OCCOM BILL wrote:Even if it were to happen, I can't imagine it having the negative impact you suggest. I think the consensus of public reaction would be more like "get over it, and give me something I can chew on". Like the race issue, I think that line of discussion could easily cause more resistance than agreement. I know I don't want to be party to something so petty and would be more likely to resist (if it affected me at all).
Oh, I dont think the effect will be anything as direct as, "yeah, those commentators are right, he does have a funny name, Im not going to vote for him!". Thats not how it works. Its about
a) inserting enough continuous trivial distraction into the media chatter that will keep diverting the punditing to, say, Edwards' hair or Kerry's French connections or Obama's middle name, for lots of time that would otherwise have been spent on the weighty issues of the day - say, Iraq. Considering that the "issue" polls have a long tradition of showing the voters siding with the Democrats on most of the actual issues, barring three or four like terror, law & order, and in the past, but not anymore, foreign policy and taxes, the Republicans tend to win elections thanks to the added plus of personality - by being seen as having the more reliable, regular-guy, sturdy, etc candidate. Distracting the debate from the issues to personality is therefore automatically a plus for the Republicans - and considering the current administration's blanket unpopularity across the board of issues, expect the personality card to be played more than ever.
b) (and more importantly): inserting enough negative little thingemies into day-to-day talking points that each by itself may seem trivial or even flippant, but that after enough of a repetition of related memes, start eroding into one's consciousness, one's
feeling about the guy. Not as an acute awareness of each individual thingemy, but as a general sense that there's just something 'off' about the guy. This is what happened with Gore, and what started Kerry down the slide (though he admittedly always succeeded in helping the slide along), and what had Dean branded as "wild-eyed" and "crazy" long before the Scream, never mind that he'd been a perfectly moderate, pragmatic Governor.
The money quote on that one here came, I think, from Blatham, but I cant find it back. It was about the end result not being that regular voters say, "oh, Barack
Hussein Obama, yuck", but that after enough of this nonsense, you'll find people saying something like, "I dont know, I just dont like/trust him".