic debt that the government improperly encouraged and authorized. We will issue a cross the board tax cut for corporations and businesses to help them weather the down turn and start hiring again. We will freeze spending across the board in government and cut spending wherever we reasonably can to mitigate the hit on the treasury. And now people, it is up to you to do what you do to create a strong, thriving economy.

Had he done that, I believe we would be on our way out of the recession now and the prospects would be much brighter. Obama would also have gained the #1 spot as the all time best President ever.
Lightwizard
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 10:32 am
@mysteryman,
Obama has vowed to cut the deficit in half, not the debt. The deficit is the amount that’s added to the debt in any given year " the debt is the total amount owed. If the administration plans for recovery work, of course, involving consumerism and private enterprise, it's possible. It is the old mantra, you have to spend money to make money, but in government's case, it's making the taxpayer's money back in lowering the deficit. The national debt can be lowered also but it's ultimately going to follow inflation -- how much it costs to borrow money. The taxpayer should expect a profit from the money loaned out, of course. Anybody remember the Savings and Loan bailouts?
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  2  
Sat 16 May, 2009 11:06 am
@Foxfyre,
Foxfyre wrote:

DontTreadOnMe wrote:

okie wrote:

I can't disagree with your scenario, it makes total sense. And I don't blame Obama for the national debt up to the point of his presidency, but sheesh, its as if he has thrown all caution to the wind and has decided to take whats left and throw it away at several times the rate it was happening already. So I hope people wake up and sweep Congress clean in the next 2 year cycle, so we can stop this whole disaster, or at least slow it down.


yeah, it stinks. we're all gonna take gas on this one. i just don't see that we have much of an alternative. we can either put it all on the line or go the way of the roman empire.

we're pulling lever A because lever B is worse.


There was a Lever C.

What would have happened if President Obama had pulled the plug on unregulated, insufficiently monitored bail outs before any more damage was done and said okay, here's what the government can do. We're going to use the authorized funds to mitigate damage to the financial institutions on the toxic debt that the government improperly encouraged and authorized. We will issue a cross the board tax cut for corporations and businesses to help them weather the down turn and start hiring again. We will freeze spending across the board in government and cut spending wherever we reasonably can to mitigate the hit on the treasury. And now people, it is up to you to do what you do to create a strong, thriving economy.

Had he done that, I believe we would be on our way out of the recession now and the prospects would be much brighter. Obama would also have gained the #1 spot as the all time best President ever.


Fox, you may not be an idiot when it comes to economics, but you sure act like one on A2K. You just described Hooverism to a T. Tax cuts for corporations would help nothing at all right now and I'm really baffled that you would even suggest they would. How would they help? And please don't respond with some bland pap, such as 'it would free up money to create more jobs.' That is an empty assertion with no evidence or even logic to back it up. Businesses who cannot get credit will not survive the downturn no matter what their taxes are. Millions of jobs would have been lost when GM died and our financial industry would be in ashes at this point if we abandoned all the Credit Default Swaps as you suggested. Making recommendations such as this displays a real ignorance of the problem we are facing. Do you pretend that corporations are in trouble simply because of high taxes, and that would solve their problems? You are prescribing Penicillin to treat cancer.

This whole idea you have, that the government somehow encouraged companies to make poor choices, and therefore should be blamed, is a joke. It is indicative of a basic misunderstanding of the financial situation of the country, and one in which you have allowed your ideology to trump what little common sense you possess.

Cycloptichorn
hawkeye10
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 11:16 am
@Cycloptichorn,
Quote:
This whole idea you have, that the government somehow encouraged companies to make poor choices, and therefore should be blamed, is a joke. It is indicative of a basic misunderstanding of the financial situation of the country, and one in which you have allowed your ideology to trump what little common sense you possess.


it is a chicken/egg thing.....was it wall street who pushed idiot government into allowing and even cheering outrageous risk taking with the financial system, or was it government who went to wall street demanding growth and Wall Street providing said growth the only way that was available, which was by turning Wall Street into a casino????? Are you one hundred percent sure that you are right and Fox is wrong? I am not.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 11:26 am
@hawkeye10,
hawkeye10 wrote:

Quote:
This whole idea you have, that the government somehow encouraged companies to make poor choices, and therefore should be blamed, is a joke. It is indicative of a basic misunderstanding of the financial situation of the country, and one in which you have allowed your ideology to trump what little common sense you possess.


it is a chicken/egg thing.....was it wall street who pushed idiot government into allowing and even cheering outrageous risk taking with the financial system, or was it government who went to wall street demanding growth and Wall Street providing said growth the only way that was available, which was by turning Wall Street into a casino????? Are you one hundred percent sure that you are right and Fox is wrong? I am not.


