114
   

Where is the US economy headed?

 
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  0  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 04:14 pm
@slkshock7,
slkshock7 wrote:

Cyclo, et.al.,
This is exactly my original point. We can all spend endless cycles debating how we got into this mess we're in. And I'm confident both sides of the argument can pull out reams of data to support their particular position of why they're right and the other guy is wrong.


Sorry, but this false equivalence is bullshit. I can provide the reams of data to support my argument. I'm betting that you cannot, because the truth is that there has been no crazy spending spree since Obama took office - despite what you and others claim.

Quote:
But what good does it to do so? So you convince me and I become a keynesian democrat. After all that bluster and debate, have we got even one inch closer to fixing our S&P credit rating?


Is that what you think we're doing here? Laughing

I think if enough people realize how hollow and false the entire GOP position on the economy is, then we will have gone a long, long way towards solving our problems. I used to think that the Republicans had a valid point in a lot of ways, but I've given that up, because the truth is that their position is completely hollow and their leaders are either shameless liars or credulous fools. They don't give two shits how our economy performs, as long as taxes on the rich and corporations stay low. That's all they care about. It's not a valid way to run a country.

Quote:
It is now time to get serious about this whole debate. Repubs have got the Ryan plan (or the Cut & Balance bill)..... Now the Dems need to put their own plan on the table. It will probably be only an opening gambit with few (if any) cuts to entitlements, but that's OK. At least folks can begin to identify trade space and where they can agree or disagree.


The Ryan 'plan' isn't a plan. The numbers literally don't add up. It's just another way of cutting taxes for the rich and corporations.

Truly - the thing axes Medicare specifically to fund tax cuts for the rich. Not a serious economic policy in any way; it's not even a starting point. However, us Dems are going to hang it right around your necks last cycle and hopefully choke the **** out of you with it, because the truth is that it's highly unpopular; the country does not support what your party says needs to be done. Polling is pretty clear on this issue.

Quote:
This is what the public expects to see from Congress...not the spectacle of one side tossing out plans that the other simply ridicules or refuses to bring up for debate, while simultaneously failing to provide an alternative. If Dems (or Repubs) play such games they deserve to be unemployed next Nov.


I guarantee you that I will be working as hard as possible to unseat every single Republican I can next Nov., so hopefully, you'll get half your wish.

We can't have an honest negotiation when two things are present:

1, the leader of your party can't even say the word 'compromise.' His and Cantor's behavior has been shameful.

2, we can't have a negotiation when one party refuses to accept basic facts of history and reality, and constantly lies, which is exactly what your leaders do.

Sorry if that doesn't seem like we're working together enough. I think the Republicans made it clear that they have no intention of working on any compromise. Even right off the bat, they've declared that the representatives they send to the new committee will accept NO tax increases of any kind. It's just not a serious position.

So I've given up on them. My only consolation is that more and more Americans seem to agree with me. The 'tea party' has watched it's approval ratings tank over the last few months, along with Boehner and the Republicans in Congress. Hopefully we can retake the House and get rid of this bullshit completely by removing the fools and terrorist-wannabees who make up your caucus.

Cycloptichorn
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 04:20 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Your defenses are getting noticably thin, with an ever highrer ratio of bombast to meaningful content,even compared to your usual norms. I also detect a whiff of fear in therm. That's a good sign - it indicates some remaining hold on readily observable reality on your part.

However, it is still a shame that you don't ask for equivalent levels of detail and objectivity from the various blogs that appear to substitute for independent thought on your part.
hawkeye10
 
  -2  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 04:20 pm
Gold breaks $1720.

That is all.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 04:30 pm
@georgeob1,
georgeob1 wrote:

Your defenses are getting noticably thin, with an ever highrer ratio of bombast to meaningful content,even compared to your usual norms. I also detect a whiff of fear in therm. That's a good sign - it indicates some remaining hold on readily observable reality on your part.


And yet, you can name no specific regulations.

I was completely right about you - you have done no real research on any of this at all. Right?

There's an easy way to shut me up, yaknow. Prove me wrong by providing the specific regulations that you claim are so onerous, they are slowing our economy. I'm now 100% sure that you will be unable to do so, because you don't know.

I've dealt with bullies and stuffed-shirts my whole life, George; you think I can't tell when someone is trying to bluff their way through something? C'mon. Just admit that you don't know **** about what the new regulations require.

Quote:
However, it is still a shame that you don't ask for equivalent levels of detail and objectivity from the various blogs that appear to substitute for independent thought on your part.


It's quite clear that you didn't arrive at YOUR opinions independently, George; you can't even describe any of the points you say are so important in any detail at all. You did no analysis on your own. You relied on someone else - likely something akin to the WSJ editorial page - to do your analysis for you. And when you are questioned on specific points, you are unable to provide any specific answers on what led to your beliefs at all.

So, I think the appropriate response here is: how highly ironic of you to state this.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
slkshock7
 
  0  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 04:43 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cyclo wrote:
....the truth is that there has been no crazy spending spree since Obama took office - despite what you and others claim.


