Quote:The growth rate of the 90s was due to the construction of a new infrastructure. The economy boomed when steel was invented, and it boomed when the affordable and useful PC-internet was invented. We were constructing wireless towers, laying T-1 lines, building faster and better PCs and servers and Designing cutting edge software. We also had NAFTA and China as a Most Favored Nation which buttressed inflation.
The answer is to find the next innovation, the next infrastructure. Capitalism has always been fed by innovation. Our time is no different. I believe the new pillar of technology and technological growth will have to be alternative energy (hydrogen as well as fusion). Also, we have privatized space coming online. This area also shows promise.
This isn't going to happen.
You need to realize, Tru, that the recession is happening RIGHT NOW. It won't be long before things start seriously sliding. And that's if the Chinese continue to play nice; if they decide not to, things could get very bad, very fast.
There just isn't an emerging technology that is going to pull us out of our slump this cycle. As far as I can see, there are only a few fields where this could happen right now:
Bioresearch
Space Research
Alternative Fuels
Wireless Telecomm
Nano
All of these technologies have great potential. But they aren't going to do ANYTHING this year, or next year, to help create new jobs or prop our economy up. We have far too many restrictions to be bioresearch leaders; space is a great goal but a long-term one; and the 1 Billion dollars Bush ordered spent on Hydrogen, my friend, is
chump change. The idea of switching to a Hydrogen economy/fuel source is at least ten to fifteen years away before it becomes a practical idea. And he did nothing, nothing at all, for renewable resources such as wind and solar.
On the other hand, the Oil companies got more subsidies, and Exxon-Mobil profits 8
Billion dollars in the first quarter of this year. To say that Bush is doing anything about energy is farcical.
We are facing a real crisis, and we don't have any signs of leadership from the top to pull us out of this crisis.
Cycloptichorn