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White House repeatedly edited global warming reports

 
 
Scrat
 
  1  
Reply Mon 13 Jun, 2005 08:50 pm
Ah, so you think the government predictions were wrong, and if they are, I'm engaging in "scare tactics". LOL!

Of course, they weren't just talking about gas going up, they were talking about all energy. Yes, gas prices are higher right now than their worst case projections. Given where we are now, the question is whether you would want them between 17 and 83% higher, and whether such an increase over where we are now would help or hinder the economy.

BTW... Just curious, but why the hostility? Seems kind of silly. I'm just offering my opinions here and you seem to be driven to make me cry uncle. I'm sure I'm not the first person to disagree with you, but maybe I can be the first to do so civilly? I do have a basis for my opinions. You disagree. Fair enough. Any reason to make that hostile? I don't see one.
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Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 13 Jun, 2005 11:44 pm
I doubt that it is as much hostitlity as it is a rather sense of wonderment that one could make a serious argument with so little data to actually back it up.

The original topic of this thread was the Bush practice of editing scientists's reports based upon... what exactly? We don't know. Care to discuss the implications of lawyers changing the wording of scientific reports? Or would you care to keep sniping?

Cycloptichorn
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JustanObserver
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 03:50 am
Scrat wrote:
I would think anyone familiar with the reality that global warming theories are just that, and a high school level proficiency in English, would be qualified to do that.



You just spoke volumes. Now I know who I'm dealing with here. And why its pointless to continue with you.


http://img55.echo.cx/img55/609/threadandme1vw.jpg
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parados
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 07:17 am
Scrat wrote:
Ah, so you think the government predictions were wrong, and if they are, I'm engaging in "scare tactics". LOL!

Of course, they weren't just talking about gas going up, they were talking about all energy. Yes, gas prices are higher right now than their worst case projections. Given where we are now, the question is whether you would want them between 17 and 83% higher, and whether such an increase over where we are now would help or hinder the economy.

BTW... Just curious, but why the hostility? Seems kind of silly. I'm just offering my opinions here and you seem to be driven to make me cry uncle. I'm sure I'm not the first person to disagree with you, but maybe I can be the first to do so civilly? I do have a basis for my opinions. You disagree. Fair enough. Any reason to make that hostile? I don't see one.

I don't just think (your interpretation of) the govt predictions from 1997 were wrong. I know they were wrong. It is presently 2005. Energy prices have risen dramatically since 1997. Heating oil has gone from .98 in Oct of 1997 to 2.11 in March of 2005. Gasoline has gone from 1.20 to 2.06. Propane has gone from .95 to 1.72. Natural Gas has almost doubled. I haven't found electrical comparisons through 2005 but they are flat for inflation through 2003. The last 2 years of my electric bills show a higher than inflation increase in kwh of 10% over that time. (Inflation adjustment from 1997 to 2005 is 1.13 so divide second number by 1.13 to get constant dollar comparison) Natural gas and oil products make up almost 50% of our energy in the US. Almost 50% of our energy prices have gone up more than 70% and no huge downturn. We have had one small recession in the time period.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/neic/historic/hpetroleum2.htm

Does increased energy pricing create a drag on the economy. Yes. Does it cause the "HUGE impact" that you keep claiming. Obviously not. You keep using extreme words then trying to back them up with a prediction from 1997 that has proven untrue based on present conditions. You might as well be arguing that the world doesn't exist because a prediction in 1997 said it would end in Dec of 2004. I have no problem with a claim that increased energy costs might cause a .5% loss in economic growth (Which is what I think the eie says in its report.) but I do have a problem with claiming it will cost millions of jobs and create a huge economic downturn. Facts have proved otherwise. Your rhetoric is overblown and scare tactics that deny the reality or in this case even the prediction.

Why do you feel facts are "hostile?"
0 Replies
 
Scrat
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 07:50 am
parados - You are welcome to cherry-pick the facts that suit your point of view. I will continue to look at the big picture. I remain concerned that any large environmental program like Kyoto would be BAD (let's just say "bad") for the economy. I further see no reason in implementing a fix for a problem no one has proved exists nor has proved we're causing.

Those are my opinions. Feel free to flame me all you want for them. :-)
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Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 10:03 am
Shrug. There's no point in flaming you, just no point in talking to someone who willfully ignores the presented information and facts.

You bring up Kyoto again, and again, and again... but the topic isn't the Kyoto treaty. It is the President's lawyers changing what the scientists wrote. Do you bleieve it is right?

Cycloptichorn
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Scrat
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 10:11 am
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Shrug. There's no point in flaming you, just no point in talking to someone who willfully ignores the presented information and facts.

Does that mean you're going to ignore me from now on? :-)

Cycloptichorn wrote:
You bring up Kyoto again, and again, and again... but the topic isn't the Kyoto treaty. It is the President's lawyers changing what the scientists wrote. Do you bleieve it is right?

