BernardR wrote:Geroge ob1- I am sure that you know that the main reason that the Hispanic and Muslim Birth rates are high is that they, ( untutored and unlettered folks that they are clinging to superstition) have religious faith and follow the dictates of their religion.
I think it would serve the European nations right to have their cultures extinguished by those who were willing to believe in their faith and reproduce in quantity. Even non-believers know that without reproduction, your personal genes are lost forever.
Some would say-So what. I do not agree.
I don't think the facts supprt your contention here. Low birth rates correlate primarily with economic well-being and (in my view) with the degree to which the society in question rewards competitive behavior. Some of the nominally least secular European states have the lowest birthrates. Religion seems to have little to do with it. Even in Moslem countries that are undergioing economic development, one can observe rapidly falling birth rates.
Overall fertility in the U.S. is about 2.15. Leaving out recent immigrants the rate is about 2.0 - slightly below the rate required for equilibrium. In France and the UK the rates are between 1.8 and 1.9 - not significantly different from the established population in the U.S. Across much of continental Europe, however, the rate is 1.4, and in several countries it is still declining. I believe this, and the ability of these countries to adapt to the assimilation of immigrants are the real issues.
We have these problems in the U.S. as well, However, often after a bit of sound and fury we have repeatedly adapted to it. In many areas of Europe the problem is both more severe and new -- there are as yet no established modes of coping with the changes. I believe that is the problem.