Obama has certainly advocated his share of spending, especially in his one attempt at putting a budget on the table.....luckily he was evidently the only one that suffered under the delusion that his budget was any good. However, I'm talking about Dem-advocated spending, not just Obama.

Quote:
They don't give two shits how our economy performs, as long as taxes on the rich and corporations stay low. That's all they care about. It's not a valid way to run a country.


Neither do the Dems...all they care about is winning the next election by giving away enough goodies that people vote for them.

Quote:
The Ryan 'plan' isn't a plan. The numbers literally don't add up. It's just another way of cutting taxes for the rich and corporations.

Truly - the thing axes Medicare specifically to fund tax cuts for the rich. Not a serious economic policy in any way; it's not even a starting point. However, us Dems are going to hang it right around your necks last cycle and hopefully choke the **** out of you with it, because the truth is that it's highly unpopular; the country does not support what your party says needs to be done. Polling is pretty clear on this issue.


The Ryan Plan is unpopular because it actually tries to solve the problem of entitlement reform. If and when the Dems ever put a realistic entitlement reform plan on the table, it will be likely be just as unpopular. I hope I'm wrong...I'd love to see a plan that keeps everyone happy, but I live in the real world.

Quote:
So I've given up on them. My only consolation is that more and more Americans seem to agree with me. The 'tea party' has watched it's approval ratings tank over the last few months, along with Boehner and the Republicans in Congress.


And my consolation is that the approval ratings of Obama and Dems in Congress continue to fall as well. This means favorable hunting season for incumbents of all flavors...but the Dems are the more "target-rich" environment in 2012.


Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 04:49 pm
The New York Times reports that today's plunge in the Dow is a market reaction to the credit downgrade. Does anyone understand how this theory makes sense? Investors are getting out of stocks and, if anything, into long-term bonds. (Bloomberg reports slightly higher prices and slightly lower yields for US Treasury bonds.) If Standard and Poors scared investors about an insolvent US government, why are investors buying rather than selling the US government's debt?
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 04:54 pm
@slkshock7,
Quote:
The Ryan Plan is unpopular because it actually tries to solve the problem of entitlement reform. If and when the Dems ever put a realistic entitlement reform plan on the table, it will be likely be just as unpopular. I hope I'm wrong...I'd love to see a plan that keeps everyone happy, but I live in the real world.


The Ryan 'plan' solves the problem by simply paying for less and less every year, no matter how high the costs go. For real; read it yourself. It doesn't solve any problem; it merely ignores the problem and declares it to be solved.

That's a non-starter on every level.

Quote:
And my consolation is that the approval ratings of Obama and Dems in Congress continue to fall as well.


No, they really aren't. Obama's ratings are stable and he was rated higher than the GOP in every single economic category revolving around the financial crisis.

Cycloptichorn
hawkeye10
 
  -2  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 04:54 pm
@Thomas,
Thomas wrote:

The New York Times reports that today's plunge in the Dow is a market reaction to the credit downgrade. Does anyone understand how this theory makes sense? Investors are getting out of stocks and, if anything, into long-term bonds. (Bloomberg reports slightly higher prices and slightly lower yields for US Treasury bonds.) If Standard and Poors scared investors about an insolvent US government, why are investors buying rather than selling the US government's debt?
Even the corporate class elites now agree that Washington does not work. This is bad for business, better to hold on to cash or near cash instruments (solid government bonds or gold) until and unless the inflation hits. There is no confidence in Washington and thus the economy, so those with the money are headed for the exits.


EDIT: The relentless driving up of the price of gold that I have been highlighting shows the retreat of the capitalists from the markets, but it has been widely reported for weeks that practically no one is interested in buying into the equity markets, this was known even before the prices started crashing. The big money men are in effect putting all of their money under their mattresses.
0 Replies
 
hawkeye10
 
  -1  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 05:19 pm
2011-2020: Decade of U.S. Economic Hell

by Paul B. Farrell


Quote:
More bad news for 'America's Worst Decade
Next decade? Toxic politics promises to make economic matters much worse than even today.

"The U.S. economy appears to be coming apart at the seams," warned Columbia Professor Robert Lieberman earlier this year in "Foreign Affairs."

Now, over at "Foreign Policy" magazine, Josh Rogin warns: "This Fight Ain't Over: Think the debt ceiling gridlock was ugly? Congress is just getting warmed up. Here are eight more foreign-policy battles right around the corner" when they get back to sinking the economic recovery even deeper this fall.

All punctuated last week by S&P's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating, as well as the one-day 513-point market drop into a double-dip recession.

Another "Foreign Policy" expert, James Taub, warns of what the "debt-ceiling deal tells us about the Tea Party's grim vision of American power."

A disaster ahead, Taub writes: "All Guns, No Butter ... depleting the national treasury to pay for the military ... when many Americans want to reduce the role of government at home and especially abroad, the debt deal just concluded is likely to preserve the country's hypertrophied defense budget, at least if congressional Republicans get their way."

