114
   

Where is the US economy headed?

 
 
BillW
 
  2  
Reply Thu 16 Dec, 2010 12:41 pm
@okie,
coming from a totally dumb person, that has to be judged a compliment - thank you!
0 Replies
 
Advocate
 
  3  
Reply Thu 16 Dec, 2010 03:31 pm
It’s Beginning to Look a Lot Like Oligarchy

By Leo Gerard

December 16, 2010 - 10:06am ET


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


It’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas
Ev’rywhere you go;
Take a look in Tiffany’s store, glistening once again
With Wall Street bonus trinkets all aglow.
It’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas
Art flies from Christie’s.
But the amazing sight to see is the tax cut guarantee
For the most wealthy.

Hedge funders content, still paying 15 percent
Is the wish of Boehner and Mitch.
Help these hurt least by financial crises
Is the Chamber of Commerce pitch.
And the GOP and Tea Party can’t wait for Congress’ new session.

It’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas
Ev’rywhere you go.
There’s treats in the tax break deal for all the very well-heeled:
Estate tax gifts for billionaires, you know?
It’s beginning to look like oligarchy
Secret campaign gifts
Give scions power in Congress halls to force jumps to all their calls,
Always good and swift.


It’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas
If you’re doing drugs.
Look at unemployed stats; foreclosures still roaring fast,
‘merican dreams and life savings both mugged.
It’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas:
Food bank grocery lists.
The only break the unemployed see is 13-month’s reprieve
jobless benefits.

Aid and career counselors for jobless 99ers
Was the wish of Bernie and friends;
Help through COLAs for veterans and grandmas;
Was the hope of liberal House Dems;
Both crushed, progressives now all dread Congress’ new session.

It’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas
Ev’rywhere you go.
There is a poisonous pill slipped into the tax cut deal:
Robbing Social Security, oh no!
It’s beginning to look like oligarchy.
Soon budget cuts will start
And the thing that will make them sting is the knowledge that you bring
Of the pain they’ll impart.


It’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas
Everywhere you go.
Take a look in Congress Hall, middle class badly mauled,
By demands from Republicans, you know?
It’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas;
Debts are racking up;
To help jobless 15 million, the bill’s $900 billion
-- With the wealthy’s cut.

A steady job with good pay, health benefits to stay
Is the wish of the middle class.
A good economy; hope, security
Are the goals of the working class.
But they know Congress handles their concerns very last.

It’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas
Ev’rywhere you go;
No money for construction or local government bond funds.
The stimulus will be much too low, so
It’s beginning to look like oligarchy;
Shake hard workers down
And give to the wealthy few, untrue to the red, white and blue,
Their greed has no bounds.

-- ourfuture.org
ican711nm
 
  -2  
Reply Thu 16 Dec, 2010 03:59 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
ican wrote:
As businesses get more profitable, they hire more employees in order to get even richer.

Cycloptichorn wrote:
This is a false assumption not reflected by reality. Many businesses get FAR richer, and their investors get richer, while NOT hiring more employees.

The last two years have proven this to be completely true. Business profits have risen, in some cases tremendously, all while shedding employees at a great rate. The business owners and investors are profiting and seeing their profits rise with no corresponding rise in jobs for 'everyone else.'

I predict you will have no good response to this fact.

I predict you will have no good evidence to support your claim that my claim "is a false assumption not reflected by reality. Many businesses get FAR richer, and their investors get richer, while NOT hiring more employees."
.
roger
 
  0  
Reply Thu 16 Dec, 2010 04:44 pm
@Advocate,
That's cute, Advocate. Very cute, in fact. Now, keep in mind which party has majorities in both House and Senate, and the party to which the president belongs. Any questions?
cicerone imposter
 
  2  
Reply Thu 16 Dec, 2010 05:00 pm
@roger,
It seems that the general public now views Obama right of center. Explains a lot.
H2O MAN
 
  -3  
Reply Thu 16 Dec, 2010 06:36 pm
@cicerone imposter,
Don't believe what Obama media talking points, the vast majority of Americans see Obama as a left wing radical.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 16 Dec, 2010 07:08 pm
@ican711nm,
Quote:
I predict you will have no good evidence to support your claim that my claim "is a false assumption not reflected by reality. Many businesses get FAR richer, and their investors get richer, while NOT hiring more employees."
.


