@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:I wanted to add that I agree with this poster from Openleft -
Quote:But here's the big picture on the Obama-McCain polling. Pollster.com lists 112 polls between the two since Obama captured the Democratic nomination in early June.
http://www.openleft.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=7715
I
was looking at the big picture. That's why I dismissed your arguments about what might all be wrong about this one poll, and referred to how the sites -- like pollster.com, yes -- that tabulate and process
all poll results showed: a) the race having become significantly tighter; and b) the race now being basically a dead heat.
No further conclusions from that -- doesnt mean that, woe is us it's all hopeless; it just means what it says. That the race has tightened and is now very much a horse race.
Then, once you've observed that, you can still argue about various respective "intangibles" that one camp and the other may claim for their side. But noting that the polls are showing a neck-and-neck race right now, not just the one offbeat poll but the average and trend of 'em -- and that they've tightened considerably over the past month -- that shouldnt be controversial. A single look at pollster.com's graph or fivethirtyeight.com's "super tracker" suffices. *shrug*