114
   

Where is the US economy headed?

 
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Fri 2 Dec, 2011 04:50 pm
@cicerone imposter,
You have misunderstood Spendi's post. He offered a hypothetical question, stating it in a way that implied that Cyclo and most others in developed countries may have experienced fewer gains in their standard of living while the economies of Asian nations modernized and took their people out of poverty.

The observable fact is this is approximately what did happen over the last three decades in particular as the economic playing field accross the world has become more and more level, and more of the new growth in the world economy occurred in previously backward and often socialist or centrally controlled economies as they threw off the past practices that had held them back for so long. The inescapable result of that gain was that growth in the developed world slowed a bit relative to them.

It's "READY, AIM, .. FIRE" , not "READY, FIRE, AIM"
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Fri 2 Dec, 2011 05:04 pm
@georgeob1,
spendi wrote,
Quote:
But it doesn't mean the claim is false. Would you be prepared to sacrifice 10% of your standard of living in order to bring another billion out of poverty.

If not you can forget all about being a socialist and admit you're on an envy jag.


spendi asked a direct question, and my response to it was appropriate. Hypothetically, it doesn't make any sense - common sense.
spendius
 
  1  
Reply Fri 2 Dec, 2011 05:29 pm
@cicerone imposter,
You're just flailing about and floundering now that your phoney socialist credentials have been laid out on the dissecting table and studied with a little more attention than you are used to.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Fri 2 Dec, 2011 05:45 pm
@spendius,
spendius wrote:

Quote:
Reported by who? Global media companies and international bankers?


I would guess that that is the case. But it doesn't mean the claim is false. Would you be prepared to sacrifice 10% of your standard of living in order to bring another billion out of poverty.


Of course I would. My standard of living, today, is probably double what it was 7 years ago; and I was happy then. Why wouldn't I be happy now?

I don't think my willingness to sacrifice is incompatible with my belief that international bankers and media tend to 'lift people out of poverty' only as far as it makes them rich to do so. There's no desire whatsoever to better anything other than their bottom lines.

Quote:
If not you can forget all about being a socialist and admit you're on an envy jag.


I still don't understand who I'm supposed to be envious of, in this construction.

Cycloptichorn
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Fri 2 Dec, 2011 05:46 pm
@georgeob1,
georgeob1 wrote:

You have misunderstood Spendi's post. He offered a hypothetical question, stating it in a way that implied that Cyclo and most others in developed countries may have experienced fewer gains in their standard of living while the economies of Asian nations modernized and took their people out of poverty.


Except, they didn't, for the most part. I'll never buy the globalist argument that putting people to work in sweatshops is what we need to do in order to 'improve' their lives.

Cycloptichorn
spendius
 
  1  
Reply Fri 2 Dec, 2011 05:54 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Quote:
I don't think my willingness to sacrifice is incompatible with my belief that international bankers and media tend to 'lift people out of poverty' only as far as it makes them rich to do so.


People in poverty do not give a **** what the motives of those who lifted them out of poverty are.

You had been castigating bankers you know. You had never considered that they might have done some real good.
spendius
 
  1  
Reply Fri 2 Dec, 2011 05:55 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Quote:
I still don't understand who I'm supposed to be envious of, in this construction.


It was suggested as a possible motive now that your socialism has been ruled out.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Fri 2 Dec, 2011 05:59 pm
@spendius,
spendius wrote:

Quote:
I don't think my willingness to sacrifice is incompatible with my belief that international bankers and media tend to 'lift people out of poverty' only as far as it makes them rich to do so.


People in poverty do not give a **** what the motives of those who lifted them out of poverty are.

You had been castigating bankers you know. You had never considered that they might have done some real good.


See my post above the one I'm replying to.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Fri 2 Dec, 2011 05:59 pm
@spendius,
spendius wrote:

Quote:
I still don't understand who I'm supposed to be envious of, in this construction.


It was suggested as a possible motive now that your socialism has been ruled out.


Motive for what? Your posts are indeed so inscrutable that I am forced to ask.