2009 and 2010 were years in which American corporations saw record profits and have scads of cash on hand - more than they have ever had. At the same time, jobs have been shed at a tremendous rate. That's pretty good evidence that your claim is false.

Cycloptichorn
okie
 
  -1  
Reply Thu 16 Dec, 2010 07:44 pm
@parados,
parados wrote:
okie wrote:
Its time you pay your fair share, pom. People are fed up with your attitude of gimme gimme gimme and gimme some more.
How about we change the tax system in the US to one based on property? We simply take at the rate of 5% of everyone's wealth. Does that sound fair to you okie?
Obviously not, it is not fair, and it is not constitutional either.
Quote:
That would mean the top 1% would pay 90% of the taxes. Fairness is equality, isn't it okie?
Karl Marx thought equality of wealth was fairness, so that puts you into elite company, parados. I don't happen to join you in that camp, but perhaps Obama would keep you company?
Quote:
Tax everyone at the same rate.
That would be a wealth tax, not an income tax, parados. I doubt that would fly, especially with folks like George Soros. Actually Soros is not at the top, he is only worth maybe 14 billion, so we could only get maybe 700 million out of him if we taxed him a paltry 5% of his wealth. However, we might get 4 billion out of the Walton family, 2 billion out of Warren Buffett, and 2.5 billion out of Bill Gates.

Just think, at that rate, the government could break every citizen of the country completely after about 20 or 30 years. What a wonderful plan you have there, parados!! We could all be equally miserable, just like they are in Cuba or North Korea. Where do you learn such wisdom?
plainoldme
 
  1  
Reply Thu 16 Dec, 2010 09:24 pm
@cicerone imposter,
It's true that American benefits are nothing like the benefits so many other countries offer. It is also true that the American many are supporting an all consuming few: the top 1%.
okie
 
  0  
Reply Thu 16 Dec, 2010 09:28 pm
@plainoldme,
plainoldme wrote:
It is also true that the American many are supporting an all consuming few: the top 1%.
Huh????
MontereyJack
 
  3  
Reply Fri 17 Dec, 2010 02:37 am
I'm not sure that "supporting" is the word I'd have used, but pom is certainly right that the top 1% are kind of sucking the air out of the rest of us:

Quote:

Two-thirds of the nation’s total income gains from 2002 to 2007 flowed to the top 1 percent of U.S. households, and that top 1 percent held a larger share of income in 2007 than at any time since 1928, according to an analysis of newly released IRS data by economists Thomas Piketty and Emmanuel Saez.[1]

During those years, the Piketty-Saez data also show, the inflation-adjusted income of the top 1 percent of households grew more than ten times faster than the income of the bottom 90 percent of households.

http://www.cbpp.org/cms/index.cfm?fa=view&id=2908

cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Fri 17 Dec, 2010 03:06 am
@okie,
okie, Look in the mirror; it's you!
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Fri 17 Dec, 2010 10:44 am
@okie,
okie wrote:

parados wrote:
okie wrote:
Its time you pay your fair share, pom. People are fed up with your attitude of gimme gimme gimme and gimme some more.
How about we change the tax system in the US to one based on property? We simply take at the rate of 5% of everyone's wealth. Does that sound fair to you okie?
Obviously not, it is not fair, and it is not constitutional either.
So, you think a tax rate that is applied equally to everyone isn't fair? Huh.. So you want the tax rate to be progressive then or do you prefer one that is even more regressive?