Please detail the ways in which government demanded growth from wall street - specifically. I assert that government did no such thing at all. They forced nobody to buy a credit-default swap, forced nobody to invest in mortgage securities. Companies made these decisions themselves out of greed and a desire for short-term profits and no other reason whatsoever.

Cycloptichorn
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 11:53 am
Cyclop is again throwing out terms he has been unable to define when asked to do so on other threads.

Here is a pretty good mini history by Mark Alexander
http://64.203.107.114/alexander/edition.asp?id=610
that concurs with that written by many others including a very thorough and comprehensive analysis recently released in Thomas Sowell's new book: The Housing Boom and Bust

His most recent column adds some addition insights:
http://jewishworldreview.com/cols/sowell051309.php3

The point is that the financial institutions WERE required and coerced to accept risky mortgages--sometimes unknowingly did so--with assurance that Fannie and Freddie would be there to mitigate any problems and with threats of retaliation by government if they did not comply.

But that is neither here nor there. The damage is done and it is time to mitigate it and give the devastated economy a chance to dig out. We won't do that by repeating the mistakes of the past (Hoover - Roosevelt et al) who attempted to regulate and spend us out of crisis at that time. It didn't work then and it's not working now. I wish President Obama was astute and smart enough to recognize that and not do it again.
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 12:14 pm
@Foxfyre,
What do you mean by "coereced?" Like they put a gun at your head?
0 Replies
 
hawkeye10
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 12:47 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Quote:
Please detail the ways in which government demanded growth from wall street - specifically


Government had as much to gain by growing the GDP via wall street as wall street had to gain by the profits that they skimmed off of the GDP growth. We know that the executives and the Government financial experts are from the same population, it has long been a revolving door between government and the private sector. What we don't know is who's idea was such nonsense as 1) removing risk from the bank balance sheet by way of sham credit default swaps, 2) not regulating or even demanding visibility of said swaps 3) Bush's "ownership society" were everybody was to be encouraged to own homes regardless of their ability to pay mortgages 4) the creation of the almost completely unregulated shadow banking system 5) not barely applying regulation the the regulated banks 6) ending the separation between the segments of the financial system that were set up in response to the last depression 7) allowing executives of private firms obscene compensation that was pegged to virtual profits (as in not real) 8) allowing raiders to submerge whole sectors of American Businesses in such debt that they became at risk of failing (by way of purchases that swapped equity for debt), 9) paying firms to move American jobs overseas thus weakening America 10) allowing the debt rating companies to become completely corrupt by letting most of their profits come from the companies that they were supposed to be monitoring .....

Regardless of who's idea it was, all concerned for decades told the American people that all this was a good idea, that this was progress. It was in Governments interest so long as the scheme did not collapse on their watch, and it was in the executives and corporate owners interest as for years they took huge amounts of wealth for themselves.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 12:54 pm
@hawkeye10,
hawkeye10 wrote:

Quote:
Please detail the ways in which government demanded growth from wall street - specifically


Government had as much to gain by growing the GDP via wall street as wall street had to gain by the profits that they skimmed off of the GDP growth. We know that the executives and the Government financial experts are from the same population, it has long been a revolving door between government and the private sector. What we don't know is who's idea was such nonsense as 1) removing risk from the bank balance sheet by way of sham credit default swaps, 2) not regulating or even demanding visibility of said swaps 3) Bush's "ownership society" were everybody was to be encouraged to own homes regardless of their ability to pay mortgages 4) the creation of the almost completely unregulated shadow banking system 5) not barely applying regulation the the regulated banks 6) ending the separation between the segments of the financial system that were set up in response to the last depression 7) allowing executives of private firms obscene compensation that was pegged to virtual profits (as in not real) 8) allowing raiders to submerge whole sectors of American Businesses in such debt that they became at risk of failing (by way of purchases that swapped equity for debt), 9) paying firms to move American jobs overseas thus weakening America 10) allowing the debt rating companies to become completely corrupt by letting most of their profits come from the companies that they were supposed to be monitoring .....

Regardless of who's idea it was, all concerned for decades told the American people that all this was a good idea, that this was progress. It was in Governments interest so long as the scheme did not collapse on their watch, and it was in the executives and corporate owners interest as for years they took huge amounts of wealth for themselves.


It's not that I disagree with you about corporate greed, and our government's long-standing partnership in allowing greed to go unchecked; but it's fallacious to say that the Government forced people to make bad investments. They most certainly did not. The most you can say is that they did not prevent it. I'm willing to accept that, but that doesn't place the blame for bad investments in the lap of the government by any means.

As for Fox's last post, what can I say? Her ability to edit arguments in which she got taken to the woodshed, badly, right out of her memory is amazing.