And Mitch McConnell, the GOP's Darth Vader, is doing just that, doubling down on his vow to make certain Obama is a one-term president, intentionally ignoring the collateral damage, killing economic recovery.

How? Ol' Mitch is already sabotaging the new Congressional "Debt Super-Committee," vowing to appoint only Republicans who have signed Grover Norquist's "no new taxes" pledge.

Expect more deadlocks as economists warn that recovery is impossible without new revenues.

But it's beyond toxic non-democratic pledges. America really is "coming apart at the seams." Both parties: Dems for lack of strong leadership. The GOP and the Tea Party with their bizarre Shumpeterian conviction that destroying the economy is the only way to save America and pave the way for a revival of their anarchistic free market Reaganomics.

Political Wars Sabotage Economy

Yes folks, our politicians really are out of control, utterly unable to manage the economy. They're irrational, and worse, clueless and myopic in economics. No surprise the market crashed 513 points one day last week.

Nor that pundits are pointing to high tech multiples, warning of a new dot-com crash and double-dip recession. Warning of a collapse in commodities, in emerging markets and endless debt problems for Europe.

Warning, in short, that we're headed into a perfect storm rivaling the disastrous political insanity of the 1930s that prolonged the depression, driving the economy into far reaching global problems that added fuel to an irrational zeitgeist and world war. And more

http://finance.yahoo.com/banking-budgeting/article/113269/decade-us-economic-hell-marketwatch;_ylt=Am_z_NWyFfmjJXttndsm1kO7YWsA;_ylu=X3oDMTFhdWIwdjVwBHBvcwM1BHNlYwNzcGVjaWFsRmVhdHVyZXMEc2xrAzIwMTEtMjAyMGRlYw--?mod=bb-budgeting

Paul Farrell writes the column on behavioral economics. He's the author of nine books on personal finance, economics and psychology, including "The Millionaire Code," "The Winning Portfolio," "The Lazy Person's Guide to Investing." Farrell was an investment banker with Morgan Stanley; executive vice president of the Financial News Network; executive vice president of Mercury Entertainment Corp; and associate editor of the Los Angeles Herald Examiner. He has a Juris Doctor and a Doctorate in Psychology
0 Replies
 
slkshock7
 
  1  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 05:23 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cyclo wrote:
No, they really aren't. Obama's ratings are stable and he was rated higher than the GOP in every single economic category revolving around the financial crisis.


Too bad Obama isn't likely to face "the GOP" in 2012. As long as he's below 50% approval you should worry....

Cycloptichorn
 
  0  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 05:27 pm
@slkshock7,
slkshock7 wrote:

Cyclo wrote:
No, they really aren't. Obama's ratings are stable and he was rated higher than the GOP in every single economic category revolving around the financial crisis.


Too bad Obama isn't likely to face "the GOP" in 2012. As long as he's below 50% approval you should worry....


I'm not tap-dancing on the future graves of my opponents, if that's what you mean. But nobody you guys have on deck is a serious challenge to Obama, and you know it.

I mean, let's be clear here. Perry; Bachmann; Romney. None of these guys are winners. They all have significant issues which either make them unacceptable to your base, or unacceptable to the moderates of the country. All three have poor economic records and I daresay religious issues.

I would also point out that the gravest problem for your side are governors such as Kasich and Scott in FL; they are turning people from the GOP in droves, and it's hard to see how a Republican is going to win the presidency without winning both OH and FL.

Cycloptichorn
spendius
 
  1  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 05:32 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
The dire state of the Republican party doesn't make the Democrats any better. It's the difference between a ton of **** and two tons.
Cycloptichorn
 
  0  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 05:45 pm
@spendius,
spendius wrote:

The dire state of the Republican party doesn't make the Democrats any better. It's the difference between a ton of **** and two tons.


Can't disagree with you there.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
maporsche
 
  1  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 07:11 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
I'm personally thrilled at the downgrade and subsequent sell off...regardless what it does to my portfolio.
0 Replies
 
hawkeye10
 
  -1  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 07:30 pm
Gold breaks $1730.

That is all.
hawkeye10
 
  0  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 07:34 pm
@hawkeye10,
FYI the Futures currently having the US markets dumping another 1.25%-1.6% tomorrow. No relief is in sight.
maporsche
 
  1  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 07:37 pm
@hawkeye10,
I'm quite relieved.
hawkeye10
 
  -1  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 07:44 pm
@maporsche,
maporsche wrote:

I'm quite relieved.
I am not, but I am right...I have been talking down the global economy as well as the structural soundness of the global financial system for some time...SET has taken to calling me "chicken little" just as he used to call me "rapist boy". He is massively wrong, yet again.
0 Replies
 
hawkeye10
 
  -1  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 07:45 pm
Gold easily breaks $1740.

That is all.
0 Replies
 
hawkeye10
 
  0  
Reply Mon 8 Aug, 2011 08:22 pm
FYI the Asian markets are currently down 2.3%- 7% . The NIKKEI is down 4.5%
0 Replies
 
 

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