I am pretty surprised by Ecuador, and certainly hope that Uruguay will be on WC as well (Uruguay is my favourite south-american team along with Peru and my all time favourite Venezuela - Venezuela actually isn't that awful anymore!).
As for other teams:
Well...first of all I am pretty sure that south-american team will defeat Australia (hopefully Uruguay), and I agree that Trinidad or Guatemala will defeat Bahrein (although, unless Mexico plays with "B" team or is keen to play easy with friends from Trinidad, I think Guatemala can be fourth).
Europe: Sweden definitely - they need just a draw against weak Iceland to secure spot.
France should be there, however, if Switzerland wins in Ireland, then France has to play playoff games.
As for playoffs, my guess is that teams participating will be:
Czech Republic, Spain, Ireland, Slovakia, Norway (only 100% sure team) and Turkey.
If that happens then Czech Republic, Spain and Turkey are seeds and definitely big favourites except team that will play Ireland.
So, let's say my guess for remaining six spots is:
Sweden, France, Spain, Serbia/Montenegro, Czech Republic and Turkey/Ireland. So we disagree only about Slovakia