How is it unconstitutional? Can you point out which part of the Constitution prohibits tax on wealth? Estate taxes are based on the value of the estate which would be wealth and clearly they are constitutional.
Quote:

Quote:
That would mean the top 1% would pay 90% of the taxes. Fairness is equality, isn't it okie?
Karl Marx thought equality of wealth was fairness, so that puts you into elite company, parados. I don't happen to join you in that camp, but perhaps Obama would keep you company?
I never said that everyone should have the same wealth. I said they should pay the same percent of their wealth in taxes. Someone that has $100 in wealth would pay $5 and someone that has $1,000,000,000 in wealth would pay $5,000,000. That would not make the 2 people equal in wealth. It would only mean they paid an equal percentage of their wealth. The elephant you seem to want to avoid okie (or perhaps you just missed it) is that the top 1% have 90% of the wealth in the US.

Quote:

Quote:
Tax everyone at the same rate.
That would be a wealth tax, not an income tax, parados.
DUH.. that's what I said.

Quote:
I doubt that would fly, especially with folks like George Soros. Actually Soros is not at the top, he is only worth maybe 14 billion, so we could only get maybe 700 million out of him if we taxed him a paltry 5% of his wealth. However, we might get 4 billion out of the Walton family, 2 billion out of Warren Buffett, and 2.5 billion out of Bill Gates.
So you are siding with Soros on the issue okie? I guess that makes you a socialist then.

Quote:

Just think, at that rate, the government could break every citizen of the country completely after about 20 or 30 years. What a wonderful plan you have there, parados!! We could all be equally miserable, just like they are in Cuba or North Korea. Where do you learn such wisdom?
ROFLMAO.. You don't seem to understand basic math here okie. No one would go broke using that system. If a person never made a single dollar and had $100 or $1,000,000,000 to start with, in 100 years they would NOT have zero dollars. Losing 5% of total wealth at the end of each year while never earning a dime, a person that started with $1,000,000,000 would still have $8,000,000 after 50 years. Of course if you have $1,000,000,000 you only need to earn 5% interest to have the same dollar amount forever. If you earn 8% which is the average return on the Stock market you would have $4,380,000,000 after 50 years.

I learned my "wisdom" in algebra class okie. Where did you learn your idiocy?
H2O MAN
 
  -2  
Reply Fri 17 Dec, 2010 03:30 pm


Conservatives and the T.E.A. party scored a few key political victories for Americans this week.

Congratulations!
okie
 
  0  
Reply Fri 17 Dec, 2010 04:16 pm
@MontereyJack,
MontereyJack wrote:
I'm not sure that "supporting" is the word I'd have used, but pom is certainly right that the top 1% are kind of sucking the air out of the rest of us:
If that wasn't so downright dumb, it would be funny.
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  0  
Reply Fri 17 Dec, 2010 04:53 pm
@parados,
parados wrote:
..... Someone that has $100 in wealth would pay $5 and someone that has $1,000,000,000 in wealth would pay $5,000,000. That would not make the 2 people equal in wealth. It would only mean they paid an equal percentage of their wealth. The elephant you seem to want to avoid okie (or perhaps you just missed it) is that the top 1% have 90% of the wealth in the US.
.....
ROFLMAO.. You don't seem to understand basic math here okie. No one would go broke using that system. If a person never made a single dollar and had $100 or $1,000,000,000 to start with, in 100 years they would NOT have zero dollars. Losing 5% of total wealth at the end of each year while never earning a dime, a person that started with $1,000,000,000 would still have $8,000,000 after 50 years. Of course if you have $1,000,000,000 you only need to earn 5% interest to have the same dollar amount forever. If you earn 8% which is the average return on the Stock market you would have $4,380,000,000 after 50 years.