Cycloptichorn
spendius
 
  0  
Reply Fri 2 Dec, 2011 06:05 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Perhaps George has the patience to explain it for you Cyclo. I haven't.
cicerone imposter
 
  2  
Reply Fri 2 Dec, 2011 06:20 pm
@spendius,
How did you determine that I'm a "socialist?"

You are welcome to cut and paste from any of my posts.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Fri 2 Dec, 2011 06:23 pm
@spendius,
spendi, Do you have a bank account? If you do, and you still don't understand how they've been screwing you, you're hopeless!
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Fri 2 Dec, 2011 06:24 pm
@spendius,
It has nothing to do with georgeob's patience, and everything to do with your inability to explain it yourself.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Fri 2 Dec, 2011 07:44 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:

Except, they didn't, for the most part. I'll never buy the globalist argument that putting people to work in sweatshops is what we need to do in order to 'improve' their lives.

Cycloptichorn


Well, I've travelled to China twice now during the past five years (after previous trips a decade earlier) and wached the changes evolve in Guangzhu (near Hong Kong), up to Shanghai & Nanjing and farther north to Beijing - the Chinese certainly appear drawn to the cities with their factories and sweatshops and enjoying the vastly greater prosperity it has brought them. The changes from the mid 1990s to the current decade have been vivid and dramatic. In industry after industry, they are quickly passing from imitating foreign products in sweatshops to modern contemporary automated processes, imitating an evolution the industrial West did over the past century and a half, and on a highly compressed timeline. They've got their own problems with environmental issues and 'too-big-to-fail' government-controlled corporations; and it turns out that centrally planned economies are just as prone to boom-bust cycles as those based on private enterprise. However all appear to be optimistically enjoying the transformation.

This was more or less how Singapore emerged from very serious poverty in the decades immediately after WWII, starting with sweatshops and continuing on to financial and entrepreneurial management of large enterprises.

I don't see the basis for your criticisms of it at all. "We" didn't put the Asiuans in sweatshops - they sought it themselves, and used it as a steppingstone to transform their economies and improve their lives. That too is also more or less how we and Europe developed our economies. Such transformations are not accomplished in a single step anywhere.
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Fri 2 Dec, 2011 07:52 pm
@georgeob1,
Excellent points; economies grow through stages, and not by leaps and bounds. China's growth is fast and dramatic, but as you said, they are destroying their own environment to accomplish their goals. One-third of all their rivers are now polluted, and to reverse them will be a herculean job. Many are getting sick and dying in their factories, and their incomes are not all that great.

Their big problem now is the huge debt their banks are holding, their inflated valuation of real estate, and the slowing down of their economy.

I don't see much positives in China at the rate they're growing and destroying their own country's economy and environment.

georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Fri 2 Dec, 2011 08:31 pm
@cicerone imposter,
Well the lesson we learned here was that the cleanup from our early industrial excesses wasn't nearly as difficult or expensive as the early forecasters suggested, I suspect the same will be true in China. Beijing certainly has a very serious air pollution problem - an apparent result of extensive use of low heating value coal in often crude heat engines serving large numbers of small factories and, as well, local climactic conditions. It's something like that in London during the 1950s (or Los Angeles during the 1970s). However they are building numerous nuclear power plants, expanding their currently limited gas infrastructure and improving the distributions systems for electrical power at a rapid pace.

In due course they will limit plant & urban discharges into rivers toi address that aspect of the problem. I have a feeling that they are well aware of the tradeoffs they have made between wealth creation and the environment and believe they have, for the most part made the right choices. When you are shivering in a cold, dark hovel, its hard to focus on the environmental damage that a warm coal fire might yield. However, as they get richer, they are likely to focus more on the environmental issues - just as we did. Right now they are in a hurry to escape poverty and I don't fault them for that.

In this area as well I believe they are following a similar path as the one we did, but on a highly compressed time line. That is something I believe we should keep in mind as we criticize them for actions we also took in analogous circumstances.
0 Replies
 
revelette
 
  1  
Reply Sat 3 Dec, 2011 08:09 am
@spendius,
Quote:
The U.S. Treasury Department is investigating whether Bank of America, Wells Fargo and eight other major banks may have illegally foreclosed on 4,500 active-duty servicemen and women.

Bank of America has agreed to review more than 2,400 foreclosures of homeowners who indicated they were eligible for relief under a federal law called the Servicemembers Civil Relief Act, according to the Treasury's Office of the Comptroller of the Currency.