Cycloptichorn
hawkeye10
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 01:00 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Quote:
It's not that I disagree with you about corporate greed, and our government's long-standing partnership in allowing greed to go unchecked; but it's fallacious to say that the Government forced people to make bad investments. They most certainly did not. The most you can say is that they did not prevent it. I'm willing to accept that, but that doesn't place the blame for bad investments in the lap of the government by any means.


Bullshit, changes made in law, the tax code, changes the regulating abilities of government agencies, fed policy, and funding priorities of the US government all encouraged the bad behavior. Failure to prevent the Government from becoming corrupted by the Corporate culture is the root problem...who do you blame most, the party that allowed themselves to be corrupted or the one who was doing the corrupting? Chicken/egg, either point of view is equally valid.
old europe
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 01:07 pm
@hawkeye10,
hawkeye10 wrote:
changes made in law, the tax code, changes the regulating abilities of government agencies, fed policy, and funding priorities of the US government all encouraged the bad behavior.


Even encouraging bad behaviour is not the same as forcing someone to behave badly - which is the argument that has been made repeatedly. It's like saying that the guy who left his car unlocked and the motor running forced the guy who stole the car and used it in a bank robbery to commit that crime. That just doesn't fly.
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 01:15 pm
@hawkeye10,
hawkeye, You forgot that the SEC slept at the switch. They have the responsibility to ensure the viability of assets traded, and failed to act when the real estate derivatives kept trading at even higher prices even though the value were unknown, and the rating companies kept giving them triple-A ratings.
hawkeye10
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 01:16 pm
@hawkeye10,
Probably more to the point is the concept of "moral hazard". The government encouraged bad behavior (excessive risk taking) by guarantying debt and debt takers (for instance the assumed U.S. taxpayier backing of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) and by having so often bailed out risks takers that have gotten into trouble (pick your bailout Citi, Mexico, S&L's, Long-Term Capital Management and so on and on and on....).

Obama and Bush together have doubled down on Bailouts, which is why more than a few observers say that we are setting ourselves up for an even more colossal financial failure than the one we are currently trying to solve.
hawkeye10
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 01:30 pm
@old europe,
Quote:
Even encouraging bad behaviour is not the same as forcing someone to behave badly - which is the argument that has been made repeatedly. It's like saying that the guy who left his car unlocked and the motor running forced the guy who stole the car and used it in a bank robbery to commit that crime. That just doesn't fly.


None of the actors are completely ignorant of Human Nature, When the results of policy can be correctly predicted to be negative by non idiots those who allow the policy to take place are just as to blame as the individuals who get hurt by following the policy are. I am sure by your argument that you are just fine with Predatory Lending and Governments who allow it to take place (for instance) , However more civilized people are not. Free will of the individual does not absolve the collective of responsibility for the predictable harm that comes to individuals in the society that the collective creates. The collective has the responsibility to educate individual, as well as to take reasonable efforts to protect the individuals from being abused by the societal systems.

So yes, nobody made tom smith take out a mortgage that he could never pay back, but we did know (or should have known) that lots of people would take out mortgages that they could not afford. We knew it would happen, we just did not know exactly which individuals would get hurt. Once we knew that people would get hurt we were responsible for doing something to work on the problem.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Sat 16 May, 2009 01:35 pm
@hawkeye10,
hawkeye10 wrote:

Quote:
It's not that I disagree with you about corporate greed, and our government's long-standing partnership in allowing greed to go unchecked; but it's fallacious to say that the Government forced people to make bad investments. They most certainly did not. The most you can say is that they did not prevent it. I'm willing to accept that, but that doesn't place the blame for bad investments in the lap of the government by any means.


Bullshit, changes made in law, the tax code, changes the regulating abilities of government agencies, fed policy, and funding priorities of the US government all encouraged the bad behavior. Failure to prevent the Government from becoming corrupted by the Corporate culture is the root problem...who do you blame most, the party that allowed themselves to be corrupted or the one who was doing the corrupting? Chicken/egg, either point of view is equally valid.


Look; no matter how much you say the government encouraged businesses to do these things, the truth is that they did not force any of them to make what were essentially bad investments. The companies themselves should have had the foresight to see this coming, but they did not. The government as a regulatory agency is supposed to be the last line of defense the public has against idiocy, fraud, and poor decisions, not the first!

Think about what you're saying. Imagine I find a new way to do something morally wrong and potentially dangerous to society, but it will profit me greatly in the short run. After things go wrong, would you accept me arguing:

Quote:
Well, it wasn't illegal! And the government should have been paying better attention to me, heck, they practically forced me to do this thing by not stopping me from doing it!


Of course, you would not. Ultimate responsibility for the running of corporations lies with those who run them, no matter what environment is created by the government. These investments were a very bad long-term idea. Many companies bought into this bad idea. It's a simple thing.

Cycloptichorn
 

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