I learned my "wisdom" in algebra class okie. Where did you learn your idiocy?
I suggest you retake the math classes, parados. In the first place, 5% of 1 billion is 50 million, not 5 million as you claim.
Secondly, you cannot assume people can earn 5% on their wealth, because some of the wealth might even decline in value because of bad investments,inflation, depreciation, and other factors.

Even assuming the wealth stayed static in value, the 5% annual tax would render $100 to be worth about $77 after 5 years, about $60 after 10 years, about $36 after 20 years, about $13 after 40 years, and less than $8 after 50 years. That would not make you completely broke, but pretty close to it.

Obviously it should not take a rocket scientist to figure out that if some of ones wealth is in real estate, or perhaps in a business, pretty soon you would have to sell the real estate, perhaps your home, or a business, to pay the wealth tax. Some of your ideas are pretty stupid, parados, but your wealth tax has to be one of the stupidest ones ever.
cicerone imposter
 
  2  
Reply Fri 17 Dec, 2010 05:05 pm
@okie,
okie, Your assumptions are all wrong! If anybody has $100 to begin with, there isn't going to be any depreciation of value, because they'd have to buy food to live.

On the other hand, the person who has $5 million isn't some fool who will end up "broke" as you surmise. If they have $5 million today, it tells me he/she knows how to make money and/or invest properly.

You're no rocket scientist.

parados
 
  1  
Reply Fri 17 Dec, 2010 05:09 pm
@okie,
Quote:
Even assuming the wealth stayed static in value, the 5% annual tax would render $100 to be worth about $77 after 5 years, about $60 after 10 years, about $36 after 20 years, about $13 after 40 years, and less than $8 after 50 years. That would not make you completely broke, but pretty close to it.

So you are arguing that someone shouldn't work at all for 50 years? That seems rather silly.

If the person has wealth of $100 and earns $100,000 per year. They can live quite nicely while only paying $5 in taxes. Of course it means they have to blow the money on stuff that doesn't create wealth for them but they are hardly broke or poor.

Quote:
Obviously it should not take a rocket scientist to figure out that if some of ones wealth is in real estate, or perhaps in a business, pretty soon you would have to sell the real estate, perhaps your home, or a business, to pay the wealth tax.

A business that produces no profit? That isn't much of a business, is it okie? Who would invest in such a company and why?
Exxon has a return of 22% on equity.
Halliburton has a return of 15%.

If you own a home you already pay a tax on it's value and most people don't lose their houses because of the tax on it's value.
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  0  
Reply Fri 17 Dec, 2010 05:14 pm
@cicerone imposter,
First of all, imposter, ask yourself if taxing wealth is practical. For example, what do you consider to be wealth? Is it money in the bank, stocks, bonds, mutual funds, what else? How about property, your home, businesses, business equipment, automobiles and other vehicles, such as a collector's Rolls Royce sitting in your garage, the list goes on? And how is all of that going to be valued or appraised, and at what cost? How many IRS agents will be required to enforce all of that fairly? What if homes or real estate are excluded, so that all the billionaires buy the most expensive house in the west on a several thousand acre ranch? I can see all kinds of nuances here that would be nightmarish to administer.
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Fri 17 Dec, 2010 05:31 pm
I am sure you all were as excited as I was today about the government's release of the CPI-W index for November. The CPI-W is important because it is used to determine the COLA, if any, for recipients of social security. In 2010 and 2009 there was no COLA because the indices had for the 3rd quarters not gotten to where they were in 2008.
CPI-W was essentially unchanged in Nov vs Oct. Up by just a bit. The index is up 1.4% from where it stood in December, 2009, and up 2% from the average for all of 2009. It is still below the 3rd quarter 2008 number.
There have been a number of stats this week that have been positive, albeit minor. But at least they seem to be pointing in the right direction.
One that I don't put much faith in is the rate of new foreclosures. The lenders have had to take a breather but will, I think, become more aggressive after the New Year.
Cheers. I hope that there will be a truce here and on the Politics thread until after the holidays.
 

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