Wells Fargo has agreed to review 871 foreclosures of homeowners who indicated they were eligible under the act. The law is intended to postpone or suspend certain civil obligations to allow active-duty service members to devote their full attention to their military duty.

The other banks being investigated are Aurora Bank, Citibank, EverBank, HSBC, MetLife Bank, OneWest, Sovereign and U.S. Bank.

Rep. Brad Miller, D-N.C., called the alleged improper foreclosures a "flagrant disregard for a law that has been on the books continuously since the First World War."

"If you're wearing the nation's uniform, if you're deployed in harm's way in service of your country, you should be able to focus your entire energy to our nation's service without worrying what's happening in a courthouse back home," Miller said.

The review is part of a larger examination that the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency is conducting on 4 million borrowers who may have been improperly foreclosed on in 2009 and 2010.


source



revelette
 
  1  
Reply Sat 3 Dec, 2011 08:23 am
@Cycloptichorn,
There is a good article from a blogger on this fannie mae stuff

here.

excerpt:

Quote:
This isn't to say the GSEs get off Scott-free, not by a long-shot, they were as deep into the greed machine as the next guy and deserve some serious jail time along with many others, in my opinion. Okay, then why weren't they solelyresponsible like the Conservatives said? They controlled most of the secondary mortgage market didn't they? Well, no, not really, not of the sub-prime market where the vast majority of the toxic mortgages were. The real TRUTH is that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, contrary to what Mr. Wallison claims and once Wall Street got into the act, at their worst owned only 40% of the sub-prime market, that was in 2004. By 2008, they were down to 28%. Further, those that the GSEs did own were of better quality than those that Wall Street owned! The Commission found that by 2008, when comparing a subset of borrowers with credit scores of 660 or lower, the non-GSE institutions were suffering an astounding 28% serious delinquency rate while the Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae were facing a much more manageable 6%!Doesn't that make you wonder exactly what the Conservatives were looking at to base their accusations on? This is the comparitive analysis that suggested was missing in Mr. Wallison's dissent.

There is no question that the GSEs added "helium" to the bubble, as the Commission phrased it, but it wasn't the "foundation" of it as Mr. Wallison asserts. There is no question the GSEs were guilty of the same unethical business practices as Wall Street. There is no question that the GSEs were part of the problem. But - there is also no question that Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, as the Commission concluded, was even close to being the cause of the financial crisis as the Conservatives so loudly and frequently claim.

The Conservatives also claimed that in conjunction with the GSE, the Liberal programs of getting low income people into home ownership was also responsible for the financial crisis. Once again, the Conservatives have the numbers against them, once again the Conservatives are wrong. These low and middle income programs come under an initiative called the Community Reinvestment Act of 1977 that was designed to prevent discrimination by "redlining" by banks; something the Conservatives deny was happening and even if it was, it shouldn't be regulated by the government. The statistic that stops the Conservatives in their tracks here is that only 6% of the sub-prime mortgages had anyconnection to this Act. Again, this is in complete disagreement with what Mr. Wallison tells us the Conservatives believe is the truth. His problem again is that there was no comparative data presented to substantiate his position that I could find.



National Commission on the Causes of the Financial and Economic Crisis in the United States
GET THE REPORT

CONCLUSIONS
spendius
 
  0  
Reply Sat 3 Dec, 2011 10:11 am
@revelette,
What's that supposed to mean revel? Most of the millions of poverty stricken would be only too glad to be foreclosed on in the conditions of those examples which won't be getting foreclosed if they have the law on their side as is right it should be.
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Sat 3 Dec, 2011 11:39 am
@revelette,
An excellent report that poo-poos the conservative meme of the past couple of years blaming freddie and fannie on the financial crisis. ican was one of them, and supported by other conservatives on these boards - even when some of us proved them wrong through other facts - including the derivatives created by banks they repackaged at higher values that wasn't there.

Thanks for posting this report, because according to today's newspaper, California has 30% and Florida has 56% of homeowners underwater. In other words, our economy is still suffering from this debacle. All while conservatives continue to try to blame the democrats for this Great Recession.

Also, at one time, the richest of Americans paid over 70% in taxes when our economy did much better, and the conservatives now want to make sure they pay much less as our deficit grows.


 

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