I guess that's a "no". :-(

To answer your question AGAIN (yes, I've answered it before), YES, I do believe it is valid for a non-scientist to modify the language of a scientific report, when the language of that report consistently misstates the uncertain as certain.

I understand that you disagree with this opinion. Since we both understand each other, let's move on. :-)
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Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 10:21 am
Your argument fails, however, unless you can show why a Lawyer would be considered competent to decide whether the science is certain or uncertain, and whether it is okay for a scientists actual writing and words to be changed by a non-scientist who disagrees with his opinion.

I mean, if that's okay, then there's no point in having scientists write these reports at all. Why not just put whatever the Politicos in charge want and present it as fact? That is no different than what they are doing; and it is harmful to our nation.

You should read up on what they've done to Mercury reports. It's sickening.

Cycloptichorn

ps there is a conclusive link between emissions, CO2 levels and climate instability. Your willful denial of this shows that you really just aren't familiar with the science of the issue, but instead more versed in the politics of the issue.
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Scrat
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 10:49 am
Cyclo - If I pretend to agree with you, will you agree to move on?
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McGentrix
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 10:50 am
I doubt it is uncommon for lawyers to change the verbiage of any "official" report. That's why we have lawyers. To make sure the idiot scientists do not report something as fact when there is no fact in evidence. Also, to "legalese" the report so as to make it official.
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au1929
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 10:56 am
Today's Editorial NY Times


Quote:
Feeling the Heat


Published: June 14, 2005
President Bush has been running from the issue of global warming for four years, but the walls are closing in. Scientists throughout the world are telling him that the rise in atmospheric temperature justifies aggressive action. Arnold Schwarzenegger and other prominent Republicans are telling him to get off the dime. His corporate allies are deserting him. And the Senate is inching closer to endorsing a mandatory cap on greenhouse gas emissions.

A result is that Mr. Bush seems increasingly isolated and his rhetoric of denial increasingly irrational. Last week, a whistleblower asserted that a senior White House official, formerly an oil lobbyist, had changed scientific reports to minimize the climate problem. The official, Philip Cooney, resigned last Friday, although the White House insisted that the embarrassing disclosures had nothing to do with his departure. Whatever the truth, this was hardly the first time Bush officials cooked the books for political ends. It was just this kind of nonsense that persuaded an exasperated Christie Whitman to return to private life.

Out in the real world, hardly anyone denies the importance of the issue anymore. Just over a week ago, Mr. Schwarzenegger pledged to slow, stop and ultimately reverse California's greenhouse gas emissions by requiring big improvements in automobile efficiency and pushing for energy sources other than fossil fuels. "The debate is over," the governor said. "We know the science, we see the threat, and we know the time for action is now."

As if on cue, the National Academy of Sciences and 10 of its counterparts around the world declared that the science of global warming is clear enough to warrant prompt reductions in greenhouse gases. Mainstream scientists have long accepted the link between warming and human activity. What made this statement exceptional was its tone and its timing, coming a month before Mr. Bush and other leaders from the Group of 8 industrialized nations are to meet in Gleneagles, Scotland, where Prime Minister Tony Blair will put climate change near the top of the agenda.

As things stand now, Mr. Bush will be going to that meeting empty-handed, despite Mr. Blair's efforts last week to make him take the issue more seriously. Perhaps the Senate can give him something positive to point to, although it will have to act fast. Three different global warming proposals requiring mandatory controls on carbon dioxide, the main global warming gas, could surface as amendments during the forthcoming debate on the energy bill, scheduled to begin in earnest this week.

One of these, the McCain-Lieberman bill, received a surprising 43 votes in October 2003. That was before the rest of the world began moving toward mandatory controls and before American power companies began to slowly accept that such controls were not only inevitable but also necessary to spur the development of more efficient ways of producing energy.

The results could be better this time. There is speculation that a less ambitious but also less costly bill sponsored by Jeff Bingaman, Democrat of New Mexico, and modeled after proposals from the bipartisan National Commission on Energy Policy, could win a filibuster-proof 60 votes. That may be a long shot. But what is clear is that the warming issue is gaining traction at home and abroad, inspired partly by Mr. Bush's incorrigible stubbornness.
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Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 10:59 am
McG

Quote:
To make sure the idiot scientists do not report something as fact when there is no fact in evidence.


Here's the thing you don't seem to get: Lawyers are not competent to judge which scientific findings are fact and which are not. Especially ones who used to be lobbyists for the Petroleum industry.

Cycloptichorn
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McGentrix
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 11:06 am
Cycloptichorn wrote:
McG

Quote:
To make sure the idiot scientists do not report something as fact when there is no fact in evidence.


Here's the thing you don't seem to get: Lawyers are not competent to judge which scientific findings are fact and which are not. Especially ones who used to be lobbyists for the Petroleum industry.

Cycloptichorn


How do you know? Many people in the petroleum industry have extensive scientific bachgrounds.

I do not believe that in this case the person editing, yes, that's what he was doing, editing and I do not recall editors needing to be experts in the field they edit, just expert editors, needed a science degree. Rather, I believe his law background was more fitting for the job he was doing.
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Scrat
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 11:07 am
More grist for the mill...
http://www.technologyreview.com/articles/04/10/wo_muller101504.asp?p=1

http://www.cnsnews.com/ViewNation.asp?Page=\Nation\archive\200412\NAT20041207a.html

Read. Digest. Discuss. Enjoy. :-)
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au1929
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 11:09 am
McGentrix wrote
Quote:
I doubt it is uncommon for lawyers to change the verbiage of any "official" report.

In this White House apparently it is not.

However, what reason can there be for a layman to change technical data other than to change the reports conclusions. That used to be called lying. That is before this gang came to power. Now you call it "Lawyering' the report.
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Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 11:16 am
Oh, I read all right.

Your first link is pointless, and your second link is pointless. The fact that you can find the occassional scientist who disagrees with the vast body of scientific experience and opinion on the matter does not invalidate that body of opinion, which you wish to ignore because it contradicts your argument.

And I really wouldn't rely on any stories from CNS news in the future if I were you; they are known to fabricate items in order to make more compelling stories, and really is nothing but a right-wing group trying to hide behind a legitimate news service.

McG

I'm sure his law background was far more useful for what he was doing: lying and bending what the SCIENTISTS had written because it didn't fit with the President's agenda.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
McGentrix
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 11:18 am
au1929 wrote:
McGentrix wrote
Quote:
I doubt it is uncommon for lawyers to change the verbiage of any "official" report.

In this White House apparently it is not.

However, what reason can there be for a layman to change technical data other than to change the reports conclusions. That used to be called lying. That is before this gang came to power. Now you call it "Lawyering' the report.


Where did technical data get changed?
0 Replies
 
McGentrix
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 11:23 am
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Oh, I read all right.

Your first link is pointless, and your second link is pointless. The fact that you can find the occassional scientist who disagrees with the vast body of scientific experience and opinion on the matter does not invalidate that body of opinion, which you wish to ignore because it contradicts your argument.

And I really wouldn't rely on any stories from CNS news in the future if I were you; they are known to fabricate items in order to make more compelling stories, and really is nothing but a right-wing group trying to hide behind a legitimate news service.

McG

I'm sure his law background was far more useful for what he was doing: lying and bending what the SCIENTISTS had written because it didn't fit with the President's agenda.

Cycloptichorn


OY! I actually hit my forehead after reading this.

I'd say this discussion with cycloptichorn has just ended.
0 Replies
 
au1929
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 11:28 am
McG
Cooney made handwritten notes on drafts of several reports issued in 2002 and 2003, removing or adjusting language on climate research.

And essentialy changing the scientists conclusions.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Tue 14 Jun, 2005 11:28 am
Scrat wrote:
parados - You are welcome to cherry-pick the facts that suit your point of view. I will continue to look at the big picture. I remain concerned that any large environmental program like Kyoto would be BAD (let's just say "bad") for the economy. I further see no reason in implementing a fix for a problem no one has proved exists nor has proved we're causing.

Those are my opinions. Feel free to flame me all you want for them. :-)


What facts am I cherry picking? I listed every energy source and how it has gone up. The facts are what has happened to energy prices since 1997 and what the results have been.

"Cherry picking" would be your insistance in clinging to your claim that a prediction made in 1997 is what we should rely on while ignoring the facts of what has actually happened. Predictions that have proven false are hardly "facts."

It certainly gives me undertanding of how you can say there is no proof that the problem exists or that we caused it. There is not absolute proof, I agree, but the preponderance of evidence points to it. Global warming does presently exist. Not too many are still denying it. The evidence is overwhelming from thousands of different sources. As to the cause of it, that is a little harder to gauge. The majority of the over 300 computer models of CO2 atmosphere increases show temperature increases similar to or even less than the observed warming. Personally, I prefer to look at all the facts and then let the weight of them help me make my decision.

As for implementing fixes, it could be "bad" or it might be beneficial. Predictions are based solely on what is known at a given time. As the evidence changes the prediction should change or be discarded. Part of the predictions from eie talked about decreased energy usage. Another part talked about the introduction of new types of energy and the increase of non polluting ones.

The problem was you didn't say "bad". You used extreme words to describe the result. I called you on those words because they didn't reflect facts. I'm sorry if you think it is "flaming" when someone provides facts to point out an error in your opinion.
0 Replies
 
 

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